Realized P&L
-$113
Unrealized P&L
-$90
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
105
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$14.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$161
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-25 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
47% 35% +$823
Other
34% 21% -$1,356
Sports
19% 44% +$421
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +166 $43 37¢ $61 +$18 08-31 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +167 $50 30¢ $51 +$1 10-25 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $50 18¢ $35 -$15 06-11 13:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +238 $100 6¢ $13 -$87 05-31 05:04
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +50 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 09-30 19:54