High-Level-Daybed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$316

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

132

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$887

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-16 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

73% 98% +$219

Politics

18% 93% +$76

Sports

4% 100% +$12

Crypto

4% 100% +$9

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+250	$235	96¢	$239	+$4	09-26 10:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+242	$233	98¢	$237	+$4	09-26 10:18
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+200	$192	97¢	$194	+$2	10-16 09:10
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+100	$97	98¢	$98	+$1	10-16 09:32
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+100	$96	96¢	$96	$0	10-16 08:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+24	$23	97¢	$23	+$0	10-16 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	3	$1.7K	848	848	+0	No	+$11	03-16 14:24
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on May 14?	1	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$2	05-13 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	No	+$2	05-12 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 26?	2	$815	826	0	+826	No	+$11	05-25 10:37
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	2	$787	791	0	+791	No	+$4	04-16 03:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$744	749	0	+749	No	+$4	04-17 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 15?	3	$676	678	0	+678	No	+$2	08-15 02:31
will trump meet with xi jinping in february 2026	3	$645	353	353	+0	No	+$46	01-26 10:10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 3°C on May 16?	1	$616	617	0	+617	No	+$1	05-16 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 15?	1	$579	579	0	+579	No	+$1	08-15 02:30
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	5	$564	300	300	+0	No	+$9	01-30 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 15?	1	$561	564	0	+564	No	+$3	06-14 11:21
will trump meet with xi jinping in january 2026	2	$509	510	0	+510	No	+$1	01-30 11:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 27?	1	$440	442	0	+442	No	+$2	05-26 16:56
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$409	411	0	+411	No	+$2	03-11 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11?	9	$404	411	0	+411	No	+$7	06-11 03:16
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$391	397	0	+397	No	+$6	06-23 03:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?	1	$385	391	0	+391	No	+$5	05-26 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	2	$385	386	0	+386	No	+$1	08-08 07:07
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	1	$372	372	0	+372	Yes	+$0	05-30 14:15
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	3	$365	195	195	+0	Yes	+$3	09-17 01:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$346	178	178	+0	No	+$6	03-23 14:57
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 30?	1	$344	344	0	+344	No	+$0	05-30 14:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 23?	2	$338	340	0	+340	No	+$2	07-22 10:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$331	340	0	+340	No	+$9	08-24 06:38
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 31?	3	$304	308	0	+308	Yes	+$4	05-31 04:05
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$301	54	263	-208	No	-$7	05-03 18:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-26 16:13
will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	3	$286	290	0	+290	No	+$4	07-14 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8?	1	$266	266	0	+266	Yes	+$0	08-08 07:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 09:43:57	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?	No	BUY	271	91¢	$247	0x46c45b…
10-16 09:32:06	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x633e18…
10-16 09:10:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa26466…
10-16 09:09:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xf3a763…
10-16 08:36:46	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x042500…
10-16 08:35:49	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x69a1cc…
10-16 08:34:58	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x877a3e…
10-16 08:22:46	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe0edca…
10-16 08:22:42	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc7821f…
10-04 11:11:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x826c05…
10-04 11:09:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xdd0206…
09-26 10:18:06	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	242	96¢	$233	0x34efc8…
09-26 10:17:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x11ed8c…
09-26 10:15:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xda5a7b…
09-17 01:24:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x73fe9d…
09-17 01:19:36	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0x4ffc7e…
09-16 19:32:03	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	95¢	$90	0x3be22e…
09-16 12:58:55	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	93¢	$181	0xc788fe…
09-16 12:50:15	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x5d3033…
09-08 10:22:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x78dc78…
08-25 08:59:36	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0x10ba20…
08-25 08:53:15	will mu reach 1320 in september 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x20937e…
08-25 08:48:54	will mu dip to 540 in september 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x3d14b5…
08-25 08:35:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9878db…
08-24 06:38:54	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9a51ad…
08-24 06:38:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	340	97¢	$331	0x28e729…
08-24 03:43:42	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x7bf9a4…
08-24 03:39:00	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x16a8a3…
08-24 03:34:15	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5742a0…
08-24 03:33:45	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x976bcb…
08-24 03:15:45	US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x62f9d6…
08-24 03:15:00	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x875ecf…
08-24 03:14:18	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x054cd5…
08-24 03:12:18	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x5274cb…
08-24 03:09:54	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x4e1821…
08-24 03:02:18	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on August 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa3d85b…
08-24 03:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x03ff98…
08-24 02:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x22a1b8…
08-24 02:55:31	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2e166b…
08-24 02:50:48	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45f268…
08-24 02:50:39	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 24?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcb817c…
08-24 02:50:15	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x254146…
08-24 02:48:39	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x9c021f…
08-24 02:44:42	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 0°C on August 24?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x639996…
08-24 02:39:00	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 0°C on August 24?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xcb6cd2…
08-24 02:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -1°C on August 24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x18ff1c…
08-15 02:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xf66098…
08-15 02:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a86a6…
08-15 02:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	579	100¢	$579	0x620cb1…
08-15 02:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf3f034…
08-15 02:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	594	100¢	$592	0xb24aac…
08-08 07:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on August 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98ade6…
08-08 07:11:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x62c83c…
08-08 07:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x74798d…
08-08 07:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0xc9a5d2…
08-08 07:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x4c6e42…
08-08 07:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xd1783d…
08-05 12:54:03	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe9a0d4…
08-05 12:45:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8ebdce…
07-22 11:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3eb21c…
07-22 11:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x7fa3bd…
07-22 11:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 23?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7f8f87…
07-22 11:27:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x712d97…
07-22 11:24:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x4fa257…
07-22 11:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0xd50551…
07-22 10:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa390c9…
07-22 10:33:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x211ed5…
07-22 10:30:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 23?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$219	0x3aea85…
07-16 06:07:38	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x12ee5c…
07-14 11:20:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x004c3e…
07-14 10:39:52	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc89797…
07-14 10:20:38	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x39f068…
07-14 10:07:02	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xec2f25…
07-14 08:53:41	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x38877d…
07-14 08:08:01	will julian alvarez score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411105	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xd16687…
07-14 06:56:26	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x21b66a…
07-14 06:49:04	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x815cb3…
07-13 14:12:46	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa4b528…
07-13 14:10:37	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x9ce225…
06-27 01:31:17	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xa3b51d…
06-27 01:29:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x765840…
06-27 01:29:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x85df7c…
06-26 16:13:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x1c0400…
06-26 16:11:53	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x750113…
06-26 13:37:03	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x11429d…
06-26 13:27:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x01c9a6…
06-23 03:32:37	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	397	99¢	$391	0x2ef6de…
06-23 03:28:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb09e2c…
06-23 03:28:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x029e45…
06-23 02:46:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc2e3a1…
06-23 02:35:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xa92efe…
06-23 02:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xffa59c…
06-23 01:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xee6069…
06-23 01:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 23?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0xabef73…
06-23 01:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x7b8daa…
06-23 01:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xd7c9a7…
06-23 01:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x83d35c…
06-23 01:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xb6442b…
06-23 01:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xc54a8d…
06-23 01:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc04b52…