Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

207

4,005 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$441

$43.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-06 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

64% 28% -$1,705

Crypto

24% 56% -$317

Politics

8% 5% -$234

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6415d8…
11-06 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f1abb…
11-06 18:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf965c9…
11-06 18:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x639e4d…
11-06 18:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x27f034…
11-06 18:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1f9de4…
11-06 18:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7979e9…
11-06 18:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1d714d…
11-06 17:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xafe1d9…
11-06 17:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9a0fc7…
11-05 01:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x28ffe4…
11-05 01:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xb38670…
11-05 01:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x16c4b9…
11-05 01:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf4caa9…
11-05 01:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a4d6a…
11-05 01:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2326e4…
11-05 01:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xff9cbb…
11-05 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8ae7a6…
11-05 01:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb3c871…
11-05 01:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbb8598…
11-05 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8c058f…
11-05 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x636ae4…
11-05 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3f7a01…
11-05 01:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65b7be…
11-05 01:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbf6b53…
11-05 01:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdeee9d…
11-05 01:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x950b4a…
11-05 01:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x467d3c…
11-05 01:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1b8181…
11-05 01:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x6309fb…
11-05 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x41a008…
11-05 01:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x26c603…
11-05 01:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb77707…
11-05 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa232be…
11-05 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7838ab…
11-05 01:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x046b60…
11-05 01:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xefd749…
11-05 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x412ec1…
11-05 01:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdc8cfe…
11-05 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf37bab…
11-05 01:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x47d1ed…
11-05 01:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x24dc48…
11-05 01:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x88a20a…
11-05 01:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x89d441…
11-05 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x66c5ae…
11-05 01:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x271b01…
11-05 01:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7e9495…
11-05 01:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3f5c8a…
11-05 01:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xf311d5…
11-05 01:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xe2d738…
11-05 01:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0388a1…
11-05 01:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcf2997…
11-05 01:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x748352…
11-05 01:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9bd8e8…
11-05 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfb71a8…
11-05 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x88a1be…
11-05 01:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x08876a…
11-05 01:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x59e2eb…
11-05 01:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x278431…
11-05 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa70cca…
11-05 01:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x956ee8…
11-05 01:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb5a74c…
11-05 01:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1e48ef…
11-05 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x7dae94…
11-05 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x24a9a4…
11-05 01:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc28d98…
11-05 01:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x11b0b0…
11-05 01:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2a9667…
11-05 01:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x805f67…
11-05 01:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6f1057…
11-05 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe328c3…
11-05 01:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6597bb…
11-05 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb4fd43…
11-05 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x004b61…
11-05 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3c8e96…
11-05 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x617bab…
11-05 01:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3b57db…
11-05 01:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x15d9e8…
11-05 01:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf04c39…
11-05 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xd41880…
11-05 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x500b33…
11-05 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4dc270…
11-05 01:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xaee8f5…
11-05 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x09320d…
11-05 01:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbecbd0…
11-05 01:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf7e676…
11-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3743c…
11-05 01:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0a46b8…
11-05 00:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe862cf…
11-05 00:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbd90af…
11-05 00:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0ef604…
11-05 00:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcd99e4…
11-05 00:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x960e2c…
11-05 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xb52407…
11-05 00:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x28591e…
11-05 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x4a12b7…
11-05 00:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x30e39d…
11-05 00:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd122af…
11-05 00:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa7761b…
11-05 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfe7d04…