Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
16
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$384
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$16
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 06-11 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 93% $-3
Other
32%
Politics
28% 50% $-1
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:08
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:08
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-02 07:04
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:20
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:10
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:20
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:19
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:21
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:13
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-02 07:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:15
Revolut IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-02 07:04