Staid-Stumbling-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$27.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$455

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-16 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% 67% +$3

Other

31% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	15	$15.2K	7,633	7,633	+0	No	$-0	05-10 23:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$8.4K	3,765	4,765	-1,000	open	—	05-11 01:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$3.4K	1,754	1,800	-46	open	—	05-10 23:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$178	178	0	+178	open	—	06-08 03:36
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	3	$124	63	63	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 04:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$113	119	0	+119	open	—	05-08 11:56
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	2	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	05-11 01:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	05-11 01:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-08 12:08
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	07-08 06:01
will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	07-08 08:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-11 01:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	06-23 02:13
will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-07 18:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-25 23:22
XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 23:20
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-08 03:31
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-12 05:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	18	18	+0	open	—	06-12 13:32
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-16 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 03:59:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4fc0d4…
07-08 08:59:32	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x043608…
07-08 06:01:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2dd1d3…
07-07 18:05:25	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1a07fc…
07-05 09:31:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7cd03e…
07-05 09:28:07	will egypt reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149735	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4f88bf…
07-05 09:26:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa5fca1…
06-23 02:13:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x326956…
06-12 13:32:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x410653…
06-12 05:03:04	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0xf79888…
06-08 03:36:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xfea226…
06-08 03:32:07	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc2009d…
06-08 03:31:16	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde5ecf…
06-08 03:26:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x53f242…
06-08 03:24:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1626fa…
05-25 23:22:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xacc034…
05-25 23:21:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb173e9…
05-25 23:20:24	XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8f0c81…
05-11 04:55:03	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x38c970…
05-11 01:55:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x474370…
05-11 01:54:08	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe445dc…
05-11 01:51:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x10d6f2…
05-11 01:20:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	689	98¢	$677	0xc8dac3…
05-11 01:12:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	240	98¢	$236	0x299411…
05-11 01:10:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	351	98¢	$344	0xeff2e7…
05-11 01:07:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	358	98¢	$352	0x3bece3…
05-11 01:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x542f73…
05-11 01:02:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	3,055	98¢	$3,000	0x665bdd…
05-11 01:02:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x4930b6…
05-11 01:02:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x42c7cb…
05-11 01:02:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x23f62e…
05-10 23:40:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	95¢	$1,140	0x7b3e9f…
05-10 23:20:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6,260	99¢	$6,216	0x62b760…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xea2eff…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xcd1328…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xbc2930…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x8bcd6e…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x7c5e7f…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x6f8df1…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x640f5b…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x37027f…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	978	99¢	$971	0x30aec6…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2cf213…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x217468…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x213af7…
05-10 23:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0x0a92ae…
05-10 23:05:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	600	95¢	$570	0xca5e42…
05-10 23:04:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0x4bd0a7…
05-10 22:55:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7,633	99¢	$7,579	0xe59306…
05-10 22:52:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf27b72…
05-10 22:51:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3,748	98¢	$3,677	0xc737f0…
05-10 22:47:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd076fc…
05-10 22:47:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	974	95¢	$925	0x6478b2…
05-10 22:47:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	154	95¢	$147	0x3d6de9…
05-08 17:11:15	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x2c0614…
05-08 12:42:19	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6e3f74…
05-08 12:16:18	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x160ab9…
05-08 12:11:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xff8961…
05-08 12:08:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbe1fc1…
05-08 12:06:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xbe16b7…
05-08 11:56:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x75d7d5…