Narrow-Impropriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$738

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$336

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-11 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

41% 68% +$1

Crypto

40% 92% +$2

Sports

15% 40% -$742

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-339	-$310	97¢	$-328	-$19	05-18 03:08
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	05-02 02:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+2	$2	97¢	$2	+$0	08-08 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$624	312	312	+0	No	$0	04-19 02:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 20	2	$620	312	312	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 09:34
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$620	312	312	+0	No	$0	04-21 02:37
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$620	311	311	+0	No	$0	04-18 02:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$620	311	311	+0	No	$0	04-10 13:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$619	315	315	+0	No	-$1	04-12 11:58
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$604	304	304	+0	No	+$2	03-28 00:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$551	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 06:43
nba mil uta 2026 03 19	1	$402	600	0	+600	Jazz	-$402	03-19 08:16
nba hou mia 2026 02 28	11	$348	600	0	+600	Heat	-$348	02-28 08:30
nba uta phi 2026 03 04	1	$312	400	0	+400	76ers	+$88	03-04 14:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$310	311	0	+311	Yes	+$1	04-21 07:17
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	1	$310	311	0	+311	No	+$1	04-21 02:37
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$310	310	0	+310	Yes	+$0	04-16 02:35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$310	0	339	-339	open	—	05-18 03:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	03-28 03:33
nba cle dal 2026 03 13	3	$80	500	0	+500	Cavaliers	-$80	03-13 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	5	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	2	$11	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	06-06 01:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-27 00:45
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 07:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 02:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 02:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-02 02:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	08-08 06:36
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-23 07:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-27 02:02
wta escorih higuita 2026 03 28	1	$2	2	0	+2	Irene Burillo Escorihuela	+$0	03-29 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 00:45 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	03-27 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	09-11 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8a7ab6…
08-08 06:36:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe74b55…
07-28 12:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9d2cb0…
07-28 12:28:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc17163…
06-21 12:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18132d…
06-06 01:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0x94feef…
06-06 01:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xd059db…
06-06 01:55:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x018b58…
06-06 01:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe6b7f3…
06-06 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0b5969…
06-06 01:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6e4492…
06-06 01:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfc8c88…
06-06 01:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x1fa3a0…
05-30 02:27:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x970032…
05-27 02:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcb1a3c…
05-18 06:43:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	69¢	$275	0x2dc7d5…
05-18 04:49:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	69¢	$275	0xe41b29…
05-18 03:08:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	339	91¢	$310	0x2f4afd…
05-02 02:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x523c77…
05-02 02:57:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae2d30…
05-02 02:56:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb220b1…
05-02 02:56:38	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34280e…
05-01 11:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd342f6…
04-24 01:53:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa45fc…
04-21 07:17:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xac31ed…
04-21 02:37:44	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 20	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xd17217…
04-21 02:37:18	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	312	99¢	$310	0x971310…
04-20 09:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x926ab9…
04-20 09:35:42	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0xa04e9b…
04-20 09:34:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	SELL	312	99¢	$310	0x5fc1c4…
04-20 02:45:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	Yes	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0xe0e3a9…
04-19 02:58:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0xa7ea15…
04-18 02:28:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0xc41dcb…
04-18 02:25:42	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0x3cfb23…
04-17 11:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b3d9f…
04-17 03:16:44	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x2ad24f…
04-16 04:08:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72ca6f…
04-16 02:35:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x96b1f6…
04-12 11:58:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	315	98¢	$309	0x23b41e…
04-12 04:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x935a16…
04-12 04:04:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0x44508e…
04-10 13:21:09	val ns1 drx1 2026 04 10	DRX	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc67c89…
04-10 13:14:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0xe7cfaa…
04-10 04:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe44167…
04-10 03:07:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x456ca2…
03-29 04:22:06	wta escorih higuita 2026 03 28	Irene Burillo Escorihuela	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b9607…
03-28 03:33:09	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x06f650…
03-28 00:42:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0xe25e2a…
03-27 23:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb57aad…
03-27 00:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd67f2a…
03-27 00:45:49	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2e0df…
03-27 00:45:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47a6d9…
03-23 07:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4e90e0…
03-23 07:06:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb30622…
03-23 07:06:47	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3207e9…
03-23 07:05:59	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x1eb809…
03-23 02:56:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac1e39…
03-19 08:16:07	nba mil uta 2026 03 19	Bucks	BUY	600	67¢	$402	0xa1b7e9…
03-19 07:06:43	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ed12d…
03-13 07:47:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73a2a3…
03-13 03:38:25	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1ddeb8…
03-13 03:36:43	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Mavericks	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x71a2a1…
03-13 03:35:31	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Mavericks	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x0c3c4c…
03-13 03:35:25	nba cle dal 2026 03 13	Mavericks	BUY	463	16¢	$74	0xb6818b…
03-11 03:17:59	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe53e5d…
03-04 14:46:57	cbb jax bella 2026 03 04	Bellarmine Knights	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6a9bd6…
03-04 14:45:43	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xd0efea…
03-04 14:45:25	epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa7d733…
02-28 08:30:33	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf39b0c…
02-28 08:30:19	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0903c6…
02-28 08:29:55	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x3a3aea…
02-28 08:29:29	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2e3587…
02-28 08:27:33	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x05a883…
02-28 08:27:21	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xa91f6b…
02-28 08:26:53	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1f462c…
02-28 08:24:19	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7074a4…
02-28 08:23:01	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x17f462…
02-28 08:22:47	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	97	58¢	$56	0xca1653…
02-28 08:22:47	nba hou mia 2026 02 28	Rockets	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x6fce18…
02-28 08:18:25	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4c1c51…
02-28 08:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f4007…