Realized P&L
+$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$362
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,780
lifetime
Volume
$212.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$8.38K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$10
Other
44% 67% +$1,824
Sports
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -1,453 $-1,355 97¢ $-1407 $-51 06-06 11:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,579 $1,166 73¢ $1.2K $-14 06-08 17:22
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1,111 $1,000 94¢ $1.0K +$39 06-08 17:29
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1,149 $1,000 86¢ $994 $-6 06-09 19:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,775 $-1,284 24¢ $-925 +$359 06-04 03:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -959 $-919 96¢ $-917 +$2 06-09 19:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +889 $800 92¢ $813 +$13 06-07 16:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -832 $-816 96¢ $-795 +$21 06-06 03:17
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +468 $341 72¢ $339 $-2 06-08 17:21