Sparkling-Veto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-29 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Politics

13% 50% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		-12	$-2	12¢	$-2	+$1	05-29 00:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 95 by march 20	24	$532	247,433	0	+247,433	open	—	03-17 04:13
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	18	$160	499	141	+358	open	—	03-24 02:35
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 20 147	5	$132	414	414	+0	open	—	03-18 23:00
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	8	$79	51	51	+0	open	—	04-13 23:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	11	$71	62,000	0	+62,000	open	—	04-20 20:21
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 20 2026 26c	4	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 21:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	6	$44	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-20 18:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$40	36	35	+1	open	—	04-10 13:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$39	71	69	+2	open	—	04-18 15:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	8	$38	75	75	+0	open	—	03-25 01:21
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$37	346	346	+0	open	—	04-01 13:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$31	79	79	+0	open	—	03-25 06:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	5	$30	6,703	150	+6,553	open	—	04-23 00:20
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 23:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	04-10 13:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 17 2026 33corbelow	3	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-17 01:36
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 20 2026 27c	4	$30	182	182	+0	open	—	03-20 19:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	6	$29	1,170	16	+1,154	open	—	04-22 04:10
Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$24	122	122	+0	open	—	04-09 00:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-11 16:07
highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 12corbelow	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 00:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-13 01:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 01:24
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 30corhigher	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-16 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	62	62	+0	Yes	$-1	03-25 00:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$19	84	81	+3	open	—	04-18 15:47
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be greater than 90m	3	$18	1,032	516	+516	open	—	03-22 00:43
highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 5c	4	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	03-20 23:52
will jonas sulzbach be the next person eliminated from big brother brasil 26	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-25 00:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$16	17	17	+0	open	—	04-11 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 00:34:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xe8e7c4…
05-14 00:23:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x8fb9fa…
05-02 20:46:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0a0f84…
04-27 23:58:36	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xe229a1…
04-27 23:52:48	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x2955cd…
04-25 02:21:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xd25039…
04-25 02:18:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf14d71…
04-25 02:15:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0x071295…
04-23 00:23:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4e50ce…
04-23 00:20:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x55397d…
04-22 04:10:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x19646d…
04-21 21:04:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xb81835…
04-21 21:03:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xc421c8…
04-21 17:40:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xc5dfb7…
04-21 02:54:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x884ba9…
04-21 02:46:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xc12d80…
04-20 20:21:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9cf043…
04-20 20:21:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x1fb185…
04-20 20:20:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x91e471…
04-20 18:29:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x9a5fa6…
04-20 18:29:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0xd3d6fa…
04-20 13:27:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf1439b…
04-20 13:15:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x4ce951…
04-19 18:59:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1c532c…
04-19 01:25:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x16a15c…
04-19 01:22:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x6b83ce…
04-18 15:47:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	81	11¢	$9	0xf42608…
04-18 15:47:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0xff39f9…
04-18 14:21:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xeb0930…
04-18 14:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xc41368…
04-18 12:05:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	150	5¢	$7	0x4b7552…
04-17 09:41:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3ae96d…
04-16 23:46:48	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x87c596…
04-16 23:43:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x593978…
04-16 23:43:14	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x3e6a86…
04-16 23:37:52	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xee91e4…
04-16 22:10:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xcebfa4…
04-16 22:09:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xd8cde4…
04-15 23:01:22	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xf5f8ec…
04-15 01:12:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x524d29…
04-13 23:23:37	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xfc8cbe…
04-13 23:11:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xf57222…
04-13 01:36:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1b8817…
04-13 01:33:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0x619a7d…
04-11 18:08:39	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7c9d68…
04-11 16:08:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xe7d4ed…
04-11 16:07:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x08b46e…
04-11 16:07:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x1935a0…
04-10 13:05:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	355	6¢	$20	0x26f708…
04-10 13:03:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0xd1de2a…
04-10 13:03:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x66d37a…
04-09 21:57:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0x258d32…
04-09 21:53:33	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	8	46¢	$3	0xa01ecd…
04-09 00:30:25	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xa3b43a…
04-08 01:36:27	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x923f49…
04-08 01:30:11	US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xfcf95a…
04-08 01:29:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x7c4284…
04-08 01:21:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3,100	0¢	$3	0xddbe07…
04-08 01:15:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf058ca…
04-08 01:12:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbf5ee9…
04-08 01:10:55	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x1e10a6…
04-05 23:02:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x7a328e…
04-05 23:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5659a9…
04-05 23:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x354c8b…
04-05 02:01:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	78	7¢	$5	0x26c27f…
04-05 02:01:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xf044ff…
04-05 01:57:03	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8bad75…
04-05 01:51:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9d8989…
04-05 01:46:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x9b5bf1…
04-05 01:42:39	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2d36c3…
04-05 01:35:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd07bb0…
04-04 03:04:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa366ef…
04-04 02:57:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5e03ed…
04-04 02:49:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5a9f80…
04-02 17:06:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x15cf96…
04-02 01:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x3b916a…
04-01 19:02:53	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x1b255b…
04-01 13:17:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xff792a…
04-01 13:16:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	280	0¢	$1	0xc89d63…
04-01 02:05:01	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb03e32…
04-01 00:20:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa85439…
04-01 00:11:19	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3db4b9…
03-31 17:01:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x62b10e…
03-31 14:31:15	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a85f0…
03-30 23:19:11	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x06e673…
03-30 02:58:44	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xde470f…
03-27 23:50:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf905c1…
03-27 23:14:31	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0xde79e9…
03-27 23:14:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x06d942…
03-27 23:14:05	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x303f88…
03-25 06:32:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xeac23f…
03-25 01:21:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x74791f…
03-25 01:19:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xbc709d…
03-25 01:12:57	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa29153…
03-25 01:12:43	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0xe24316…
03-25 01:12:13	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x31cb2a…
03-25 01:05:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x2d4321…
03-25 00:42:39	will jonas sulzbach be the next person eliminated from big brother brasil 26	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$7	0x24e7f7…
03-25 00:35:53	btc updown 5m 1774398900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64aa04…
03-25 00:31:59	btc updown 5m 1774398600	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x999c20…