Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.71K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved (90d)

3,492

Trades (90d)

3,950

5,071 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.6K

$45.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-13 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

61% 27% -$1,717

Crypto

28% 55% -$221

Politics

8% 5% -$234

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	57¢	$3	+$0	11-13 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-13 19:48
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-30 20:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53bc6d…
11-13 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0cb31…
11-13 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e3a7c…
11-13 19:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd89a27…
11-13 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5434b…
11-13 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69fadf…
11-13 18:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x828ce6…
11-13 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa37427…
11-13 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbb1fd0…
11-13 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e9293…
11-13 17:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf6533…
11-13 17:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18bb0e…
11-13 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe7f38e…
11-13 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xeb30de…
11-13 16:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0f859d…
11-13 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaeb482…
11-13 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeac2c0…
11-13 15:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa06e1b…
11-13 15:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x53131f…
11-13 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf17c41…
11-13 15:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x79b500…
11-13 15:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0c6c3d…
11-13 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x385ca7…
11-13 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x470706…
11-13 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0353ac…
11-13 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x06123e…
11-13 14:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3317a7…
11-13 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0f67d…
11-13 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x203531…
11-13 14:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x93af74…
11-13 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2ef0f1…
11-13 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf7d46b…
11-13 14:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd2cd45…
11-13 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x43b2b9…
11-13 14:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaed525…
11-13 14:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac9b04…
11-13 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0783c…
11-13 13:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde1247…
11-13 13:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90a459…
11-13 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x09e641…
11-13 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8419d1…
11-13 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xabe68b…
11-13 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x650576…
11-13 12:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2ff716…
11-13 12:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x338c7b…
11-13 11:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x99fcd9…
11-13 11:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d3fd4…
11-13 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a0c8a…
11-13 11:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x1594eb…
11-13 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3b6800…
11-13 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0a3700…
11-13 11:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2d2346…
11-13 10:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2997e9…
11-13 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xa59703…
11-13 10:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8fa6aa…
11-13 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xd2ffda…
11-13 10:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3f9dcb…
11-13 10:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x06bbf7…
11-13 10:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2bba91…
11-13 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86d1f1…
11-13 10:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x66e9c5…
11-13 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaed345…
11-13 09:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x469616…
11-13 09:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8378b…
11-13 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x89f3eb…
11-13 09:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca7969…
11-13 08:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x054d3f…
11-13 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbecd52…
11-13 08:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93c28e…
11-13 08:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcc3c03…
11-13 08:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xdb73d6…
11-13 08:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf31ebc…
11-13 07:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc23573…
11-13 07:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf3bcac…
11-13 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x379f21…
11-13 07:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc2a204…
11-13 07:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x09e92b…
11-13 06:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x96f229…
11-13 06:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x85d9ff…
11-13 06:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a5c8c…
11-13 06:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb93f97…
11-13 06:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbf063f…
11-13 06:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5a66d8…
11-13 05:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0c1fa2…
11-13 05:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0ff356…
11-13 05:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1fc915…
11-13 05:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3b5379…
11-13 05:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x81bcb4…
11-13 05:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc4d7ff…
11-13 05:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x011b95…
11-13 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc8db6c…
11-13 04:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5bdac4…
11-13 04:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xab4db1…
11-13 04:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x259654…
11-13 04:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x69f2f4…
11-13 04:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfb25d0…
11-13 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb05639…
11-13 04:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x137e3c…
11-13 04:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xee3857…
11-13 04:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x953c89…