Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

117

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-29 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 40% -$44

Politics

16% 33% +$21

Other

4% 28% -$12

Sports

2% 0% -$15

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No		+40	$10	20¢	$8	-$2	10-25 20:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes		+71	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	10-27 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$92	77	77	+0	Up	+$21	10-25 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$80	43	43	+0	Down	+$6	10-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$79	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	10-25 15:33
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$75	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	10-25 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$71	73	68	+5	Down	+$14	10-25 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$60	32	32	+0	Up	+$4	10-25 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$49	82	35	+47	Down	+$6	10-25 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$48	72	36	+35	Up	+$5	10-25 15:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	10-28 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$39	51	8	+43	Up	+$8	10-25 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$38	60	0	+60	Up	-$38	10-25 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$36	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$35	48	20	+28	Up	+$5	10-24 23:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$34	29	29	+0	Yes	+$24	10-26 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$30	57	29	+29	Up	+$22	10-24 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	10-24 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	14	$26	73	23	+50	Up	+$4	10-25 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$26	32	32	+0	Down	$0	10-26 05:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	10-29 20:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	3	$24	26	17	+9	Yes	+$3	10-26 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	10-26 18:17
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	10-29 20:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	10-28 14:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	10-25 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	8	$19	24	14	+10	Down	+$1	10-26 18:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	10-29 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$17	142	0	+142	Down	+$3	10-24 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$17	41	29	+11	Down	+$5	10-25 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$16	145	8	+137	Up	-$2	10-24 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$15	37	19	+18	Down	-$3	10-25 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:54:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x199ad3…
10-29 20:54:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0x61e31a…
10-29 20:53:27	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xce306c…
10-29 20:53:04	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x9b1cee…
10-29 20:52:49	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xd29ea9…
10-29 20:52:07	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x9cafc6…
10-29 20:51:42	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x9fce26…
10-29 20:51:30	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x992d8a…
10-29 20:51:07	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x5e2bbd…
10-29 20:50:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xc4073b…
10-29 20:50:27	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x40c400…
10-29 20:50:00	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xa4d807…
10-29 20:49:46	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x18b918…
10-29 20:49:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x069699…
10-29 20:49:18	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xcd44b3…
10-29 20:48:55	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x1312e5…
10-29 20:48:25	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x4b5bee…
10-29 20:48:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xe938d5…
10-29 20:47:18	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xd2703b…
10-29 20:46:28	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yana Santos	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x71e070…
10-29 20:46:06	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x38148b…
10-29 20:45:49	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Farman Hasanov	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xe510aa…
10-29 20:45:33	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xc6a654…
10-29 20:45:04	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x55d286…
10-29 20:44:24	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc6ef30…
10-29 20:44:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3ecb41…
10-29 00:37:20	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4ef0ff…
10-29 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x41db5b…
10-29 00:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x89e2ed…
10-29 00:33:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xacdbe5…
10-28 20:52:52	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc69ee7…
10-28 20:52:29	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7ae80e…
10-28 20:52:13	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x58b899…
10-28 20:51:50	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x905d3c…
10-28 20:51:29	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x08ce9c…
10-28 20:51:05	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe219b1…
10-28 20:49:35	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0c2e09…
10-28 20:49:23	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x849dab…
10-28 20:49:13	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Talita Alencar	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb66e28…
10-28 20:48:41	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Yana Santos	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x642a7c…
10-28 20:48:04	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	Julian Erosa	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x36ba15…
10-28 20:47:53	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Farman Hasanov	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2ecd77…
10-28 20:46:41	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x15ce03…
10-28 20:46:14	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5c18bc…
10-28 20:44:11	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa23349…
10-28 20:43:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd54e0c…
10-28 20:43:20	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdb7988…
10-28 20:41:43	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x11db0b…
10-28 20:40:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7c9246…
10-28 20:38:41	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x360df8…
10-28 14:59:56	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8466e3…
10-28 14:56:53	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x12c262…
10-28 14:56:04	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x79c236…
10-28 14:55:34	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb5769c…
10-28 14:54:58	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x091830…
10-28 14:54:22	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x18b562…
10-28 14:53:16	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x81c9d6…
10-28 14:51:58	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xe240d0…
10-28 14:51:34	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	25	82¢	$21	0x1c1b10…
10-28 14:48:58	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x521763…
10-28 14:48:01	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x8d0800…
10-27 17:37:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x8adbd5…
10-27 07:25:32	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xf44d89…
10-27 07:23:32	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc3c94a…
10-26 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x10b413…
10-26 20:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe339df…
10-26 20:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x732952…
10-26 20:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x4ce5ae…
10-26 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xed3acd…
10-26 19:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6ee05f…
10-26 19:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1806b6…
10-26 19:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2e4bd3…
10-26 18:48:15	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x133b1f…
10-26 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xb0784b…
10-26 18:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x298175…
10-26 18:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xd0055b…
10-26 18:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x024fa4…
10-26 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x526f74…
10-26 18:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x85b659…
10-26 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x0adc96…
10-26 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xd47508…
10-26 18:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x2bf1ca…
10-26 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x781bd9…
10-26 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x938d11…
10-26 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x276ca8…
10-26 18:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7d21ff…
10-26 18:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xde7311…
10-26 18:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x62231a…
10-26 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x5556a3…
10-26 18:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x26e97e…
10-26 18:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xcc08a3…
10-26 18:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6e21f0…
10-26 18:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc5851c…
10-26 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8755c9…
10-26 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x289ac0…
10-26 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4e95a6…
10-26 18:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb3f4fb…
10-26 18:00:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x93a509…
10-26 17:55:35	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa267ee…
10-26 14:15:05	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc24552…