Conscious-Series — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$210

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$587.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.02K

Open exposure

$36.6K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-03 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 53% +$3,427

Other

32% 39% -$20,859

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+10,000	$9,600	99¢	$9.9K	+$300	10-25 08:43
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-8,219	-$8,649	99¢	$-8166	+$484	10-29 13:55
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	-6,800	-$6,159	99¢	$-6749	-$590	10-29 13:55
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+6,045	$5,699	94¢	$5.7K	-$14	11-03 10:06
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-6,578	-$4,532	74¢	$-4871	-$339	09-12 20:36
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	-990	-$900	94¢	$-932	-$32	09-13 01:20
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+373	$293	74¢	$274	-$19	10-26 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	46	$75.0K	52,454	52,454	+0	Yes	-$2,074	04-30 04:32
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$41.6K	41,657	0	+41,657	Yes	+$91	04-01 19:52
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$31.8K	12,033	20,252	-8,219	open	—	10-29 13:55
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	29	$30.7K	15,733	16,433	-700	Yes	+$692	03-24 20:59
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	12	$28.3K	13,525	15,246	-1,721	No	+$299	05-01 00:31
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	29	$26.1K	13,364	15,233	-1,869	No	+$471	05-01 08:25
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	4	$24.1K	12,627	12,627	+0	No	+$170	02-23 13:00
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	25	$23.1K	11,743	11,743	+0	Yes	+$191	03-24 18:32
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	13	$22.9K	11,638	11,638	+0	No	+$298	04-30 23:43
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	11	$22.7K	11,582	11,582	+0	No	-$210	02-24 15:25
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	22	$19.0K	10,053	10,053	+0	Yes	+$1,081	04-01 13:03
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	2	$17.9K	9,000	9,000	+0	No	+$81	05-27 06:57
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	7	$17.5K	17,865	50	+17,815	Yes	+$405	04-13 17:22
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	9	$16.1K	12,280	4,002	+8,278	Yes	+$120	02-12 11:49
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	5	$15.0K	11,551	3,950	+7,601	No	-$7,300	04-29 08:32
Flying Tulip FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	15	$13.3K	12,423	12,423	+0	No	-$111	02-24 15:25
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$12.5K	3,214	10,014	-6,800	open	—	10-29 13:55
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	12	$10.9K	10,635	687	+9,948	Yes	+$286	01-19 08:40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$9.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-25 08:43
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	20	$9.6K	9,686	0	+9,686	Yes	+$97	01-10 15:59
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$9.5K	6,000	3,600	+2,400	No	-$2,352	04-29 14:42
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	9	$8.1K	4,155	4,154	+2	Yes	-$89	04-29 08:31
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?	20	$7.9K	4,603	4,603	+0	No	+$865	01-29 16:52
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$6.0K	3,203	3,203	+0	Yes	-$43	02-12 03:47
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	5	$5.7K	6,045	0	+6,045	open	—	11-03 10:06
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	7	$5.5K	2,768	2,768	+0	Yes	+$5	01-26 11:32
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$4.8K	2,418	2,418	+0	Yes	-$5	04-23 16:48
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	7	$4.6K	2,393	2,393	+0	No	-$79	01-26 09:18
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	11	$4.5K	0	6,578	-6,578	open	—	09-12 20:36
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	14	$4.4K	2,802	2,802	+0	Yes	-$209	01-29 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:06:27	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,483	91¢	$1,346	0x5a1979…
11-02 19:52:34	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xeb3674…
11-02 18:12:34	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,462	91¢	$1,328	0x68aa93…
10-29 13:55:47	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,214	100¢	$3,208	0xa85981…
10-29 13:55:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20,252	100¢	$20,211	0xc46959…
10-26 16:44:17	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	373	79¢	$293	0x2e3d77…
10-25 08:43:39	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,600	0xcc55d0…
10-25 08:42:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x96b2a6…
10-25 08:41:51	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0xaf7fbe…
10-25 08:41:36	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,950	99¢	$1,926	0x2e7a57…
10-25 08:41:12	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,264	98¢	$1,243	0xb68f3f…
10-25 08:40:56	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x772741…
10-23 16:31:18	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xc2af76…
10-23 16:24:54	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,932	0x9d5647…
10-21 10:47:29	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe5029c…
09-13 01:20:07	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	990	91¢	$900	0xae63f1…
09-12 20:36:58	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	69¢	$59	0x9bbdeb…
09-12 17:08:04	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5,327	69¢	$3,670	0x1b089c…
09-12 10:08:49	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0x0257ce…
09-12 04:25:36	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	66	69¢	$45	0x81110e…
09-10 10:57:09	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	250	69¢	$172	0x44b17e…
09-10 00:46:16	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x8d1a2b…
09-09 16:19:19	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0x236366…
09-09 16:13:54	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x03cae1…
09-09 14:26:25	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	113	69¢	$78	0xe3ca2d…
09-09 14:25:54	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0xcac077…
