Bad-Chief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$252

Unrealized P&L

-$581

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$150.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.00K

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-14 23:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

98% 100% +$326

Other

2% — —

Crypto

0% 60% $-74

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+1,114	$599	2¢	$18	$-581	06-14 20:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	23	$95.6K	81,698	75,185	+6,513	open	—	06-14 23:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	27	$22.4K	15,049	12,709	+2,340	open	—	05-28 16:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$19.4K	2,684	17,441	-14,756	open	—	06-05 06:32
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.2K	959	3,858	-2,899	open	—	05-26 21:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$3.6K	2,063	2,394	-331	open	—	05-26 17:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$2.4K	1,263	1,259	+5	open	—	04-29 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$599	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	06-14 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$571	300	300	+0	open	—	05-12 07:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$473	554	0	+554	open	—	05-10 02:08
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$409	207	207	+0	open	—	04-01 01:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$218	313	313	+0	open	—	05-21 17:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$185	300	300	+0	Yes	+$143	05-08 18:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$148	457	300	+157	Yes	+$183	05-08 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	6	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 06:05
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	10	$97	11,597	1,512	+10,085	open	—	05-13 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$80	245	0	+245	Down	$-80	05-10 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-08 05:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$18	153	153	+0	open	—	05-21 17:09
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$13	53	53	+0	open	—	05-24 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 21:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	06-12 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-10 12:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$10	244	0	+244	open	—	06-12 10:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	06-12 10:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-12 10:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	06-12 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-06 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-07 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 23:11:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	14,485	16¢	$2,256	0x5dd956…
06-14 22:15:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	8,359	24¢	$2,000	0x5a9ed5…
06-14 22:12:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16,393	24¢	$4,000	0xcdf38b…
06-14 22:11:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	28,348	23¢	$6,655	0xf60cb4…
06-14 20:56:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x2468f0…
06-14 20:44:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x06160e…
06-14 14:25:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	9,449	91¢	$8,599	0x0ab249…
06-13 17:12:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	62	63¢	$39	0x35f933…
06-13 17:11:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,785	63¢	$2,400	0xfdfb6d…
06-12 11:20:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,315	85¢	$3,663	0x79a854…
06-12 10:40:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	165	85¢	$140	0xfe250b…
06-12 10:38:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1edf82…
06-12 10:38:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x691eb1…
06-12 10:38:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd99dbd…
06-12 10:37:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x33fd54…
06-12 10:37:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0xe32952…
06-11 22:00:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,199	90¢	$2,892	0x5c6001…
06-11 20:31:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	974	85¢	$827	0x71bf2a…
06-11 20:12:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,328	83¢	$1,100	0xbc58d8…
06-11 20:07:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,500	84¢	$2,925	0xbca375…
06-11 04:12:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,550	97¢	$1,500	0x7ac017…
06-11 04:10:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x999762…
06-11 04:09:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xc7503e…
06-11 04:09:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5a59b6…
06-11 04:09:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xb8352a…
06-11 04:09:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,105	97¢	$2,999	0xebcb7a…
06-11 04:08:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	12,000	96¢	$11,580	0xa8f319…
06-10 19:49:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	22,902	97¢	$22,100	0x3ad983…
06-05 06:33:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	19,540	87¢	$17,000	0x9e19ae…
06-05 06:32:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	17,441	98¢	$17,040	0xae7b93…
06-04 14:16:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,362	86¢	$2,891	0xefa65a…
05-31 09:09:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,584	89¢	$2,300	0x742dc4…
05-28 16:59:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,233	86¢	$1,060	0xf0d9bd…
05-28 16:38:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,107	87¢	$963	0x77cf8e…
05-28 08:46:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	602	58¢	$349	0xbbbdb5…
05-28 05:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x44c82b…
05-28 05:30:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x1e9bd4…
05-28 05:27:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12,709	93¢	$11,820	0x579752…
05-26 21:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,038	74¢	$2,988	0x3ad522…
05-26 21:55:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,306	90¢	$2,988	0x9b32cc…
05-26 18:03:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,026	76¢	$2,300	0xdd6b58…
05-26 17:47:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2,394	98¢	$2,346	0x2b3297…
05-25 20:54:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	750	64¢	$480	0x4946c4…
05-24 22:09:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	70¢	$65	0x02cec2…
05-24 10:12:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	395	76¢	$300	0xd46797…
05-24 10:06:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x692048…
05-24 10:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	397	75¢	$300	0x9936e7…
05-24 07:08:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	361	72¢	$260	0x3959e5…
05-24 07:07:30	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0xb62444…
05-24 04:18:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xee36b7…
05-24 04:16:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x963a6f…
05-24 04:15:31	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	377	80¢	$300	0xf8501a…
05-24 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x935c2a…
05-24 03:18:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	442	43¢	$190	0xc59827…
05-24 03:16:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xfc11e8…
05-24 01:07:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	262	34¢	$89	0x2549ac…
05-24 01:06:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x4a594b…
05-24 01:06:06	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x53f09a…
05-24 00:02:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x1fcf1c…
05-24 00:00:55	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0xe1987a…
05-23 23:59:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xfd893c…
05-23 23:59:34	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	126	80¢	$100	0x2268cc…
05-23 23:58:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	349	33¢	$115	0x6ceb07…
05-23 23:58:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	126	80¢	$101	0x353d8e…
05-23 23:47:16	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	362	83¢	$299	0xb0eba1…
05-23 22:27:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	39¢	$19	0x4d6553…
05-23 22:26:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,482	39¢	$578	0x96554a…
05-23 20:26:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb7c3b7…
05-23 20:25:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x9fcd04…
05-21 17:12:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	77¢	$48	0x0b2a54…
05-21 17:10:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x476db4…
05-21 17:09:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xe48531…
05-21 17:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	153	6¢	$9	0x1a28f0…
05-21 17:08:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	80¢	$45	0x8bd63e…
05-21 17:07:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	157	29¢	$45	0xb0ea69…
05-19 00:44:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	153	6¢	$9	0xbd641e…
05-18 20:02:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	310	87¢	$270	0xf3aff2…
05-18 20:01:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x085cc0…
05-18 19:56:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xc8c238…
05-17 21:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xdbaece…
05-17 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5a1894…
05-17 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x54bacb…
05-17 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5595a9…
05-17 21:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x16f7a0…
05-17 21:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xd26910…
05-17 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xddcd9b…
05-17 21:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0d81ac…
05-17 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x88b11c…
05-17 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x577e92…
05-17 20:53:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa887d3…
05-16 14:40:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	157	34¢	$53	0x1822ce…
05-14 16:00:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x3dfd83…
05-14 15:59:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xb37267…
05-13 14:13:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x12876b…
05-13 01:47:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x00aeed…
05-12 07:42:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	723	83¢	$600	0x4ab048…
05-12 07:37:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0xb1e72a…
05-12 07:31:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x94d453…
05-11 20:08:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,505	0¢	$3	0x0253ce…
05-11 00:15:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xbefced…