Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
169
lifetime
Volume
$252
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-11 21:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
60% 100% +$1
Other
37% 0% $-1
Sports
2% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $3 36¢ $3 +$0 06-11 21:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-11 19:06
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-11 19:10