(anonymous) 0x6b2262…3d7f30
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$95
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$87
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 06-18 18:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% — —
Other
22% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13 $11 86¢ $11 $-0 06-19 18:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +12 $11 90¢ $11 $-0 06-19 18:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-19 18:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +20 $11 46¢ $9 $-3 06-19 18:36
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 06-19 18:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 $-0 06-19 18:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 $-0 06-19 18:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $-0 06-19 18:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 06-19 18:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $-0 06-19 18:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-19 18:36
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-18 18:19
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-18 18:19
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-19 18:36
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-19 18:36
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $-0 06-19 18:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-19 18:36