High-Episode — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.83K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,432

lifetime

Volume

$345.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$10

Other

45% 67% +$1,824

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	24	$9.5K	9,551	510	+9,041	open	—	06-30 17:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	47	$9.0K	5,135	5,135	+0	open	—	05-24 21:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	22	$7.9K	4,075	4,179	-104	open	—	05-30 23:39
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	30	$7.4K	3,740	3,845	-105	open	—	02-06 20:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	26	$7.0K	5,959	4,895	+1,064	open	—	01-30 23:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	58	$6.6K	3,640	3,640	+0	No	+$565	04-12 20:52
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	34	$6.6K	3,430	3,471	-41	open	—	07-25 06:14
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$6.2K	3,166	3,166	+0	open	—	06-24 21:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	42	$5.0K	5,868	6,011	-143	open	—	02-28 07:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	21	$4.7K	2,958	2,160	+798	open	—	05-15 18:18
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	33	$4.7K	2,517	2,517	+0	open	—	06-26 22:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$4.3K	4,294	1,505	+2,789	open	—	08-12 18:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	29	$4.2K	3,444	1,023	+2,421	open	—	08-12 18:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	30	$4.1K	2,281	2,281	+0	open	—	03-13 22:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	24	$4.1K	2,108	2,108	+0	open	—	04-17 19:42
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	16	$4.1K	2,739	1,565	+1,174	open	—	07-31 14:35
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	17	$4.0K	2,323	2,090	+233	open	—	04-27 22:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$3.8K	2,430	2,430	+0	open	—	02-25 20:53
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	2	$3.8K	1,937	1,937	+0	open	—	08-06 18:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	5	$3.5K	2,040	2,040	+0	open	—	05-23 19:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	36	$3.4K	2,125	2,125	+0	open	—	07-19 23:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	9	$3.4K	1,868	1,868	+0	open	—	04-18 19:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	3	$3.3K	1,706	1,706	+0	open	—	05-22 05:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	05-27 18:25
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	10	$3.3K	1,431	1,987	-556	open	—	06-20 14:10
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	14	$3.3K	1,709	1,818	-109	open	—	03-09 22:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	3	$3.2K	1,685	1,685	+0	open	—	04-18 19:42
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	11	$3.2K	1,078	2,213	-1,135	open	—	06-27 16:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$3.2K	889	2,408	-1,519	open	—	06-22 21:19
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	19	$3.1K	2,320	1,498	+822	open	—	05-19 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 23:20:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xcf594d…
08-12 22:19:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91c35b…
08-12 22:04:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x52c1b4…
08-12 20:14:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6919b7…
08-12 20:14:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	116	82¢	$95	0xcc95e0…
08-12 18:59:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xa25861…
08-12 18:55:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa2d0cc…
08-12 18:52:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x50699e…
08-12 18:46:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0xb7a001…
08-12 18:45:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x73b6fb…
08-12 18:43:39	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	96	79¢	$76	0x5c8139…
08-11 22:34:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xd80a21…
08-11 21:09:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xcedf10…
08-11 18:17:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0x13d68b…
08-11 18:13:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x9cd3e8…
08-11 18:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf9ea4…
08-11 18:08:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x60b0f3…
08-11 18:00:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x7c0629…
08-11 17:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xbcd4c4…
08-11 17:38:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x798036…
08-11 17:32:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x650b8b…
08-11 17:31:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xd7bb7a…
08-11 17:31:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xcb0a35…
08-11 11:07:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	213	47¢	$100	0x0ffd21…
08-11 08:01:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x6237c3…
08-11 07:45:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x93d638…
08-11 06:37:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xf302cf…
08-11 02:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x60152b…
08-10 22:11:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	188	47¢	$88	0x5f63da…
08-10 20:46:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	2,083	48¢	$1,000	0x85c489…
08-10 20:41:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1,280	86¢	$1,101	0x4389dd…
08-10 20:34:51	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x7ac9a1…
08-10 20:24:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x913246…
08-10 20:23:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x850bc4…
08-10 19:08:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x93cd85…
08-09 15:06:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x7e6a38…
08-09 14:28:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xbb5b50…
08-09 14:25:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x59749b…
08-09 13:06:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	1,368	31¢	$421	0xb8a065…
08-09 13:04:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	182	55¢	$100	0xd98e6e…
08-09 13:03:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0xfc8caa…
08-09 13:03:00	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x4aa723…
08-09 11:22:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2,252	8¢	$180	0x7a1719…
08-09 10:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x2f16e9…
08-09 07:02:13	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8ed036…
08-09 05:45:48	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x84dc31…
08-09 05:38:00	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xef50a8…
08-09 04:34:16	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x6b1caa…
08-09 03:27:52	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x20ea2b…
08-09 03:18:49	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x1c45f8…
08-09 02:10:01	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x99feef…
08-09 00:23:57	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x915074…
08-08 22:29:45	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x2a9e92…
08-08 22:23:15	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x895ce6…
08-08 21:58:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	641	37¢	$237	0x9a1a6b…
08-08 20:26:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x56afbe…
08-08 20:26:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0x56afbe…
08-08 20:25:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x42f8ec…
08-08 19:26:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x987443…
08-08 19:25:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x54df82…
08-08 19:25:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1,094	64¢	$700	0x8f0192…
08-08 18:57:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	93	63¢	$59	0x8e84c2…
08-08 18:48:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xff268a…
08-08 18:46:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd2248d…
08-08 05:06:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	180	53¢	$95	0xfb83d1…
08-08 01:20:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	96	78¢	$75	0xf4c5b7…
08-07 20:33:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0e2876…
08-07 19:41:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	465	86¢	$400	0xc15e14…
08-07 19:40:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x169f3d…
08-07 19:32:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x73c8c5…
08-07 19:31:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xbe696b…
08-07 19:14:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	348	79¢	$275	0xa73bff…
08-07 19:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	167	60¢	$100	0xa53fef…
08-07 10:19:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	234	77¢	$181	0x16dfc1…
08-07 06:43:54	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x370fe4…
08-07 02:25:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$10	0x9127aa…
08-07 02:14:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xea782c…
08-07 00:16:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x9a72ae…
08-06 23:42:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2ed913…
08-06 21:53:36	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0xd36a97…
08-06 21:52:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x30fa9a…
08-06 18:45:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	1,003	79¢	$790	0x366da8…
08-06 18:45:35	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x241572…
08-06 18:44:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	1,937	100¢	$1,935	0xcccfa2…
08-06 05:06:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x341c87…
08-05 22:14:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	363	99¢	$361	0xe66509…
08-05 21:46:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1,348	99¢	$1,340	0xbb66aa…
08-05 21:45:05	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	SELL	1,458	94¢	$1,370	0x2ad515…
08-05 15:09:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xd77930…
08-05 14:59:11	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x053161…
08-05 14:58:39	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x3f3bf7…
08-05 14:20:23	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0x49fd25…
08-04 18:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcd95c1…
08-04 18:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x3ed419…
08-04 18:10:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcf6b0f…
08-04 18:10:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcdc949…
08-04 18:10:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9a1f6d…
08-04 18:10:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8e70ea…
08-04 18:10:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfceff6…
08-04 18:10:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6f0172…