Aching-Separation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

720

Trades

4,612

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$165

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-07 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 53% $-8

Other

3% 0% $-10

Sports

0% 33% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 535 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+195	$168	84¢	$165	$-3	06-07 08:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	5	$271	257	62	+195	open	—	06-07 08:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$84	79	79	+0	open	—	05-28 14:32
btc updown 5m 1780822500	2	$81	71	71	+0	open	—	06-07 09:00
btc updown 5m 1780821900	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	06-07 08:48
btc updown 5m 1780821300	2	$59	42	42	+0	open	—	06-07 08:36
btc updown 5m 1780822200	2	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	06-07 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	21	$53	117	0	+117	open	—	05-15 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	21	$52	115	0	+115	open	—	05-15 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	16	$42	96	0	+96	open	—	05-22 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	15	$41	83	0	+83	open	—	05-21 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	14	$39	84	0	+84	open	—	05-15 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	14	$39	84	0	+84	open	—	05-15 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	15	$39	84	0	+84	open	—	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	15	$38	84	0	+84	open	—	05-15 23:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$35	40	0	+40	open	—	05-28 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	14	$34	76	0	+76	open	—	05-15 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	12	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	05-15 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	12	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	05-16 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	11	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	05-16 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$29	60	0	+60	open	—	05-21 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	10	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	13	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	12	$28	65	0	+65	open	—	05-22 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	10	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	11	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	10	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	05-16 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	11	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	05-16 00:28
btc updown 5m 1780821600	2	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	06-07 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$25	59	0	+59	open	—	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	10	$24	54	0	+54	open	—	05-15 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 09:00:34	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0x2a74f6…
06-07 08:59:31	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x92a16b…
06-07 08:54:58	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x6bd705…
06-07 08:48:36	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x2d5e25…
06-07 08:48:10	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x3da0b4…
06-07 08:41:51	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5e8fd3…
06-07 08:39:19	btc updown 5m 1780821600	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6383ab…
06-07 08:37:30	btc updown 5m 1780821600	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x38e7bf…
06-07 08:36:52	btc updown 5m 1780821300	Up	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0xcc99c5…
06-07 08:31:04	btc updown 5m 1780821300	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x22f4be…
06-07 08:30:10	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0x1cedaa…
06-05 13:05:55	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xd3658a…
06-04 14:52:55	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbe0b6d…
06-03 14:37:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xdb59b1…
06-02 11:05:14	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x0f1f42…
06-01 13:08:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1d7c24…
05-31 10:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xd092e3…
05-31 10:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb55d76…
05-31 10:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd33c68…
05-31 10:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0931d1…
05-31 10:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xdf3621…
05-31 10:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e4aaf…
05-31 10:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x872ee8…
05-31 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xba7917…
05-31 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2abc40…
05-31 09:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x25cf16…
05-31 09:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0d2078…
05-31 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x86a4b6…
05-31 09:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe7ad00…
05-31 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x34e5cb…
05-31 09:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xaeb070…
05-31 09:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6511de…
05-31 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd3fea3…
05-31 08:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa5957f…
05-31 08:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x87ecea…
05-31 08:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03c526…
05-31 08:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe7f477…
05-31 08:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf0d45b…
05-31 07:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x674cea…
05-31 07:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x40e9a5…
05-31 07:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x25a7e9…
05-31 07:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x34344e…
05-31 07:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3df06e…
05-31 07:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb9e082…
05-31 07:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf91853…
05-31 06:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcbfb39…
05-31 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x2554e1…
05-31 06:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd91f8a…
05-31 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbb24fb…
05-31 06:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x876be3…
05-31 06:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98b31d…
05-31 06:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c3bb7…
05-31 05:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x31514d…
05-31 05:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2fb3db…
05-31 05:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7064bc…
05-31 05:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd825e9…
05-31 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xcd6d84…
05-31 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xb04030…
05-31 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x690ee7…
05-31 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x038283…
05-31 05:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdac101…
05-31 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4b31ea…
05-31 05:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe79361…
05-31 05:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xe3b565…
05-31 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xef76c8…
05-31 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb5e8df…
05-31 05:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x344608…
05-31 04:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9fd5b9…
05-31 04:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb0bab7…
05-31 04:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x813feb…
05-31 04:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x87d1e0…
05-31 04:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x6fe8d9…
05-31 04:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x404c77…
05-31 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xac956e…
05-31 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xfc8baf…
05-31 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xbc45c0…
05-31 03:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x75c6d0…
05-31 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7dca4c…
05-31 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x401c86…
05-31 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x202288…
05-31 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x144865…
05-31 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x217100…
05-31 03:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf1c8da…
05-31 03:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc999a3…
05-31 03:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xa2e6c3…
05-31 03:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa727ba…
05-31 02:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xbdab40…
05-31 02:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xd04b1b…
05-31 02:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5a9313…
05-31 02:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9755f8…
05-31 02:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x61d8e3…
05-31 02:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3563a5…
05-31 02:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xea55ba…
05-31 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x373d08…
05-31 01:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xe37efa…
05-31 01:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x2f639e…
05-31 01:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58792a…
05-31 01:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0fd570…
05-31 01:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4120a9…
05-31 01:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x7afca2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	991	$318.4K	95,749	06-07 08:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	991	$306.0K	91,736	06-07 08:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	991	$264.3K	47,115	06-07 08:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	990	$223.1K	38,726	06-07 08:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	989	$203.1K	35,083	06-07 08:59
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	973	$100.4K	14,663	06-07 08:59
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	967	$121.4K	29,047	06-07 08:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	961	$553.9K	22,434	06-07 09:00