Glaring-Tin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$462

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$6.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$366

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-07 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

27% 100% +$462

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-200	$-188	96¢	$-191	$-3	06-07 01:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		+200	$174	88¢	$175	+$1	07-07 18:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$840	500	500	+0	open	—	02-18 18:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	16	$717	961	961	+0	open	—	07-01 08:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$564	300	300	+0	open	—	02-28 15:21
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	16	$523	300	241	+59	open	—	01-30 15:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$399	0	700	-700	Yes	+$399	01-22 14:39
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	1	$342	354	0	+354	open	—	03-11 12:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$239	300	0	+300	open	—	04-10 11:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$239	150	150	+0	open	—	04-05 09:51
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$216	150	150	+0	Yes	+$64	05-08 12:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	14	$188	0	200	-200	open	—	06-07 01:57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$188	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 16:48
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$180	100	100	+0	open	—	02-16 21:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$174	200	0	+200	open	—	07-07 18:17
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	02-07 17:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	7	$145	180	180	+0	open	—	07-01 07:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$133	175	175	+0	open	—	03-02 10:20
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$116	150	150	+0	open	—	01-22 10:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$104	450	225	+225	open	—	02-28 19:43
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	06-29 18:41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$78	134	134	+0	open	—	04-14 21:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 16:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$59	80	0	+80	open	—	02-28 15:50
will more than 10 senate democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill 721	3	$58	130	30	+100	open	—	01-30 23:25
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$56	100	0	+100	open	—	01-14 10:07
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$55	75	38	+38	open	—	03-06 19:53
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	4	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	07-07 13:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$50	0	55	-55	open	—	06-21 10:12
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	1	$47	0	50	-50	open	—	01-22 19:42
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$44	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 00:17
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$43	50	0	+50	open	—	06-29 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 18:17:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x540d6d…
07-07 13:14:16	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x2d86c3…
07-07 12:00:04	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xc2c641…
07-07 11:40:52	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x1a713d…
07-07 11:16:13	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6a5225…
07-07 11:07:11	will the next uk election be called by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x224966…
07-07 11:05:32	will the next uk election be called by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xa578ab…
07-05 14:49:29	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbc700d…
07-01 08:12:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x6f0ed3…
07-01 08:11:32	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	157	73¢	$115	0xae55f7…
07-01 07:50:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x899779…
07-01 07:48:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xbad9f0…
07-01 02:57:02	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x181cc6…
07-01 02:56:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x3f40d3…
07-01 02:40:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xde026d…
06-30 23:15:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	33	81¢	$27	0x48cd2f…
06-30 23:08:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x3aadb2…
06-30 22:44:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3295c9…
06-30 21:32:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	72¢	$108	0x8047b2…
06-30 15:29:31	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x71eb7c…
06-30 15:23:50	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	55¢	$82	0x868075…
06-30 15:23:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xea7e95…
06-30 15:23:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa135f6…
06-30 15:23:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x89078d…
06-30 15:13:14	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf4dc58…
06-30 15:13:11	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	295	62¢	$183	0x2711a8…
06-30 15:04:22	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeecb00…
06-30 15:04:19	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x01fad6…
06-30 15:04:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	10¢	$6	0x8768a6…
06-30 15:04:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	895	10¢	$90	0x816b41…
06-29 19:14:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x2a1748…
06-29 18:41:55	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xcf159d…
06-29 18:41:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xa68867…
06-22 05:14:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x999761…
06-21 10:12:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x7c9b2e…
06-21 10:12:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xcdf15f…
06-21 10:12:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x3df653…
06-12 15:41:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xf56ce4…
06-07 01:57:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x047af0…
06-07 01:54:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x33afe8…
06-07 01:54:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5b5ab9…
06-07 01:53:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xb0a31b…
06-07 01:48:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xb6fcf3…
06-07 01:38:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf83aad…
06-07 01:37:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2d74f4…
06-07 01:37:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x2b38de…
06-07 01:35:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x8e51ae…
06-07 01:31:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x45a619…
06-07 01:30:51	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x2ad3bd…
06-07 01:28:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6484b0…
06-07 01:21:54	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xfa54b6…
06-07 01:21:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7591f6…
05-20 16:48:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x07430e…
05-08 12:13:44	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0x50ce66…
05-08 12:12:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$10	0x6512d1…
04-30 14:46:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6a3384…
04-30 14:40:58	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x172003…
04-14 21:36:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	134	30¢	$40	0xd2249b…
04-14 13:26:45	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x9081e7…
04-14 13:14:15	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x968694…
04-14 11:38:43	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0xef5b39…
04-13 23:07:29	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xe2cfda…
04-13 13:17:21	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xc0cc7b…
04-13 10:27:49	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	No	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0x34d3c6…
04-13 10:08:01	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x149eed…
04-13 10:00:37	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf694db…
04-13 09:28:35	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 12c	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xec3a2c…
04-12 16:45:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc5d11d…
04-12 16:44:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xd23c2e…
04-10 18:15:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xa0261d…
04-10 17:30:09	highest temperature in istanbul on april 11 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xed16e3…
04-10 11:47:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xdab8c6…
04-09 21:10:53	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7a4e4f…
04-09 20:51:39	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4ca2ac…
04-09 20:09:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xc853a9…
04-09 12:36:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	134	29¢	$38	0x50eff2…
04-05 09:51:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7a524c…
04-04 12:25:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x8977ae…
04-03 15:18:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x58dd0d…
04-01 20:43:13	spx up or down on april 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3c574c…
04-01 19:24:05	will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xbb69bd…
04-01 19:23:35	will trump say regime change during address to the nation 537	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x336fce…
04-01 19:22:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x862970…
03-28 18:40:51	cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	Iowa Hawkeyes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x92943f…
03-24 23:21:31	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x042af6…
03-24 23:09:57	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x6542fb…
03-19 19:40:51	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Siena Saints	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0xc9f03f…
03-19 19:38:25	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Siena Saints	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xc58a60…
03-19 19:32:15	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Siena Saints	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x617ca9…
03-11 13:10:49	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xccaa48…
03-11 12:20:37	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	BUY	354	97¢	$342	0xde206e…
03-11 12:19:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x15e4f4…
03-06 19:56:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x34612e…
03-06 19:56:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x81ad89…
03-06 19:53:27	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0xad146f…
03-03 16:26:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	66¢	$49	0xbef9ec…
03-02 10:20:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	145	20¢	$29	0xfffc1e…
02-28 19:46:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xda2076…
02-28 19:46:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xacbc4f…
02-28 19:46:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xe1eff1…