Aching-Separation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

2,797

Trades

6,051

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-18 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% -$87

Other

6% 62% +$35

Politics

1% 62% +$9

Tech

1% 100% +$12

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Sports

0% 33% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	9	$485	281	281	+0	open	—	07-18 14:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	8	$134	100	45	+55	Yes	+$10	06-30 03:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$114	500	500	+0	Yes	+$44	05-18 04:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$87	51	51	+0	No	-$4	06-03 14:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$84	79	79	+0	Yes	-$14	05-28 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:55 UTC	2	$81	71	71	+0	Up	+$61	06-07 09:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$67	39	39	+0	Yes	+$5	07-18 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:45 UTC	2	$60	40	40	+0	Up	+$20	06-07 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:35 UTC	2	$59	42	42	+0	Up	+$19	06-07 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:50 UTC	2	$57	38	38	+0	Up	+$17	06-07 08:54
scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	2	$57	40	40	+0	open	—	07-15 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	21	$53	117	0	+117	Down	+$7	05-15 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	21	$52	115	0	+115	Up	+$4	05-15 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	12	$51	120	0	+120	Up	-$1	06-13 15:29
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	2	$45	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	07-15 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	16	$42	96	0	+96	Up	+$6	05-22 02:59
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	07-18 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 00:45 UTC	11	$41	100	0	+100	Up	+$9	06-14 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$41	83	0	+83	Down	+$1	05-21 17:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$41	94	94	+0	open	—	07-18 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	14	$39	84	0	+84	Down	+$3	05-15 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	14	$39	84	0	+84	Up	+$3	05-15 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	15	$39	84	0	+84	Down	+$3	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	15	$38	84	0	+84	Down	+$4	05-15 23:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$35	40	0	+40	Yes	+$6	05-28 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	-$1	06-17 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	14	$34	76	0	+76	Down	+$4	05-15 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	14	$33	77	0	+77	Up	+$3	05-22 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	12	$32	72	0	+72	Up	-$2	05-16 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	15	$31	72	0	+72	Up	+$5	05-07 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 14:12:10	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$7	0xbee078…
07-18 14:12:04	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xae0978…
07-18 14:11:57	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$11	0x72c27f…
07-18 14:11:49	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x40193a…
07-18 14:11:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	150	90¢	$135	0x86abdf…
07-18 14:11:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x4ac681…
07-17 05:42:39	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	14	59¢	$9	0xe17daf…
07-16 10:51:43	Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1e8d73…
07-16 10:51:17	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0x10c2eb…
07-15 14:08:05	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xa830c0…
07-15 14:07:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x1ec0d5…
07-15 14:07:46	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x680b11…
07-15 14:07:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x5adc4b…
07-15 14:07:29	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x77141b…
07-14 17:57:49	Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xb85ac8…
07-14 10:31:25	scotus grants trump birthright citizenship rehearing by december 31 20260710222928774	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x4598bc…
07-14 05:55:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x701265…
07-12 17:32:32	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xccbfe4…
07-12 17:32:02	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe2f17a…
07-12 17:31:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x3c45fa…
07-12 17:30:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x83176b…
07-12 12:57:55	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x6c43c3…
07-12 12:57:50	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x64dbf2…
07-12 12:57:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0bfbac…
07-12 12:57:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8b8722…
07-12 12:57:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x76d107…
07-12 12:45:49	bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x250148…
07-11 14:53:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xac0a80…
07-11 14:53:13	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xee10a5…
07-09 04:25:01	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x7ebc84…
07-08 18:33:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x6f261b…
07-07 10:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xc8b19d…
07-07 09:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x65110a…
07-07 09:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x48e1a8…
07-07 09:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb49083…
07-07 09:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd492e6…
07-07 09:45:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x87ab8c…
07-07 09:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1e1a14…
07-07 09:38:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6af7d5…
07-07 09:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1f4953…
07-07 09:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x0000a5…
07-07 09:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xed061a…
07-07 09:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x5d0846…
07-07 09:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf52c56…
07-07 09:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x4373a2…
07-07 09:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x4560d6…
07-07 09:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x2f9b91…
07-07 09:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x0b389c…
07-07 09:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x16819e…
07-07 09:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xfe5f1a…
07-07 09:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xac9f84…
07-07 09:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x168804…
07-07 09:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x67d14d…
07-07 08:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf554b4…
07-07 08:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1d084c…
07-07 08:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xa63150…
07-07 08:49:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x606b6d…
07-07 08:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfb1c2a…
07-07 08:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x30103f…
07-07 08:42:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb18efa…
07-07 08:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x7a24fe…
07-07 08:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc195b5…
07-07 08:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x89d78e…
07-07 08:35:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd00adc…
07-07 08:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa22aca…
07-07 08:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd88493…
07-07 08:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x69c97f…
07-07 04:57:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x35cced…
07-07 04:57:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x2ff13d…
07-06 10:35:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xe81ec9…
07-04 19:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x8d9843…
07-04 19:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8b3c51…
07-04 19:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa35e3b…
07-04 18:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe49d3c…
07-04 18:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x660415…
07-04 18:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x187218…
07-04 18:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc1f448…
07-04 18:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcc701d…
07-04 18:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xba5860…
07-04 18:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2c7290…
07-04 18:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x8279a3…
07-04 18:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x5458f0…
07-04 18:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x5dc4e9…
07-04 18:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x6c3c53…
07-04 18:21:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb838f2…
07-04 18:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x995f42…
07-04 18:11:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x946864…
07-04 18:09:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x29561a…
07-04 18:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd01373…
07-04 18:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xaea7d1…
07-04 17:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe18eb4…
07-04 17:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x75f3b9…
07-04 17:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc1601f…
07-04 17:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd2bc11…
07-04 17:38:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x2ad380…
07-04 17:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xdecc52…
07-04 17:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x25c18c…
07-04 17:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xe6f793…
07-04 17:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc5eb2e…
07-04 17:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x4c3e44…