Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$83

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

30.5%

Resolved (30d)

1,051

Trades (30d)

1,320

5,112 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.97K

$46.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-14 01:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

61% 27% -$1,717

Crypto

28% 55% -$232

Politics

8% 5% -$234

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	—	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	11-14 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	—	+10	$5	10¢	$1	-$4	11-14 02:40
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-30 20:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 02:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd68619…
11-14 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x91aebb…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x62a321…
11-14 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa6325e…
11-14 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda10f3…
11-14 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbc94cc…
11-14 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa60aa7…
11-14 02:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32411a…
11-14 02:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb8b516…
11-14 02:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa982a2…
11-14 02:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb0c97d…
11-14 02:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x23f7f9…
11-14 01:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4169c4…
11-14 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcbf0b…
11-14 01:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6b45c…
11-14 00:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb38c2…
11-14 00:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x525cd2…
11-14 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcf83cc…
11-14 00:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x870290…
11-14 00:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94f720…
11-14 00:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x837cfd…
11-13 23:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8c086…
11-13 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa357f7…
11-13 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1b6806…
11-13 23:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x1e1bc0…
11-13 23:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2caa3d…
11-13 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x143c4f…
11-13 23:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc38c8b…
11-13 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa05989…
11-13 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b4e5b…
11-13 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeeaa80…
11-13 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x192691…
11-13 22:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3cf559…
11-13 21:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcf53e3…
11-13 21:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5fcef2…
11-13 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd66589…
11-13 21:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x63a8f1…
11-13 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57fce7…
11-13 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2bb02d…
11-13 21:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcc19c2…
11-13 21:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49df7f…
11-13 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdf7879…
11-13 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda0174…
11-13 20:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1078d9…
11-13 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x479c93…
11-13 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b659b…
11-13 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x040199…
11-13 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1df2c5…
11-13 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6d84dc…
11-13 20:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x814c76…
11-13 20:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfbfe9d…
11-13 19:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05f6de…
11-13 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53bc6d…
11-13 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0cb31…
11-13 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e3a7c…
11-13 19:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd89a27…
11-13 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5434b…
11-13 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69fadf…
11-13 18:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x828ce6…
11-13 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa37427…
11-13 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbb1fd0…
11-13 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e9293…
11-13 17:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf6533…
11-13 17:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18bb0e…
11-13 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe7f38e…
11-13 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xeb30de…
11-13 16:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0f859d…
11-13 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaeb482…
11-13 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeac2c0…
11-13 15:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa06e1b…
11-13 15:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x53131f…
11-13 15:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf17c41…
11-13 15:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x79b500…
11-13 15:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0c6c3d…
11-13 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x385ca7…
11-13 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x470706…
11-13 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0353ac…
11-13 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x06123e…
11-13 14:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3317a7…
11-13 14:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0f67d…
11-13 14:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x203531…
11-13 14:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x93af74…
11-13 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2ef0f1…
11-13 14:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf7d46b…
11-13 14:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd2cd45…
11-13 14:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x43b2b9…
11-13 14:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaed525…
11-13 14:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xac9b04…
11-13 14:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0783c…
11-13 13:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde1247…
11-13 13:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x90a459…
11-13 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x09e641…
11-13 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8419d1…
11-13 12:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xabe68b…
11-13 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x650576…
11-13 12:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2ff716…
11-13 12:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x338c7b…
11-13 11:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x99fcd9…
11-13 11:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d3fd4…
11-13 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4a0c8a…