Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-03 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

63% 80% +$1

Politics

18% 100% +$1

Crypto

11% 100% +$2

Sports

8% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	No		+52	$50	95¢	$50	+$0	10-29 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-25 13:31
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	10-02 08:59
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	5	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	11-02 23:35
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-25 09:11
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	6	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-03 19:29
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$1	08-26 18:30
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	09-27 06:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	8	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	07-30 00:20
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	2	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	10-18 10:23
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	2	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	07-19 20:01
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	08-16 12:52
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	07-21 15:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	5	$80	42	42	+0	No	+$1	06-11 22:12
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 06:39
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-10 17:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	08-25 22:47
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$0	06-22 12:33
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	07-30 14:34
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	42	42	+0	No	+$0	06-22 17:43
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	2	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	10-22 10:36
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	10-29 12:56
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$2	07-28 04:51
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:27
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	10-14 09:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	1	$26	0	28	-28	No	-$2	05-07 17:52
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?	2	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	11-03 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:46:43	Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xd9d996…
11-03 23:46:34	Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xdd67b7…
11-02 23:35:46	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xe292bc…
11-01 16:02:36	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71aa42…
11-01 14:02:30	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x660dc4…
10-29 12:56:08	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x561e94…
10-22 10:36:21	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x3195e7…
10-18 10:23:56	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$43	0xcce9b2…
10-14 09:09:16	Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x152599…
10-02 08:59:06	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x856864…
09-28 14:54:06	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa00330…
09-27 06:08:32	Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xd26317…
09-23 06:17:41	Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x7f9ec3…
09-12 16:42:31	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$43	0x3e369f…
08-26 18:30:07	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x999faf…
08-26 13:57:01	Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x586f50…
08-25 22:47:40	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x0e9d4f…
08-25 20:06:34	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x2db3aa…
08-24 13:43:33	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x40e126…
08-22 18:27:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd114ce…
08-22 18:26:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$47	0x67269a…
08-16 12:52:25	Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xda5bad…
07-30 14:34:45	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x532ee4…
07-30 00:20:36	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x42db2e…
07-30 00:20:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf04d32…
07-30 00:20:21	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8db887…
07-30 00:20:11	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x87e6be…
07-28 05:39:37	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x287cec…
07-28 04:51:07	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x253aa5…
07-28 04:41:54	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x300afe…
07-28 03:05:43	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3cc3f6…
07-27 10:49:33	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x834e55…
07-26 05:08:28	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x3910db…
07-26 05:08:21	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x430f6e…
07-26 01:00:15	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x016733…
07-26 01:00:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x17fd89…
07-21 15:30:04	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x780d87…
07-21 06:39:52	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xb3773f…
07-20 06:27:52	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x03a2b4…
07-19 23:03:30	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x349943…
07-19 20:01:58	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x7b5775…
07-15 20:53:41	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x39b138…
07-14 15:48:07	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$13	0x2dee37…
07-14 10:42:59	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x47af6e…
06-28 13:32:58	Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3d5bbc…
06-22 17:43:20	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x78c115…
06-22 12:33:53	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x5c007a…
06-22 11:41:22	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x775a2a…
06-22 08:33:34	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x239a3a…
06-19 13:26:10	Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1eacc0…
06-11 22:12:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x00c6a9…
06-11 20:35:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x430fb7…
06-11 16:26:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x70b61d…
06-11 07:03:45	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x57fc91…
06-11 06:44:31	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x7e6077…
06-10 17:30:18	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x75a5b8…
06-10 14:53:24	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x93a190…
06-03 19:29:30	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xb4608f…
06-01 09:53:21	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4e483e…
05-31 15:02:05	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcc39a0…
05-30 09:37:43	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1f9470…
05-29 21:31:57	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa025bf…
05-28 14:03:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2b2685…
05-28 10:49:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0xa3d0d8…
05-25 13:31:53	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xb09953…
05-25 09:11:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xc1b583…
05-18 17:38:05	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x70ce30…
05-18 12:51:13	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x38eae9…
05-15 10:56:21	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xe978e4…
05-14 13:30:58	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x51ea84…
05-07 17:52:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x605aa6…
04-01 06:27:33	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x446597…
03-16 09:00:15	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xa939ae…