Glistening-Hacksaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

103 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$248 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-02 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 26% +$46

Other

23% 33% -$46

Sports

10% 89% +$62

Politics

2% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will variational launch a token by november 30 2026	Yes		+28	$5	5¢	$1	-$4	09-24 23:37
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+1	$1	56¢	$1	$0	09-24 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	7	$60	61	61	+0	Up	+$51	02-19 20:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$40	907	0	+907	No	-$40	02-28 12:10
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	7	$13	24	20	+5	Down	+$7	02-07 00:59
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$11	18	6	+12	Knicks	+$12	06-14 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	4	$9	136	9	+127	Down	-$1	10-02 16:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	4	$7	19	12	+7	Down	+$10	02-27 17:14
bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1am et	2	$7	93	0	+93	Down	-$7	08-16 05:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	2	$6	20	5	+15	No	+$15	05-07 15:22
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	4	$6	140	0	+140	Up	-$6	08-20 19:53
bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	3	$5	57	0	+57	Up	-$5	07-31 16:46
will variational launch a token by november 30 2026	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	09-24 23:37
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	03-21 00:54
xrp up or down february 27 12pm et	4	$5	12	8	+4	Up	+$7	02-27 17:53
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	5	$4	152	152	+0	Down	-$4	05-23 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	5	$4	55	0	+55	Down	-$4	05-12 15:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$4	47	47	+0	Up	-$4	05-18 15:43
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC	2	$4	50	0	+50	Down	-$4	03-04 23:03
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$4	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	02-27 15:00
bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	4	$3	98	98	+0	Up	-$3	02-25 18:55
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	1	$3	43	0	+43	No	-$3	05-06 19:45
bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	2	$3	71	0	+71	Up	-$3	02-10 15:40
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	36	-36	No	+$2	06-19 18:14
ethereum up or down march 4 2pm et	3	$2	42	42	+0	Up	-$2	03-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$2	32	32	+0	Up	-$2	05-18 15:43
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	28	-28	No	+$2	06-19 18:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	17	-17	No	+$2	06-19 18:21
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	05-06 19:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	+$9	05-06 19:12
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	1	$2	6	0	+6	Cabo Verde	-$2	06-15 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 16:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc009be…
10-02 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x25e12d…
10-02 16:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc8439e…
10-02 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8cea01…
09-24 23:40:59	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd262c6…
09-24 23:37:38	will variational launch a token by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfb7b56…
08-20 19:53:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xda5771…
08-20 19:52:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd02721…
08-20 19:46:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb2d8c5…
08-20 19:45:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9ddd72…
08-16 05:44:37	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfb24db…
08-16 05:27:03	bitcoin up or down august 16 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x497714…
07-31 16:46:05	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x9fe13b…
07-31 16:45:59	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xa6966a…
07-31 16:30:14	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3942c8…
06-19 18:21:32	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x9a52c0…
06-19 18:20:38	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x656f6f…
06-19 18:20:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x50b766…
06-19 18:20:07	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xd762fa…
06-19 18:19:58	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xda8a7b…
06-19 18:19:49	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0xb10261…
06-19 18:14:16	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x0b6bfc…
06-15 17:39:13	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x464112…
06-15 17:26:00	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7686aa…
06-15 17:25:24	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x977dca…
06-14 03:21:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7e0a86…
06-14 01:06:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3bfa3c…
05-23 00:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0xd23c69…
05-23 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x9ef396…
05-23 00:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x518d69…
05-23 00:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x08b23e…
05-23 00:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfa15d2…
05-20 02:19:06	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd5e702…
05-18 15:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x68aae1…
05-18 15:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x63686d…
05-18 15:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7be280…
05-18 15:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdac527…
05-18 15:36:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2223b6…
05-18 15:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xe1cd35…
05-12 16:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x31fb3c…
05-12 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xccd2c1…
05-12 16:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7e2622…
05-12 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa65c6c…
05-12 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32173d…
05-12 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xac1ad3…
05-12 15:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x02bb57…
05-12 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5154b…
05-07 15:22:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb8b4aa…
05-06 19:45:37	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb6e701…
05-06 19:45:28	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x6a4ab2…
05-06 19:13:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x733c5c…
05-06 19:12:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x08128e…
04-24 23:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0x16ecd7…
04-24 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6de940…
03-21 00:54:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5dae0b…
03-15 21:58:03	ethereum up or down march 15 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0x727234…
03-15 21:53:59	ethereum up or down march 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0xfb9775…
03-15 21:52:17	solana up or down march 15 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xab8753…
03-04 23:03:45	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9c3c9b…
03-04 23:03:21	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x580a2d…
03-04 19:57:39	ethereum up or down march 4 2pm et	Down	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x6fcba3…
03-04 19:47:25	ethereum up or down march 4 2pm et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdebd6b…
03-04 19:47:01	ethereum up or down march 4 2pm et	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa628fc…
02-28 12:10:05	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x05dc4b…
02-28 12:09:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0x4f14ff…
02-28 11:54:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x7be65f…
02-28 08:02:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x884d52…
02-27 17:53:19	xrp up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x307f9a…
02-27 17:52:41	xrp up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x9e366f…
02-27 17:40:53	ethereum up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x843291…
02-27 17:38:15	xrp up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4e738d…
02-27 17:35:27	xrp up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x826e50…
02-27 17:32:59	ethereum up or down february 27 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x0517bd…
02-27 17:14:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xf28d84…
02-27 17:11:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x0eb993…
02-27 17:08:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x343ead…
02-27 17:07:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc681f4…
02-27 15:18:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2a168d…
02-27 15:00:55	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6a4d0a…
02-25 19:09:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x40f0d5…
02-25 18:55:04	bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	Down	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x83fdec…
02-25 18:40:46	bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x928ee9…
02-25 18:37:42	bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09d037…
02-25 18:36:14	bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcb5172…
02-20 03:50:56	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$10	0xba7acc…
02-20 03:38:28	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4874e9…
02-19 20:01:00	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xd464cb…
02-19 19:51:16	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0xe43472…
02-19 19:49:10	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe10de6…
02-19 19:48:28	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe2d382…
02-19 19:47:52	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x7c59a8…
02-19 19:47:26	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x556fa4…
02-19 19:46:22	bitcoin up or down february 19 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6a405f…
02-10 15:40:29	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3f7b42…
02-10 15:22:49	bitcoin up or down february 10 10am et	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x03042d…
02-09 08:33:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x81554f…
02-07 00:59:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa9c7ca…
02-07 00:58:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x8a49cc…
02-07 00:57:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xff1f83…
02-07 00:55:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xca235f…