Starchy-Cob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-30 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% $-1

Other

29% 0% $-7

Tech

9% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+55	$6	6¢	$4	$-2	06-02 23:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+23	$3	12¢	$3	$-0	06-30 06:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$352	201	201	+0	open	—	04-12 21:28
Trump out as President by April 30?	10	$120	4,790	3,950	+840	open	—	04-22 22:19
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	6	$63	254	254	+0	open	—	05-16 22:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	04-12 21:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	04-12 21:28
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-14 04:01
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	2	$42	49	49	+0	open	—	04-16 23:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$38	635	0	+635	open	—	04-09 07:46
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$22	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 20:54
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 23:31
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	2	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	04-12 18:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 19:20
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-09 19:11
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-09 19:27
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 15:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$13	964	714	+250	open	—	04-21 05:11
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$11	26	26	+0	open	—	04-12 16:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	04-12 21:30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	04-09 06:52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	$-10	04-12 21:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-09 19:16
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-12 21:40
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	2	$8	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-10 04:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 17:18
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$6	55	0	+55	open	—	06-02 23:06
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$6	99	0	+99	Yes	$-6	04-13 10:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	06-30 06:01
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	04-20 19:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	105	0	+105	open	—	04-16 23:40
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	1	$2	286	0	+286	open	—	04-12 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:01:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xac3007…
06-30 05:54:46	Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb2cdea…
06-02 23:06:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x68352f…
05-16 22:25:59	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	254	2¢	$4	0xc4f063…
04-26 20:54:10	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x67d8fa…
04-25 15:12:42	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf19fac…
04-25 15:00:30	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1d14ca…
04-25 05:08:20	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x024e20…
04-25 05:07:58	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd0790e…
04-22 22:19:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4a5176…
04-21 07:45:16	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0ecba9…
04-21 07:44:58	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9c2409…
04-21 05:11:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb11a8a…
04-20 19:56:20	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	247	1¢	$1	0xa27bd5…
04-20 19:54:44	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x002a0f…
04-17 06:01:58	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x899ca9…
04-17 05:43:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x440490…
04-17 05:40:34	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x53d268…
04-16 23:40:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x3a0446…
04-16 23:40:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0xbc1f6b…
04-16 23:40:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x18bccd…
04-16 23:40:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb03915…
04-16 23:40:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9846c7…
04-16 23:40:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x16f8d1…
04-16 23:37:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd9df5a…
04-16 23:34:10	Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x6e3904…
04-16 23:31:10	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x98e2b2…
04-16 23:31:04	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	44¢	$22	0x0a08f5…
04-15 17:21:30	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf89cc7…
04-15 17:18:12	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3bf852…
04-14 04:01:11	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1ab421…
04-13 18:02:23	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4740b7…
04-13 10:09:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdc7535…
04-13 06:13:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xaf3884…
04-12 21:47:31	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1a4acb…
04-12 21:43:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xab7e99…
04-12 21:42:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x489005…
04-12 21:41:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x489f1a…
04-12 21:40:19	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd2d89f…
04-12 21:39:39	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x55be15…
04-12 21:38:59	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb9361a…
04-12 21:34:59	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x000ecf…
04-12 21:33:25	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xae3ef6…
04-12 21:31:33	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$2	0xaa40e3…
04-12 21:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xae8f08…
04-12 21:29:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xdadcce…
04-12 21:28:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x68b1b0…
04-12 21:28:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xcd1d95…
04-12 21:28:27	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x4c9063…
04-12 18:07:11	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	17¢	$11	0xb0e394…
04-12 18:06:45	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x1f5926…
04-12 16:21:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	714	1¢	$7	0xd1a268…
04-12 16:21:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x4a4997…
04-11 18:14:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	69	74¢	$51	0x1e6696…
04-11 18:14:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,950	1¢	$51	0xcdfd9f…
04-10 21:11:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xb3e065…
04-10 20:13:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x431841…
04-10 20:11:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xe50507…
04-10 04:33:35	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x816be9…
04-10 04:31:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$2	0xaab9db…
04-09 19:28:13	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	48	76¢	$36	0x82df6b…
04-09 19:27:25	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xebb936…
04-09 19:26:51	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xbf1beb…
04-09 19:23:13	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x720542…
04-09 19:20:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xda2e06…
04-09 19:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd675be…
04-09 19:11:33	Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6d3357…
04-09 19:10:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5d768c…
04-09 19:10:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x07e9ad…
04-09 18:59:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x62868c…
04-09 07:46:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	635	6¢	$38	0x7bbc81…
04-09 07:39:45	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xad0861…
04-09 06:52:17	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xdadc11…
04-09 06:35:21	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x04bd68…
04-09 06:30:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x1e33b4…
04-09 06:25:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaa11ce…
04-09 06:17:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xac7810…
04-09 06:16:09	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xeb4411…
04-09 06:14:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$40	0x27de70…
04-09 06:11:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x4481e8…