Noisy-Stonework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$225

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$575

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 07-19 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Sports

38% 50% +$225

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	2	$6.7K	3,741	3,741	+0	open	—	07-19 21:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$3.9K	61,619	38,204	+23,415	open	—	04-27 02:23
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$3.6K	5,013	0	+5,013	open	—	07-12 03:28
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$3.2K	4,896	0	+4,896	open	—	07-19 21:41
ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	1	$3.1K	4,697	0	+4,697	open	—	07-18 23:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$2.8K	16,759	16,759	+0	open	—	05-30 07:28
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	2	$2.3K	1,331	1,331	+0	open	—	07-12 03:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$2.2K	2,126	2,126	+0	open	—	07-06 10:38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$1.9K	1,207	1,207	+0	Sean Strickland	+$503	05-10 04:56
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$1.4K	1,779	917	+862	Joshua Van	+$197	05-10 03:39
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$1.3K	1,025	1,025	+0	open	—	07-06 10:38
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	2	$1000	1,452	0	+1,452	open	—	06-15 04:37
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	2	$619	614	609	+6	open	—	04-12 03:15
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$609	614	614	+0	Alexander Volkov	$-91	05-10 02:41
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$600	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	06-10 16:57
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$600	1,154	0	+1,154	open	—	06-15 03:26
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$550	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	03-08 04:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$530	981	0	+981	open	—	04-01 07:44
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$525	682	0	+682	open	—	05-02 06:08
Will the fight be won by submission?	2	$503	830	559	+271	No	$-377	05-10 04:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$500	2,802	0	+2,802	open	—	04-14 14:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$500	2,345	0	+2,345	open	—	04-14 14:18
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$460	719	0	+719	open	—	05-02 06:09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$460	3,405	0	+3,405	open	—	03-09 04:04
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	1	$412	824	0	+824	open	—	04-11 23:48
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$400	741	0	+741	open	—	06-09 00:10
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	1	$385	675	0	+675	open	—	03-29 00:56
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$380	623	0	+623	Sean Brady	+$243	05-09 17:18
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$350	686	0	+686	open	—	05-02 06:09
ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	1	$330	434	0	+434	open	—	06-15 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:41:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2,852	61¢	$1,740	0x20e24b…
07-19 21:19:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	SELL	3,741	100¢	$3,737	0x278011…
07-19 21:10:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2,045	73¢	$1,493	0x672cb7…
07-19 21:04:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	3,741	80¢	$3,000	0xbeebea…
07-18 23:12:33	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	4,697	66¢	$3,100	0x960c93…
07-12 03:28:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	1,936	68¢	$1,325	0x43bac9…
07-12 03:18:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	Yes	SELL	1,331	100¢	$1,330	0xcd801e…
07-12 03:02:35	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3,077	75¢	$2,300	0x56e7ae…
07-12 02:52:58	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	Yes	BUY	1,331	75¢	$1,000	0xab49ba…
07-06 10:38:22	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1,025	70¢	$718	0x120a84…
07-06 10:38:11	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	2,126	58¢	$1,233	0x951af1…
06-21 07:43:05	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2,126	47¢	$1,000	0x09f0a9…
06-21 07:42:50	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,025	59¢	$600	0x4d7cf2…
06-15 04:37:25	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0x039808…
06-15 03:26:36	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	1,154	52¢	$600	0x71de6c…
06-15 03:03:21	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x21305b…
06-15 02:28:43	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 hokit win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0x68d258…
06-15 01:32:42	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14 ruffy win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	378	66¢	$250	0x23674d…
06-15 01:13:40	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	434	76¢	$330	0x55ec77…
06-13 23:01:33	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0x05414d…
06-10 16:57:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	1,111	54¢	$600	0xdba972…
06-09 00:10:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	741	54¢	$400	0xb0c876…
