Exemplary-History — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-15 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

78% — —

Other

15% 25% +$25

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$3.0K	2,991	2,778	+213	open	—	03-26 20:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	7	$1.5K	957	957	+0	open	—	04-12 09:11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$1.5K	2,181	0	+2,181	open	—	03-23 11:45
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$1.4K	2,013	739	+1,273	open	—	02-27 13:22
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$1.1K	602	602	+0	open	—	01-30 06:16
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$976	746	746	+0	open	—	04-12 13:17
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$968	1,050	546	+504	open	—	05-28 18:01
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$801	1,428	592	+836	open	—	02-27 15:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$800	1,182	0	+1,182	open	—	03-01 04:15
nothing ever happens israel edition	5	$789	773	610	+163	open	—	02-27 13:41
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$698	859	232	+627	open	—	04-15 16:14
will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	2	$640	360	360	+0	open	—	01-30 06:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	4	$622	501	501	+0	open	—	04-12 13:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$514	345	345	+0	open	—	01-30 06:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$509	361	361	+0	open	—	03-08 21:26
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$500	595	0	+595	open	—	06-11 12:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$477	278	278	+0	open	—	02-27 13:41
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$459	263	263	+0	open	—	01-30 06:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$448	591	591	+0	open	—	05-23 17:08
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	3	$432	241	241	+0	open	—	02-27 15:18
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	3	$416	859	429	+429	open	—	02-27 19:52
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	1	$400	501	0	+501	open	—	07-08 14:26
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	1	$300	410	0	+410	open	—	06-18 22:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$300	600	0	+600	open	—	02-28 11:45
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	1	$300	361	0	+361	open	—	08-15 21:54
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$300	400	0	+400	open	—	05-30 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$257	377	189	+189	open	—	04-18 11:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$248	219	219	+0	open	—	04-08 08:34
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	3	$228	263	263	+0	Yes	+$28	05-10 12:26
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	1	$200	251	0	+251	open	—	03-04 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 21:54:31	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	361	83¢	$300	0x0734a6…
08-08 13:02:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x3e739d…
07-29 13:57:51	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x2fbce1…
07-24 08:06:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xc7a76e…
07-24 08:05:24	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xdd9d7a…
07-08 14:26:08	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	501	80¢	$400	0xcf4658…
06-27 05:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	221	48¢	$106	0x72c4f4…
06-18 22:50:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x1e220f…
06-18 22:50:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	329	61¢	$200	0xd0af7e…
06-18 22:50:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	410	73¢	$300	0xc6ca29…
06-13 09:16:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x39b95f…
06-12 06:14:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0x8c07be…
06-12 06:13:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x86687c…
06-11 12:24:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x33cbfa…
05-30 16:20:32	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x89fe22…
05-29 07:18:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x095697…
05-28 18:01:56	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0xc24611…
05-28 18:01:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	155	67¢	$103	0xcde6bd…
05-28 18:01:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	546	86¢	$468	0x990137…
05-23 17:08:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	362	42¢	$154	0x14a098…
05-16 21:57:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x3a744a…
05-10 12:26:46	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	78¢	$102	0x2a8b25…
05-06 10:00:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0x8e7708…
05-06 09:59:26	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	31¢	$100	0x0c5246…
05-05 16:52:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	153	42¢	$65	0x9029d6…
05-02 21:09:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	306	36¢	$110	0xf77e35…
04-24 06:28:26	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x52edcb…
04-24 06:28:14	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaf2a51…
04-24 06:28:04	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xcaf3b1…
04-24 06:27:50	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x909605…
04-24 06:13:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x641d31…
04-18 11:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	189	30¢	$57	0x556a71…
04-17 17:16:52	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	65¢	$200	0x945c40…
04-17 17:16:46	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x51af01…
04-17 17:14:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xb2a7e8…
04-17 17:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xcbb9c1…
04-17 17:11:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xac8c08…
04-16 15:51:58	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	20¢	$26	0xc32450…
04-15 16:14:04	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	86¢	$198	0xbbee11…
