Clear-Disarmament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-03 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

37% — —

Crypto

35% 93% $-3

Politics

27% 50% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-03 06:02
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-03 06:17
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	03-13 06:28
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	03-13 06:26
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-13 06:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-09 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-09 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-09 06:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Down	$-6	05-09 07:03
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-13 06:27
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-03 04:08
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	07-03 04:09
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-03 04:09
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-03 04:09
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-03 04:09
btc updown 5m 1773382800	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 06:23
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-17 05:00
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-03 04:09
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-03 04:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-07 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 08:13
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-02 02:01
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$1	54	0	+54	open	—	03-03 10:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-03 07:08
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-13 06:28
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-02 07:05
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-02 07:03
Ledger IPO before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-02 07:04
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-03 05:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 04:09:40	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x280c7f…
07-03 04:09:31	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x78b848…
07-03 04:09:25	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xceed2a…
07-03 04:09:17	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb32f09…
07-03 04:09:11	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8f2a0…
07-03 04:09:05	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x072a01…
07-03 04:08:08	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x424742…
07-03 04:08:02	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9dcaae…
07-02 02:01:58	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x65ff3e…
07-02 02:01:52	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x017763…
07-02 02:01:46	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa5a8c7…
07-02 02:01:38	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc40799…
07-02 02:01:29	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29c141…
07-02 02:01:25	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60762b…
07-02 02:01:16	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39da65…
07-02 02:01:10	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f754b…
07-01 01:59:20	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x032e79…
07-01 01:59:14	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x691016…
07-01 01:59:08	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe827ac…
07-01 01:59:01	Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe5697f…
07-01 01:58:55	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x063af9…
07-01 01:58:50	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed504c…
07-01 01:58:43	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4619a4…
06-30 01:56:56	Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x24dc4f…
06-30 01:54:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x11e675…
06-30 01:54:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7f9d4e…
06-30 01:54:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x32b5a5…
06-30 01:53:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f5e7d…
06-29 02:28:47	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7053dd…
06-17 05:00:04	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4a35cf…
06-16 02:19:37	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x542d9d…
06-15 02:36:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf81a6b…
06-11 02:21:33	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x21248a…
06-11 02:20:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1062db…
06-11 02:20:36	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1850e…
06-11 02:20:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3d7838…
06-11 02:19:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfba35f…
06-11 02:19:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d0a27…
06-03 07:16:47	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa58727…
06-03 07:15:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x690017…
06-03 07:14:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x66dcd6…
06-03 07:13:49	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb76716…
06-03 07:10:33	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x495c67…
06-03 07:09:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc74949…
06-03 07:09:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6cd52f…
06-03 07:08:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce2559…
06-02 07:08:38	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4daae1…
06-02 07:07:21	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc728ec…
06-02 07:05:08	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2eafae…
06-02 07:04:43	Revolut IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x923346…
06-02 07:04:33	Ledger IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x15ef02…
06-02 07:04:01	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22770c…
06-02 07:03:19	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xff3c19…
05-09 07:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf83aa8…
05-09 07:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x128f1d…
05-09 06:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e024a…
05-09 06:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x69513a…
05-09 06:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x578685…
05-09 06:51:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2f4c23…
05-09 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfcc934…
05-09 06:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5138ad…
05-09 06:43:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a8907…
05-09 06:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2a7c9e…
05-09 06:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x752f15…
05-08 08:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x51a901…
05-08 08:12:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe54dd9…
05-08 07:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e5860…
05-07 06:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1fe0c8…
05-07 06:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xebe627…
05-07 06:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x75fd07…
05-07 06:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c9b6d…
05-07 06:53:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x74792b…
05-07 06:52:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7615b2…
05-07 06:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcf783f…
05-06 07:37:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xed9f42…
05-06 06:52:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41fdc4…
03-13 06:28:59	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e2e08…
03-13 06:28:39	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3968e4…
03-13 06:27:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x090f0d…
03-13 06:26:39	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x44bcdb…
03-13 06:26:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xfeb191…
03-13 06:23:51	btc updown 5m 1773382800	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x031eec…
03-13 06:23:25	btc updown 5m 1773382800	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3cdb2d…
03-13 06:23:05	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x27a94c…
03-03 10:15:39	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xdca330…
03-03 06:17:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8fe220…
03-03 06:17:27	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7d4caa…
03-03 06:02:37	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8dbdb2…
03-03 05:52:11	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x62e1d9…
03-03 05:51:11	will trump say nato during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6d0ce1…