Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved (90d)

3,769

Trades (90d)

4,256

5,433 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.5K

$47.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-15 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Other

59% 27% -$1,717

Crypto

30% 55% -$98

Politics

8% 5% -$282

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	—	+10	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	11-15 10:27
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-30 20:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x573e56…
11-15 10:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x629a2c…
11-15 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa83c5c…
11-15 10:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85c22d…
11-15 10:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcd474a…
11-15 10:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb3a381…
11-15 09:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xbd1205…
11-15 09:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf5e42c…
11-15 09:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x126938…
11-15 09:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a39d8…
11-15 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3f52e0…
11-15 09:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8316b3…
11-15 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe66cd5…
11-15 09:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb8cbd…
11-15 08:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x785e5b…
11-15 08:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x43bdad…
11-15 08:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa72c9c…
11-15 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6871b6…
11-15 08:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd46e58…
11-15 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x33344f…
11-15 08:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa5e305…
11-15 08:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x71072e…
11-15 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x098a8a…
11-15 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x11b0c5…
11-15 07:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x10f906…
11-15 07:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x406c7a…
11-15 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xadaff3…
11-15 07:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5dd773…
11-15 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x149e3c…
11-15 07:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x6d1d29…
11-15 07:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xc97803…
11-15 07:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x270b43…
11-15 07:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6d9998…
11-15 06:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xedcab3…
11-15 06:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe9e9e9…
11-15 06:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x659423…
11-15 06:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd07b2d…
11-15 06:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x59c803…
11-15 06:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd7cfc4…
11-15 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x958a45…
11-15 06:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8d6f0…
11-15 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7eb99c…
11-15 05:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x38b5f1…
11-15 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x821cf1…
11-15 05:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0c43e6…
11-15 04:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x037817…
11-15 04:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64c239…
11-15 03:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x520677…
11-15 03:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc35077…
11-15 03:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeea947…
11-15 03:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x928d7e…
11-15 03:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdb3aca…
11-15 03:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x37d13e…
11-15 02:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf2777…
11-15 02:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdc852e…
11-15 01:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x414355…
11-15 01:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xacd4d8…
11-15 01:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb5a6a9…
11-15 01:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd9973e…
11-15 01:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69a28c…
11-15 01:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05d2c0…
11-15 01:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb70867…
11-15 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x89b207…
11-15 01:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x350d44…
11-15 01:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x56aab0…
11-15 01:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd99feb…
11-15 01:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x95067d…
11-15 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1a4d2c…
11-15 01:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa11377…
11-15 00:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc6cc8e…
11-15 00:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb60ed…
11-15 00:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9a942c…
11-15 00:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xee0954…
11-15 00:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb071b6…
11-15 00:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xafb322…
11-15 00:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8b26dc…
11-15 00:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x038ec4…
11-15 00:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf94fc4…
11-15 00:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x9dbed2…
11-15 00:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2f2d4b…
11-15 00:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfc7e3f…
11-15 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x898987…
11-14 23:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x623391…
11-14 23:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x96c488…
11-14 23:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x76a8e0…
11-14 23:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7cf8b7…
11-14 23:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12de12…
11-14 23:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6ecbe9…
11-14 23:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x811cdd…
11-14 23:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb10be2…
11-14 23:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x62c073…
11-14 23:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x01d804…
11-14 23:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf3d9c7…
11-14 23:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb7593f…
11-14 23:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5d9304…
11-14 23:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0505ff…
11-14 23:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xf9795f…
11-14 22:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x1cb0e1…
11-14 22:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe43c73…
11-14 22:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa0a954…