Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

2,604

Trades

3,798

lifetime

Volume

$43.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 10-02 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

65% 29% -$1,625

Crypto

23% 57% -$286

Politics

8% 6% -$225

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	open	—	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x3958c8…
10-02 20:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x85d892…
10-02 19:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x87a397…
10-02 19:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xad1ebc…
10-02 19:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb71001…
10-02 18:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5fb283…
10-02 18:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x13d7ec…
10-02 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x18e19c…
10-02 17:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x98c55b…
10-02 17:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x540453…
10-02 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1c17d3…
10-02 16:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x0508d8…
10-02 16:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6becf9…
10-02 16:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7e5fa8…
10-02 16:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x5852d8…
10-02 15:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x0aad52…
10-02 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6fd644…
10-02 15:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xb590d5…
10-02 15:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2a1b0d…
10-02 14:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x3ce725…
10-02 14:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x61e815…
10-02 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x340797…
10-02 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x5f8bd8…
10-02 13:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe5133e…
10-02 13:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x08f1c4…
10-02 13:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa775d9…
10-02 13:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xb8d682…
10-02 12:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95ae1f…
10-02 12:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xcfce90…
10-02 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x640bf6…
10-02 11:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x6fd30c…
10-02 10:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x209e26…
10-02 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc9c409…
10-02 09:09:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-02 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x84f0b0…
10-02 08:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x998b2d…
10-02 07:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf752ec…
10-02 06:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5f0008…
10-02 06:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6e3177…
10-02 06:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7a617d…
10-02 06:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x33dacc…
10-02 05:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8aedf2…
10-02 05:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x12cf16…
10-02 05:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x740a2a…
10-02 05:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x99c993…
10-02 04:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x819259…
10-02 04:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2209c2…
10-02 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4a1231…
10-02 04:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x176bc2…
10-02 03:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x26282d…
10-02 02:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x74d236…
10-02 02:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5eb123…
10-02 00:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x3145fb…
10-02 00:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6efea8…
10-01 23:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x56b290…
10-01 22:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xf9d11a…
10-01 22:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xca7315…
10-01 20:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5c0270…
10-01 20:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x33a8fb…
10-01 19:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8d0d8c…
10-01 19:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0ff5be…
10-01 19:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x604082…
10-01 18:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd2e744…
10-01 18:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3c67ec…
10-01 18:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x3c8ace…
10-01 18:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x60706e…
10-01 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa6f4a0…
10-01 17:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc7748d…
10-01 17:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x769000…
10-01 16:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xeede14…
10-01 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0db220…
10-01 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xff8b11…
10-01 15:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9a8e08…
10-01 14:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc54f29…
10-01 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5472fe…
10-01 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x64947c…
10-01 13:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8bf713…
10-01 13:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x19ddc9…
10-01 13:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7b39c4…
10-01 12:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf0e77a…
10-01 12:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9c1403…
10-01 11:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0fde2c…
10-01 11:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x258137…
10-01 10:27:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6cfccd…
10-01 08:51:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbc955d…
10-01 08:39:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe735ae…
10-01 08:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3837b8…
10-01 07:45:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0caf3a…
10-01 07:30:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x27805e…
10-01 05:01:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcfcede…
10-01 04:17:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5f896e…
10-01 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd8f39d…
10-01 03:27:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x524198…
10-01 02:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbb95c6…
10-01 01:18:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb5fc07…
10-01 01:02:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xca33a2…
10-01 00:46:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0a229b…
10-01 00:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x403fa0…
09-30 23:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9a52db…
09-30 23:16:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xc7534c…
09-30 23:05:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x35500e…