Realized P&L
-$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$80
Hit rate
31.0%
Resolved
11,224
Trades
40,435
lifetime
Volume
$405.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$5.50K
18 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-27 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
100% 62% -$13,736
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2726 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +2,557 $2,486 98¢ $2.5K +$26 07-20 15:44
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +1,301 $919 87¢ $1.1K +$213 10-23 14:43
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +377 $294 87¢ $328 +$34 10-13 17:49
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +351 $295 82¢ $290 -$5 10-19 13:57
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +247 $200 95¢ $234 +$35 10-27 23:53
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +285 $225 80¢ $229 +$4 10-18 01:13
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +200 $197 97¢ $195 -$2 10-03 12:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +215 $200 89¢ $192 -$7 10-28 00:19
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No +1,301 $424 13¢ $169 -$255 10-18 15:11
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +285 $62 20¢ $56 -$7 10-18 01:13
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +377 $109 13¢ $49 -$60 10-13 14:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +2,557 $36 2¢ $45 +$9 07-20 15:44
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +215 $20 11¢ $23 +$3 10-28 00:19
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +22 $15 98¢ $22 +$7 09-23 10:26
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? Yes +247 $49 5¢ $13 -$36 10-27 23:53
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +38 $38 18¢ $7 -$31 09-28 13:58
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $4 3¢ $5 +$1 10-03 12:00
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +22 $7 2¢ $0 -$7 09-23 10:26