Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$167
Hit rate
2.3%
Resolved
36
Trades
2,429
lifetime
Volume
$137.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$79.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-20 08:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
49% 0% $0
Other
41% 0% -$42
Sports
10% 59% +$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +24,247 $23,318 98¢ $23.8K +$456 10-19 13:36
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +12,539 $12,240 99¢ $12.5K +$231 10-16 14:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10,366 $9,491 92¢ $9.5K +$20 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,887 $7,077 94¢ $7.5K +$377 10-14 19:13
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,353 $6,084 89¢ $5.7K -$423 09-24 22:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +3,708 $3,614 98¢ $3.6K +$29 10-14 05:51
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,103 $3,019 98¢ $3.1K +$36 10-09 06:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,265 $1,998 94¢ $2.1K +$142 09-03 22:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,484 $1,403 94¢ $1.4K -$13 09-20 00:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,595 $1,355 85¢ $1.4K -$4 10-17 10:55
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,469 $1,299 85¢ $1.2K -$52 10-18 16:26
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,147 $1,079 95¢ $1.1K +$9 09-09 22:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,366 $952 8¢ $855 -$97 10-20 08:41
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +858 $753 96¢ $825 +$72 09-02 22:23
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,353 $298 11¢ $692 +$394 09-26 19:32
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +576 $540 99¢ $571 +$31 10-19 05:01
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +509 $485 98¢ $499 +$14 08-28 22:26
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +499 $487 97¢ $485 -$2 09-04 16:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +24,247 $947 2¢ $473 -$474 10-19 03:25
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +447 $439 98¢ $440 +$2 10-20 08:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,887 $833 6¢ $434 -$399 10-19 16:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,595 $254 15¢ $244 -$10 10-16 10:54
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,469 $170 15¢ $223 +$53 10-19 09:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +2,265 $278 6¢ $125 -$153 09-01 11:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,484 $98 6¢ $95 -$3 09-26 11:31
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12,539 $318 1¢ $69 -$249 10-16 11:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +3,707 $95 2¢ $65 -$30 10-17 16:46
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,147 $63 5¢ $60 -$3 09-11 08:22
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,103 $92 2¢ $48 -$44 10-09 03:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +858 $108 4¢ $33 -$74 09-04 14:36