Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
176
lifetime
Volume
$261
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$6
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-08 14:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
60% 100% +$1
Other
37% 0% $-1
Sports
2% 0% $-1
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +31 $5 16¢ $5 +$0 07-08 14:18
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-11 19:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 $-1 06-11 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2 $1 $0 $-1 06-15 20:34