Realized P&L
-$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$167
Hit rate
31.0%
Resolved
11,224
Trades
40,485
lifetime
Volume
$410.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$10.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-28 13:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
99% 62% -$13,736
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$29 07-20 15:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,888 $1,508 56¢ $1.6K +$94 10-28 15:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,888 $1,421 44¢ $1.3K -$136 10-28 15:28
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +1,301 $919 95¢ $1.2K +$317 10-23 14:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,198 $875 75¢ $896 +$21 10-28 16:01
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +365 $336 99¢ $361 +$25 10-28 02:44
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +377 $294 95¢ $358 +$64 10-13 17:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,198 $345 25¢ $302 -$44 10-28 16:01
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 76¢ $269 -$26 10-19 13:57
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +247 $200 99¢ $244 +$44 10-27 23:53
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +285 $225 80¢ $229 +$4 10-18 01:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +232 $200 88¢ $205 +$6 10-28 09:56
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +200 $197 97¢ $194 -$3 10-03 12:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $140 98¢ $147 +$8 10-28 02:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +255 $122 55¢ $139 +$17 10-28 10:10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +232 $124 56¢ $129 +$5 10-28 15:12
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +255 $138 46¢ $116 -$22 10-28 10:10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +232 $109 44¢ $103 -$6 10-28 15:12
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +1,301 $424 5¢ $65 -$359 10-18 15:11
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +285 $62 20¢ $56 -$7 10-18 01:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,557 $36 2¢ $42 +$7 07-20 15:44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +232 $34 12¢ $27 -$7 10-28 09:56
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +22 $15 96¢ $22 +$6 09-23 10:26
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +377 $109 5¢ $19 -$91 10-13 14:06
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +38 $38 24¢ $9 -$29 09-28 13:58
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $4 3¢ $6 +$2 10-03 12:00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $27 2¢ $6 -$21 10-28 02:44
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? Yes +247 $49 1¢ $3 -$46 10-27 23:53
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +215 $20 1¢ $2 -$18 10-28 00:19
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -150 -$1 2¢ $-2 -$2 10-28 02:46