Drafty-Tourist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$273

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-12 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

9% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-01 00:43
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 08:35
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 00:40
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 09:40
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-30 00:56
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 00:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 00:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:11
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 00:44
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 01:31
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 14 be less than 70	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 00:49
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:35
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 02:14
nflx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 01:07
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 01:02
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-10 00:52
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 01:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 08:35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-11 00:24
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 01:34
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 00:26
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 01:17
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-19 02:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 00:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 00:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 00:35
will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 00:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 00:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 00:48
aapl close above 250 on march 11 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 00:30:57	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5e82cf…
06-12 00:30:33	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47024e…
06-12 00:18:48	will decibel launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x150e50…
06-12 00:16:25	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90eb92…
06-11 00:56:33	xrp above 0pt6 on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x503133…
06-11 00:54:58	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3250…
06-11 00:34:21	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x855c7b…
06-11 00:29:12	xrp above 0pt6 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c3a09…
06-10 00:53:21	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca0c8a…
06-10 00:52:54	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbece4d…
06-10 00:26:12	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f04c9…
06-10 00:22:42	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5230e…
06-09 00:44:58	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 30 20260607232624537	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6103e…
06-09 00:44:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x12ab26…
06-09 00:36:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd02cf3…
06-09 00:31:52	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 30 20260607232624537	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6977cc…
06-08 00:38:49	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7f6af…
06-08 00:38:34	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf17955…
06-08 00:26:57	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7a690…
06-08 00:23:49	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ef6c1…
06-06 00:44:49	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe932be…
06-06 00:11:57	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf369c7…
06-05 00:50:15	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9188be…
06-05 00:49:22	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6892a7…
06-05 00:24:39	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47191c…
06-05 00:22:51	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x535648…
06-04 03:04:01	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1fb6b7…
06-04 03:03:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbeaed5…
06-04 03:01:10	will trump be photographed every day this week 61 67	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9fff4…
06-04 00:35:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x894268…
06-03 10:23:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xff048c…
06-03 10:22:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xab9b61…
06-03 10:05:01	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x89ddf5…
06-03 10:00:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0df9d5…
06-02 00:31:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71a059…
06-02 00:18:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x710701…
06-01 01:17:08	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe4ad8d…
06-01 00:48:26	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x359886…
05-30 00:41:57	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ae4f2…
05-29 00:52:24	open above 1pt5 on may 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc36c43…
05-29 00:51:58	open above 1pt5 on may 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x518c9d…
05-28 00:33:54	GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8e9790…
05-28 00:18:56	GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfbd19e…
05-27 00:40:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74b2cf…
05-27 00:28:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x122424…
05-26 00:48:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcef6e5…
05-26 00:20:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7849e…
05-26 00:14:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2a435…
05-25 01:34:51	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf363cd…
05-25 01:34:33	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c4707…
05-25 01:14:21	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x157545…
05-25 01:11:45	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f8ab4…
05-19 00:35:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa99b27…
05-19 00:31:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x201ddd…
05-14 00:33:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x422025…
05-14 00:21:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a087b…
05-12 00:30:14	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab1d08…
05-12 00:17:03	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36680c…
05-09 00:21:05	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x39bee0…
05-09 00:11:27	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8814f7…
05-08 00:22:22	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3680c8…
05-08 00:13:24	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67d616…
05-07 00:08:08	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2320c9…
05-06 23:57:35	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb52738…
05-06 00:07:26	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b0a2f…
05-06 00:05:02	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x963491…
05-05 06:46:34	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3aabc8…
05-05 06:44:14	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x99e0ec…
05-05 06:40:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb663ab…
05-05 06:38:00	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xefaab5…
04-30 00:21:18	Major solar storm by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6ca6a…
04-30 00:20:54	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc794e2…
04-30 00:16:26	Major solar storm by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2ec12…
04-30 00:10:16	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe78561…
04-29 00:32:46	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb681fd…
04-29 00:32:30	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf04beb…
04-29 00:30:26	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f9a2f…
04-29 00:21:46	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa10f66…
04-28 01:00:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d36ae…
04-28 01:00:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e34be…
04-28 00:57:32	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad5ddf…
04-28 00:51:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x766848…
04-27 00:35:58	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf51dde…
04-27 00:30:12	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77e47b…
04-27 00:29:52	Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56ff39…
04-25 00:41:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8660a…
04-25 00:35:06	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be less than 80?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd9d24f…
04-25 00:34:12	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe61c7c…
04-25 00:30:18	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb3943…
04-24 00:45:44	Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1dd64…
04-24 00:45:28	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfde853…
04-24 00:43:08	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad0e06…
04-24 00:31:10	Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x236e9f…
04-23 05:38:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2c7d0…
04-23 05:37:52	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbb6c07…
04-23 05:31:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1bb310…
04-23 05:27:06	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5aea0f…
04-21 00:33:56	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x938db3…
04-21 00:32:34	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5094c0…
04-21 00:31:40	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbad18…