09-09 13:10:15	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	207	69¢	$142	0x3e6cca…
07-19 08:57:33	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,306	97¢	$2,244	0x7bf740…
07-18 11:17:24	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe42929…
07-17 19:34:27	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	34	97¢	$34	0x1eabe8…
06-02 15:39:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x49d2c9…
05-27 06:57:58	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	SELL	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x13ea3d…
05-25 04:34:59	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	No	BUY	9,000	99¢	$8,910	0xaa8715…
05-25 03:20:14	Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbaa9a4…
05-24 23:51:31	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	No	BUY	580	74¢	$428	0x9dd375…
05-24 23:30:59	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	516	70¢	$361	0xf7449e…
05-05 15:18:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,981	93¢	$3,702	0xce75d2…
05-02 15:53:48	Surf FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x55c738…
05-01 08:25:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6,142	100¢	$6,136	0x4ea519…
05-01 08:25:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x105319…
05-01 08:15:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	520	100¢	$519	0x31f7eb…
05-01 08:11:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf1678d…
05-01 00:31:32	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	5,583	100¢	$5,577	0x7d60b9…
04-30 23:43:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	329	100¢	$329	0x086998…
04-30 23:43:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,184	100¢	$1,183	0x12d3f6…
04-30 23:43:10	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,205	100¢	$1,204	0xf41b9a…
04-30 23:42:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,146	100¢	$1,145	0xd2bb5a…
04-30 23:01:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdae30b…
04-30 22:53:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,850	100¢	$2,847	0x28377f…
04-30 20:39:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3af39f…
04-30 20:39:32	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x06926e…
04-30 20:37:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3,201	100¢	$3,198	0x06b3a6…
04-30 18:39:26	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x5fb854…
04-30 17:57:06	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	7,666	100¢	$7,658	0x688279…
04-30 11:10:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	239	85¢	$202	0x12f5b2…
04-30 11:10:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	83	86¢	$71	0x39b5ed…
04-30 11:09:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0xdaffab…
04-30 04:32:04	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	873	100¢	$872	0xb08fbd…
04-30 04:30:56	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xec9acc…
04-30 04:30:32	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,517	100¢	$8,500	0x39f78c…
04-30 04:15:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	822	100¢	$820	0x8515b3…
04-29 14:42:58	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x1bb305…
04-29 14:42:36	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,564	98¢	$3,480	0xb4ca7b…
04-29 14:42:16	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	3,600	99¢	$3,560	0x95337b…
04-29 14:39:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x3bf24c…
04-29 14:38:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,400	97¢	$6,215	0x295ab9…
04-29 14:08:44	Pharos FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x6e7dda…
04-29 14:01:24	Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x5ec80d…
04-29 12:31:20	Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	761	2¢	$16	0xcbe139…
04-29 11:32:30	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	477	68¢	$324	0x5d6e35…
04-29 11:30:46	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe898ca…
04-29 11:26:16	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbd9adb…
04-29 11:25:54	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbe8a39…
04-29 11:01:32	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xc20132…
04-29 10:24:46	Pharos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x70e3fd…
04-29 09:32:48	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	2,822	98¢	$2,763	0x83b275…
04-29 09:03:08	Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	139	2¢	$3	0x1bdde9…
04-29 09:00:16	Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x17a073…
04-29 08:39:02	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x6b4ec5…
04-29 08:38:06	Over $150M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x75a972…
04-29 08:32:56	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$442	0xbd034e…
04-29 08:31:46	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	421	93¢	$392	0x1424b6…
04-29 08:31:38	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x7e966a…
04-29 08:31:32	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x430410…
04-29 08:31:00	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,704	100¢	$3,700	0x1e1820…
04-29 08:20:42	Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x0555bd…
04-29 08:20:20	Pharos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	361	100¢	$361	0xfbe3b6…
04-29 08:19:36	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xe56ad7…
04-29 07:54:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,620	99¢	$1,604	0xbf6a85…
04-29 07:52:06	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	812	97¢	$784	0xe614db…
04-29 07:39:08	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$916	0x1346ec…
04-29 07:33:20	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x31f60e…
04-29 07:15:02	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x9c1b85…
04-29 05:23:42	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	989	78¢	$772	0xb56802…
04-29 05:22:26	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	962	87¢	$838	0x9d6b08…
04-29 05:19:20	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0xfd1dd5…
04-29 05:17:36	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xbb61d7…
04-29 05:15:02	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x43e940…
04-29 05:15:00	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x485664…
04-29 05:14:56	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xea05ff…