Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$93

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.0%

Resolved (30d)

1,083

Trades (30d)

1,361

5,159 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.13K

$46.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-14 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

61% 27% -$1,717

Crypto

28% 55% -$241

Politics

8% 5% -$234

Tech

2% 6% -$70

Sports

1% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No		+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$0	07-30 20:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$948	550	550	+0	No	-$23	08-23 22:31
will warsh be out as fed chair by june 30 2027 20260723173503768	8	$944	542	542	+0	open	—	08-12 10:57
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$660	400	400	+0	No	-$4	08-09 07:57
ebola pandemic in 2026	2	$578	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 11:54
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$557	300	300	+0	open	—	08-09 17:43
Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	2	$516	300	300	+0	No	-$24	08-10 04:42
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$514	300	300	+0	open	—	08-10 17:07
new pandemic before 2028	2	$474	300	300	+0	open	—	08-14 04:53
jayden reed 449pt5 receiving yards 2026 27	4	$442	300	300	+0	open	—	08-16 00:47
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?	10	$403	233	233	+0	Yes	-$3	07-26 17:21
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?	6	$381	300	300	+0	No	-$5	08-12 01:00
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	3	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	-$5	07-26 19:51
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	6	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 08:12
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	4	$354	200	200	+0	No	-$14	08-07 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	6	$352	503	493	+11	Down	-$20	09-04 21:50
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	3	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	08-12 01:00
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	5	$324	182	182	+0	No	-$2	07-26 20:21
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	2	$311	200	200	+0	No	-$15	08-07 02:18
will trump say antifa in august 20260728220215922	2	$288	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-30 03:30
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	12	$285	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-30 03:06
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	4	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$11	07-26 17:24
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	9	$278	240	240	+0	No	-$10	08-11 08:32
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?	8	$266	146	146	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 08:31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	17	$265	222	222	+0	No	-$4	08-22 10:04
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	4	$251	183	183	+0	No	-$2	07-26 17:21
will paw patrol the dino movie score at least 86 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$249	300	0	+300	No	-$249	08-14 05:01
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	9	$244	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-26 23:38
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	2	$238	160	160	+0	No	-$27	08-13 00:36
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	7	$233	252	252	+0	open	—	07-30 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	4	$228	150	150	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 21:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 05:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b5be5…
11-14 05:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5e072…
11-14 05:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x44e447…
11-14 05:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0ccaad…
11-14 05:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4237c6…
11-14 05:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8f40a8…
11-14 05:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x392ce9…
11-14 05:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x576e1f…
11-14 05:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5439f9…
11-14 04:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2240b2…
11-14 04:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x630d0e…
11-14 04:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x04faa8…
11-14 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7437c3…
11-14 04:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c75a4…
11-14 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x3410f5…
11-14 04:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x835da4…
11-14 04:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc91c0c…
11-14 04:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x23c3f9…
11-14 04:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7467ed…
11-14 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64313d…
11-14 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfd8d2b…
11-14 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8294ac…
11-14 03:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4feb9e…
11-14 03:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57b4ee…
11-14 03:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe9da66…
11-14 03:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x555483…
11-14 03:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1d47ab…
11-14 03:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x13bd50…
11-14 03:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xfd2e48…
11-14 03:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb77b07…
11-14 03:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x582ac8…
11-14 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbfad5f…
11-14 03:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2148ef…
11-14 02:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x470f25…
11-14 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7f3279…
11-14 02:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd68619…
11-14 02:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x91aebb…
11-14 02:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x62a321…
11-14 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa6325e…
11-14 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda10f3…
11-14 02:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xbc94cc…
11-14 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa60aa7…
11-14 02:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32411a…
11-14 02:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb8b516…
11-14 02:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa982a2…
11-14 02:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb0c97d…
11-14 02:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x23f7f9…
11-14 01:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4169c4…
11-14 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcbf0b…
11-14 01:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6b45c…
11-14 00:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb38c2…
11-14 00:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x525cd2…
11-14 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcf83cc…
11-14 00:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x870290…
11-14 00:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x94f720…
11-14 00:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x837cfd…
11-13 23:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe8c086…
11-13 23:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa357f7…
11-13 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1b6806…
11-13 23:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x1e1bc0…
11-13 23:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2caa3d…
11-13 23:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x143c4f…
11-13 23:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc38c8b…
11-13 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa05989…
11-13 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b4e5b…
11-13 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeeaa80…
11-13 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x192691…
11-13 22:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3cf559…
11-13 21:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcf53e3…
11-13 21:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5fcef2…
11-13 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd66589…
11-13 21:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x63a8f1…
11-13 21:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57fce7…
11-13 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2bb02d…
11-13 21:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcc19c2…
11-13 21:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49df7f…
11-13 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdf7879…
11-13 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda0174…
11-13 20:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1078d9…
11-13 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x479c93…
11-13 20:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b659b…
11-13 20:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x040199…
11-13 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1df2c5…
11-13 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6d84dc…
11-13 20:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x814c76…
11-13 20:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfbfe9d…
11-13 19:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05f6de…
11-13 19:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x53bc6d…
11-13 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb0cb31…
11-13 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e3a7c…
11-13 19:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd89a27…
11-13 18:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5434b…
11-13 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69fadf…
11-13 18:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x828ce6…
11-13 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa37427…
11-13 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbb1fd0…
11-13 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e9293…
11-13 17:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf6533…
11-13 17:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18bb0e…
11-13 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe7f38e…