04-13 21:33:19	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x23ef28…
04-13 21:30:15	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	419	48¢	$200	0xd29a52…
04-13 21:27:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	859	58¢	$500	0x55fe4d…
04-13 08:03:01	Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x8c2434…
04-12 13:17:09	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	69	47¢	$32	0xf745d5…
04-12 13:17:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	178	50¢	$89	0xb03646…
04-12 09:11:35	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	177	64¢	$114	0x56b955…
04-12 09:11:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	146	85¢	$124	0x5421d7…
04-12 09:11:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	134	85¢	$114	0x4b0e1c…
04-12 09:10:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	258	85¢	$220	0x10951e…
04-12 09:10:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	178	67¢	$119	0xf48d36…
04-11 20:01:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xcc4b3a…
04-11 13:39:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	179	87¢	$156	0x73ccbe…
04-11 06:13:13	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x887020…
04-10 21:29:21	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0x59934d…
04-10 21:26:47	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0xcf8311…
04-09 15:48:05	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x25e096…
04-09 15:46:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	145	78¢	$114	0x3ff502…
04-09 15:46:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	239	86¢	$206	0x4f7bb4…
04-08 08:34:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	219	100¢	$218	0xc8d3e3…
04-07 20:29:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	219	14¢	$30	0x13dd74…
04-05 18:23:17	highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	46	88¢	$41	0x7bc1c8…
04-04 14:44:11	highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x6fd4dd…
04-03 08:38:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 3 2026 29corhigher	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc7abba…
04-03 08:38:09	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5513fe…
04-03 08:37:25	highest temperature in atlanta on april 5 2026 69forbelow	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xac5ca1…
04-03 07:45:19	highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x192872…
04-02 14:27:53	highest temperature in milan on april 3 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeb4185…
04-01 05:57:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xcac19f…
04-01 05:56:05	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	124	79¢	$98	0x74b8b1…
03-26 20:35:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x856c67…
03-26 20:35:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xa031e5…
03-24 22:14:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x1ed05f…
03-23 11:45:41	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0x55a55d…
03-23 11:45:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,389	53¢	$730	0xcdae75…
03-23 08:02:59	highest temperature in seattle on march 26 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x51ae5c…
03-23 07:43:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 24 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x48ae0c…
03-23 07:42:53	highest temperature in seattle on march 25 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x585466…
03-23 07:42:29	highest temperature in seattle on march 26 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa4b415…
03-20 10:33:07	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x76561e…
03-20 10:32:19	highest temperature in dallas on march 20 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x742260…
03-19 10:38:29	highest temperature in london on march 19 2026 17c	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48029b…
03-19 09:32:47	highest temperature in nyc on march 20 2026 54 55f	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7cc2c7…
03-19 09:31:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 20 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xc43332…
03-18 16:32:17	highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8b6895…
03-18 16:07:49	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 36 37f	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6c44c3…
03-18 16:07:35	highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 42 43f	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xf3e907…
03-18 16:07:21	highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 56 57f	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2569a9…
03-18 16:06:57	highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 42 43f	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8f5c47…
03-18 16:06:39	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 52 53f	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0936e4…
03-18 16:06:23	highest temperature in seattle on march 19 2026 56 57f	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x96bd64…
03-15 19:40:01	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 30 31f	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbf452d…
03-15 19:39:37	highest temperature in nyc on march 15 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeb419d…
03-14 18:43:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 14 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x222227…
03-14 17:58:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 16 2026 36forhigher	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xef1a92…
03-14 17:58:03	highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x7c5a1b…
03-14 16:19:35	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x97117f…
03-09 22:34:21	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xefbc04…
03-09 22:34:05	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe16b3e…
03-09 22:33:11	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x7e4f3c…
03-09 22:32:41	will csar dockweiler win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x7e7b00…