Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.87K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

26.0%

Resolved (90d)

3,280

Trades (90d)

3,705

4,826 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.0K

$45.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-12 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

62% 27% -$1,717

Crypto

27% 55% -$298

Politics

8% 5% -$234

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	50¢	$3	+$0	11-12 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	—	+1	$0	50¢	$0	+$0	11-12 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-12 10:10
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	—	+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-30 20:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 10:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x048599…
11-12 10:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x774c4d…
11-12 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08da0b…
11-12 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3eb372…
11-12 09:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xae12e4…
11-12 09:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9f3e33…
11-12 09:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3994c…
11-12 09:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x74825c…
11-12 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x36aa06…
11-12 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x41e4ae…
11-12 09:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1866b0…
11-12 09:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9d51fc…
11-12 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x04d889…
11-12 08:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x0932ad…
11-12 08:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb5a18a…
11-12 07:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf35ef2…
11-12 07:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf76005…
11-12 07:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x404670…
11-12 07:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1de084…
11-12 06:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa47e0c…
11-12 06:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbacd31…
11-12 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xceb0c2…
11-12 06:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9e4cd6…
11-12 06:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7bb406…
11-12 06:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd8defa…
11-12 06:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4645ad…
11-12 06:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0a0a56…
11-12 06:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x57dab9…
11-12 06:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4dd35d…
11-12 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xfecf4b…
11-12 05:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4fcdb4…
11-12 05:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x9ea395…
11-12 05:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2b7423…
11-12 05:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x184d83…
11-12 05:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x48c06b…
11-12 05:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xffcdcf…
11-12 05:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf37db5…
11-12 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x934e85…
11-12 05:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca0b88…
11-12 05:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe03472…
11-12 04:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67bd79…
11-12 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11322c…
11-12 04:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca37ca…
11-12 04:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdba31d…
11-12 04:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x320ed8…
11-12 04:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc4cc4b…
11-12 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xae6750…
11-12 04:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8cac6b…
11-12 03:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x910716…
11-12 03:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x25311d…
11-12 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0426b9…
11-12 03:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0891ed…
11-12 03:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50426d…
11-12 03:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1e6ab…
11-12 03:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcf9898…
11-12 03:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf1fcf2…
11-12 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xec5ed1…
11-12 02:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a2517…
11-12 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5a899d…
11-12 01:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x89d6c4…
11-12 01:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe60e07…
11-12 01:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3f79d4…
11-12 01:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x286690…
11-12 01:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa67074…
11-12 01:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa86cd…
11-12 01:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x108551…
11-12 01:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc28740…
11-12 01:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6c2b5…
11-12 01:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08e77b…
11-12 01:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xffce4d…
11-12 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe30c88…
11-12 00:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xe19eb2…
11-12 00:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb6f57c…
11-12 00:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfbc9ba…
11-12 00:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc264ed…
11-12 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xddda02…
11-12 00:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x49f459…
11-12 00:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7d173b…
11-12 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x720be8…
11-11 23:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x421605…
11-11 23:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x88d4af…
11-11 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a5c2f…
11-11 23:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbc5603…
11-11 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xced6b6…
11-11 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd95ab5…
11-11 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xed99da…
11-11 23:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1d4eee…
11-11 23:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac0426…
11-11 23:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc04c5a…
11-11 22:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1be740…
11-11 22:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe60828…
11-11 22:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x3d5602…
11-11 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x70e7d6…
11-11 22:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x373c20…
11-11 22:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7a9309…
11-11 22:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00b3ad…
11-11 22:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb30f83…
11-11 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x56b3a6…
11-11 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x563993…
11-11 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x771439…