Realized P&L
+$13.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.66K
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
277
Trades
3,550
lifetime
Volume
$529.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$149
Open exposure
$29.4K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Politics
46% 63% +$5,894
Other
45% 75% +$5,627
Sports
8% 80% +$1,882
Crypto
1% 100% +$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,570 $5,003 92¢ $5.1K +$94 10-26 11:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,775 -$1,284 90¢ $-3379 -$2,095 06-04 03:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4,365 $3,233 74¢ $3.3K +$19 10-15 13:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,166 $2,872 74¢ $3.1K +$231 10-25 22:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,106 $2,534 83¢ $2.6K +$44 10-26 18:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,491 $2,320 94¢ $2.3K +$9 09-16 08:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,735 $2,100 80¢ $2.2K +$88 09-11 21:02
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +1,737 $1,401 96¢ $1.7K +$258 10-11 00:28
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +2,790 $923 44¢ $1.2K +$319 10-03 14:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2,757 $962 34¢ $924 -$38 10-03 14:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +937 $800 92¢ $862 +$62 10-22 02:30
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,158 $841 73¢ $846 +$5 09-20 15:35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -744 -$660 92¢ $-687 -$27 07-20 18:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +882 $1,127 72¢ $631 -$496 09-27 21:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +738 $447 61¢ $450 +$3 10-23 19:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +108 $100 99¢ $107 +$7 10-18 18:35
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +284 $49 25¢ $72 +$23 09-27 21:28
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +0 $161 41¢ $0 -$161 08-03 23:51