Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
16
Trades
82
lifetime
Volume
$409
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$28
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-02 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
36% 93% $-3
Other
35%
Politics
27% 50% $-1
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-17 05:00
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 07-02 02:01
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:14
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:21
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-01 01:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:19
Revolut IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:04
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 07-02 02:01
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:20
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:05
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:20
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:13
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-02 07:04
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-02 07:08