Realized P&L
+$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$421
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,933
lifetime
Volume
$260.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$135
Open exposure
$9.19K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 22:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
47% 100% +$10
Other
45% 67% +$1,824
Sports
7%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -1,625 $-1,578 100¢ $-1622 $-44 06-20 14:13
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -1,519 $-1,553 100¢ $-1515 +$37 06-22 21:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -1,453 $-1,355 100¢ $-1452 $-96 06-06 11:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,579 $1,166 72¢ $1.1K $-29 06-08 17:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -832 $-816 100¢ $-830 $-14 06-06 03:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,775 $-1,284 19¢ $-717 +$566 06-04 03:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +853 $751 82¢ $704 $-47 06-25 22:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +553 $502 99¢ $550 +$48 06-28 21:23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +468 $341 74¢ $344 +$3 06-08 17:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +464 $320 68¢ $318 $-2 06-26 02:57