Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
457
lifetime
Volume
$2.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$63
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-11 22:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
22%
Crypto
16%
Sports
12%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +8 $6 81¢ $6 +$0 06-01 02:59
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 84¢ $-6 $-1 05-31 12:14
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +12 $6 40¢ $5 $-1 06-04 02:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +9 $6 56¢ $5 $-1 06-06 20:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 72¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 05-31 16:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-03 05:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-8 88¢ $-4 +$4 06-08 13:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 06-11 22:13
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 09:37
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$1 06-01 06:29
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 06-11 22:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 05-30 12:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 +$0 06-10 17:29
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-01 04:14
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-05 01:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 12:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-11 19:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +15 $1 $1 $-1 06-10 02:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 12:01