05-30 12:45:12	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	261	69¢	$180	0xacddbe…
05-30 07:28:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16,759	0¢	$74	0x49e476…
05-10 04:56:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	1,207	100¢	$1,203	0x1fbe5e…
05-10 04:37:30	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	SELL	559	11¢	$63	0x5748a4…
05-10 04:29:39	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1,207	58¢	$700	0x809b24…
05-10 04:05:08	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	830	53¢	$440	0x88a24b…
05-10 03:39:24	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	862	58¢	$500	0xa96742…
05-10 03:38:05	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	SELL	917	42¢	$385	0x9026e6…
05-10 02:41:43	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	614	42¢	$259	0x486a82…
05-10 02:21:49	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	614	57¢	$350	0x871d32…
05-09 17:19:23	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	917	60¢	$550	0xc062b8…
05-09 17:18:28	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	623	61¢	$380	0x081f8e…
05-02 06:09:50	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	686	51¢	$350	0xaec681…
05-02 06:09:00	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	719	64¢	$460	0x8ba811…
05-02 06:08:22	UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	Quillan Salkilld	BUY	682	77¢	$525	0x7eeba6…
04-27 02:24:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,846	13¢	$500	0x815d6f…
04-27 02:23:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10,766	1¢	$120	0x66da84…
04-27 02:23:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	27,439	1¢	$382	0x3cff2e…
04-21 13:19:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,058	13¢	$1,338	0xea8fc4…
04-17 13:44:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	52,988	4¢	$2,051	0xad4216…
04-14 14:19:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	2,802	18¢	$500	0x1a078b…
04-14 14:18:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	2,345	21¢	$500	0xadc741…
04-13 15:28:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	10¢	$500	0x09198c…
04-12 03:15:09	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Azamat Murzakanov	SELL	609	31¢	$189	0xe04bc3…
04-12 02:16:55	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x3a978f…
04-11 23:48:27	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	824	50¢	$412	0x0b999c…
04-11 23:47:59	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	614	70¢	$430	0x04057b…
04-11 23:47:19	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5b689a…
04-11 23:46:35	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x853acb…
04-05 05:25:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,319	27¢	$360	0xedf970…
04-05 05:25:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,632	19¢	$500	0xc3ffc5…
04-01 07:44:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	981	54¢	$530	0x67af00…
04-01 05:49:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,536	33¢	$500	0x8ecc88…
03-29 00:59:20	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28 go the distance	Yes	BUY	441	49¢	$215	0xad8c21…
03-29 00:56:12	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	675	57¢	$385	0x3da414…
03-24 07:13:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x23173d…
03-21 16:53:31	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21 murphy win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbc8961…
03-21 16:52:21	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Michael Page	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0xbd0b4b…
03-18 01:50:25	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	336	60¢	$200	0x3b8769…
03-17 15:25:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	486	31¢	$150	0x634d9b…
03-17 15:24:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0xdb472d…
03-14 23:35:49	ufc jos3 kev16 2026 03 14 emmett win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xbecb2c…
03-09 04:04:25	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,071	14¢	$150	0xc5c1b9…
03-09 04:04:09	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,562	16¢	$250	0x20cc57…
03-08 04:27:45	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x991d02…
03-08 02:15:49	ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07	Gregory Rodrigues	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x1c0e05…
03-06 16:16:01	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	326	69¢	$225	0x91fe95…
03-06 16:15:15	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	972	36¢	$350	0xe497b5…
03-02 10:27:11	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,333	15¢	$200	0x280837…
02-28 03:49:03	ufc bra2 lon 2026 02 28	Moreno	BUY	466	65¢	$303	0x0229e6…
02-22 05:27:28	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x51654e…
02-21 23:40:46	ufc ald lui12 2026 02 21	Coria	BUY	154	78¢	$120	0x12f93d…
02-21 23:38:14	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x99dfa2…
02-21 23:35:08	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21 go the distance	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x192e51…
02-21 23:34:08	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x2cf748…
02-18 09:03:30	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x79def8…
02-18 08:59:50	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa2b477…