Even-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

116

Trades

889

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-17 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 65% $-36

Sports

9% 67% $-3

Other

7% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	10	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$29	40	36	+5	Up	+$4	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	6	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 03:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 15:44
btc updown 5m 1774275300	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-23 14:20
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	10	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 02:14
itc com int 2026 03 04 com	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 21:54
btc updown 5m 1774385100	6	$15	15	8	+8	open	—	03-24 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 13:02
btc updown 5m 1773335400	4	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-12 17:13
btc updown 5m 1773261300	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-11 20:40
nhl sj buf 2026 03 10	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	03-09 20:03
btc updown 5m 1776695100	3	$13	7	6	+1	open	—	04-20 14:31
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 19:49
will vertiv holdings vrt be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 01:54
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 19:43
btc updown 5m 1774442100	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-25 12:41
btc updown 5m 1774104900	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-21 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 13:36
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-08 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$12	26	0	+26	Down	$-12	05-12 01:36
btc updown 5m 1773618600	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-15 23:55
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	7	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$10	7	5	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-12 01:15
btc updown 5m 1776435000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-17 14:14
btc updown 5m 1776436500	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 14:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 16:06:25	btc updown 5m 1781712300	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x92b702…
06-17 16:04:10	btc updown 5m 1781712000	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5340c9…
06-17 15:16:49	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb6cb5a…
06-16 12:54:43	btc updown 5m 1781614200	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x1fb183…
06-16 12:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781614200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc44162…
06-16 12:27:57	btc updown 5m 1781612700	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x27e8dc…
06-16 00:21:51	btc updown 5m 1781569200	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0e2111…
06-15 23:23:45	btc updown 5m 1781565600	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x856148…
06-15 23:09:22	btc updown 5m 1781564700	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcc573f…
06-15 22:56:52	xrp updown 5m 1781564100	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfe23c7…
06-15 22:48:57	btc updown 5m 1781563500	Up	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x74bcf1…
06-15 22:47:34	btc updown 5m 1781563500	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x07a6d3…
06-15 22:46:18	btc updown 5m 1781563500	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x68f3ca…
06-15 22:42:30	btc updown 5m 1781563200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97aaa0…
06-15 22:41:55	btc updown 5m 1781563200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78032a…
06-15 22:33:40	btc updown 5m 1781562600	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb5bf1d…
06-15 22:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781562600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x296823…
06-15 22:28:48	btc updown 5m 1781562300	Up	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x95ff57…
06-15 22:26:36	btc updown 5m 1781562300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f23c3…
06-15 19:40:49	btc updown 5m 1781552400	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd11f7e…
06-15 15:46:03	btc updown 5m 1781538300	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x88ee96…
06-14 19:01:03	btc updown 5m 1781463600	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x01eff2…
06-14 18:59:19	btc updown 5m 1781463300	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x15c9ae…
06-14 18:58:52	btc updown 5m 1781463300	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2b81b3…
05-28 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x38f413…
05-28 12:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x241f86…
05-28 01:16:23	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x750563…
05-28 01:15:47	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x30e55d…
05-14 00:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9809c0…
05-14 00:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf0e08b…
05-14 00:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x6f2b7e…
05-14 00:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb00a9c…
05-13 23:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf91fea…
05-12 22:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf9d7a1…
05-12 14:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6b1c97…
05-12 13:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7f8f6…
05-12 13:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x818434…
05-12 13:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x75a249…
05-12 13:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x4a6479…
05-12 13:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xbbf600…
05-12 13:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80b425…
05-12 13:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47a815…
05-12 13:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x90747e…
05-12 13:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6b4f88…
05-12 13:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x33e0f3…
05-12 13:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbdba92…
05-12 13:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64d947…
05-12 13:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6952a6…
05-12 13:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x5d7380…
05-12 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x397a5a…
05-12 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x227468…
05-12 13:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x449be5…
05-12 01:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8e1837…
05-12 01:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4ba2d4…
05-12 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x183aa8…
05-12 01:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2716a5…
05-12 01:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9f392a…
05-12 01:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd8595a…
05-12 01:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xce4448…
05-12 01:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x82d803…
05-12 01:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5ebc8f…
05-12 01:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5e4c9a…
05-12 01:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x33f4cf…
05-12 01:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x79a05b…
05-12 01:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8bdb90…
05-12 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xad0e31…
05-12 01:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x18a9a5…
05-12 01:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1cd0c7…
05-12 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf2f3e3…
05-12 01:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xeccca7…
05-12 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5cc9bd…
05-12 01:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4b0ebc…
05-12 01:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4a20d5…
05-12 01:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3da11d…
05-12 01:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa6f95f…
05-12 01:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x36b806…
05-12 00:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5eb492…
05-12 00:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65f473…
05-11 23:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa34ef0…
05-11 20:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xab9a52…
05-11 20:06:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc2d73f…
05-11 20:06:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbc4b2a…
05-11 20:00:53	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8587d4…
05-11 19:48:46	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x22dd52…
05-11 19:46:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb509b3…
05-11 19:43:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b3049…
05-11 19:40:33	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6766c5…
05-11 19:37:55	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x7e9c02…
05-11 19:36:45	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x922775…
05-11 19:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x35c435…
05-11 19:35:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4b8dad…
05-11 19:35:14	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x175b3d…
05-11 19:31:46	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xf7c210…
05-11 19:31:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6fdb84…
05-11 19:31:22	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf3207d…
05-11 19:31:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcd3ae2…
05-11 19:19:12	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x6cee55…
05-11 19:16:15	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x51ca36…
05-11 19:15:56	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6ae001…
05-11 19:12:03	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2c174f…