Alienated-Suede — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-06 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Sports

95% 67% +$1,904

Politics

3% 81% -$9

Other

2% 100% +$8

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	08-06 18:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	1	$1.6K	2,565	0	+2,565	Raptors	+$949	03-13 17:15
nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	12	$813	1,768	0	+1,768	Islanders	+$955	03-26 22:59
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$36	22,520	13,460	+9,060	No	-$9	06-09 18:01
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	35	$13	6,300	6,281	+19	No	$0	04-02 14:20
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$12	5,800	5,800	+0	No	+$0	05-24 18:03
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-15 23:35
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$8	3,766	3,766	+0	No	$0	03-29 13:15
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$7	9	0	+9	Yes	+$2	07-04 21:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$6	2	4	-1	open	—	08-06 18:01
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	07-09 12:31
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	07-04 11:59
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-03 16:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$3	2	1	+1	Yes	+$0	04-15 18:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 19:41
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-27 19:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-08 17:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-08 17:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 17:55
will the dhs shutdown end between february 16 19 2026	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-17 11:51
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-15 19:00
will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 19:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-27 19:42
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 23:35
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 18:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-08 17:55
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-08 17:55
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 18:01
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 18:01
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-27 21:36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-15 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 18:01:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x93bba3…
08-06 18:01:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe7f61d…
08-06 18:01:29	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc7544b…
08-06 18:01:24	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ed1bc…
07-14 17:48:49	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x247a63…
07-14 17:48:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ac5e0…
07-14 17:47:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee38d6…
07-14 17:47:14	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc91fdf…
07-09 12:31:50	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x5900ea…
07-04 21:02:31	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x7d64a0…
07-04 11:59:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xdf1b91…
07-03 16:25:52	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xce2294…
06-28 11:10:05	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x173c14…
06-28 11:09:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac26c8…
06-28 11:09:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3672b7…
06-09 18:01:40	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,060	0¢	$9	0x1068fa…
06-08 21:07:06	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6,401	0¢	$6	0xc58fa6…
06-08 21:05:40	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,019	0¢	$3	0xb2d58d…
06-08 19:51:40	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,420	0¢	$9	0x2a7f7b…
06-08 17:55:37	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5dd0fb…
06-08 17:55:31	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5139d1…
06-08 17:55:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2847bf…
06-08 17:55:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9c67fb…
06-08 17:55:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f4715…
06-08 17:54:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14646b…
05-31 07:53:26	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x119e8d…
05-31 07:52:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x892098…
05-31 07:51:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x555759…
05-31 07:46:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a7004…
05-31 07:45:05	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2d180…
05-31 07:44:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bedf5…
05-31 07:44:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d68c9…
05-31 07:43:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfefc9…
05-24 18:03:37	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,964	0¢	$2	0x0f3866…
05-24 18:02:34	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,836	0¢	$4	0x6089ad…
05-24 17:56:59	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	695	0¢	$1	0x112759…
05-24 17:56:45	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,345	0¢	$3	0xdaafea…
05-17 14:07:41	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,040	0¢	$4	0x6b4826…
05-17 14:07:20	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,800	0¢	$6	0x34f1b8…
05-15 23:35:47	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x257b2f…
05-15 23:35:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5addbb…
05-15 23:35:37	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6c92f…
05-07 17:23:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcbe818…
04-15 19:02:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x14ccee…
04-15 19:02:00	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe23023…
04-15 19:00:56	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x69c2a4…
04-15 19:00:32	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9a62b…
04-15 19:00:14	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6e3c7…
04-15 18:59:42	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcafbcd…
04-15 18:59:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7575bf…
04-02 14:20:33	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	513	0¢	$1	0x836a82…
04-02 13:46:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xfc18c6…
04-02 10:07:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x070655…
04-02 07:38:27	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x8806f2…
04-02 02:22:09	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x0ba26d…
04-02 02:22:03	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xebed08…
04-01 13:39:25	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0f75db…
04-01 11:12:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdd8c4e…
04-01 10:43:09	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1d8beb…
04-01 08:28:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x9dc62b…
04-01 00:41:57	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb737a6…
03-31 23:49:33	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa27d5c…
03-31 20:38:23	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdd885a…
03-31 19:33:01	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x0a3445…
03-31 14:45:25	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3100d9…
03-31 13:51:59	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc3bb12…
03-31 12:50:31	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8447ba…
03-31 09:30:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe47e5a…
03-30 20:36:35	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x160ea9…
03-30 16:22:07	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x429c28…
03-30 15:06:27	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x6630b0…
03-30 14:53:13	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4f974f…
03-30 12:58:16	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09f0a7…
03-30 11:42:50	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$1	0x086655…
03-30 06:44:26	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe02ffa…
03-30 04:55:30	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$0	0x8a1133…
03-30 04:30:20	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xce26a6…
03-30 03:59:00	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x18c143…
03-30 03:04:24	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf11858…
03-29 23:52:40	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x876148…
03-29 23:22:34	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x02ab04…
03-29 19:13:54	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x39947b…
03-29 15:42:18	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa558d5…
03-29 13:15:46	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,766	0¢	$4	0x798684…
03-29 05:13:10	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	446	0¢	$0	0xb0035d…
03-28 15:42:45	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6,300	0¢	$6	0x6404d6…
03-28 15:42:21	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,766	0¢	$4	0xfbf99f…
03-27 19:42:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b8135…
03-27 19:42:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x271b85…
03-27 19:42:03	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x623c5c…
03-27 19:41:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d1346…
03-27 19:41:47	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9c87a7…
03-26 22:59:59	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x8f5a19…
03-26 22:59:57	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xe637c1…
03-26 22:59:39	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x907988…
03-26 22:59:23	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x3f5fdd…
03-26 22:59:19	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xde6268…
03-26 22:59:19	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x85c233…
03-26 22:59:11	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xf26aec…
03-26 22:59:11	nhl dal nyi 2026 03 26	Islanders	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0xc82944…