Jumbo-Young — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

784

lifetime

Volume

$149.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-18 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$9

Tech

37% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	49	$27.5K	54,990	14,330	+40,660	open	—	06-17 12:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	37	$13.7K	7,681	7,651	+30	open	—	06-01 03:05
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	41	$9.0K	4,684	4,684	+0	open	—	08-18 15:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	15	$8.9K	4,609	4,609	+0	open	—	06-07 05:11
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	57	$8.5K	4,460	4,460	+0	open	—	07-08 02:11
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	42	$7.1K	3,671	3,671	+0	open	—	07-06 08:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$6.7K	3,550	3,550	+0	open	—	05-26 21:47
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	17	$5.0K	5,545	0	+5,545	open	—	08-18 15:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	10	$4.9K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	06-29 14:23
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	42	$4.6K	3,283	3,283	+0	open	—	06-22 06:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$4.4K	4,982	4,882	+100	open	—	06-15 10:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	19	$4.3K	3,021	1,821	+1,200	open	—	06-22 06:40
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	13	$4.1K	2,340	2,340	+0	open	—	06-19 16:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	7	$3.4K	2,833	1,640	+1,193	open	—	06-27 12:30
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	10	$3.1K	1,676	1,676	+0	open	—	07-07 22:36
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	38	$2.7K	1,999	1,997	+1	open	—	08-16 18:18
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	21	$2.7K	1,183	1,545	-363	open	—	08-11 13:54
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	35	$2.2K	1,267	1,267	+0	open	—	08-09 14:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-19 09:58
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	107	$2.0K	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	07-01 04:01
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	8	$1.7K	871	871	+0	open	—	06-26 17:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$1.7K	1,315	1,315	+0	open	—	07-04 00:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	7	$1.7K	871	871	+0	open	—	07-01 19:34
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-20 12:01
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662 752 464 953	15	$1.5K	754	754	+0	open	—	07-01 19:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	3	$1.5K	742	742	+0	open	—	06-26 20:44
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	21	$1.4K	744	744	+0	open	—	08-12 00:29
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	18	$1.3K	980	980	+0	open	—	07-06 08:18
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	9	$1.3K	950	392	+558	open	—	07-26 08:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	18	$1.2K	1,346	0	+1,346	open	—	08-09 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 15:06:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	1,720	94¢	$1,617	0xa99d06…
08-18 15:04:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	1,642	99¢	$1,622	0xc87eaf…
08-17 05:21:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	220	94¢	$207	0xb66924…
08-17 05:20:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	210	98¢	$207	0x941e26…
08-16 18:19:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0xa2f11f…
08-16 18:18:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	69¢	$60	0xb50a1f…
08-16 16:23:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0x4bda41…
08-16 15:25:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x915235…
08-16 15:24:45	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	400	98¢	$392	0x67d698…
08-16 15:22:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	186	98¢	$183	0x041994…
08-16 11:11:06	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0xbf518d…
08-16 11:10:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0xe56f9f…
08-15 13:21:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x25f681…
08-15 13:20:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x4cd16d…
08-15 06:12:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	66¢	$37	0x593c03…
08-15 06:11:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x6a41a1…
08-15 06:10:15	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x54a1f1…
08-15 06:09:37	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x617ca5…
08-15 06:02:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x7d100d…
08-14 18:50:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	253	93¢	$235	0x41f57c…
08-14 10:55:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x71b115…
08-14 10:53:39	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x411a87…
08-14 10:53:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xeaaab8…
08-14 10:33:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	426	93¢	$396	0xfc23c9…
08-14 10:32:48	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x441ea1…
08-14 10:31:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	499	92¢	$459	0xd20332…
08-14 10:31:00	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x2cbc2e…
08-14 10:29:13	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	330	92¢	$304	0x4ef598…
08-14 10:27:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	208	91¢	$190	0x096689…
08-14 10:25:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x9b6c91…
08-14 10:24:34	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9f1b82…
08-12 04:18:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xd9efe7…
08-12 04:16:58	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x726edf…
08-12 00:29:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	331	93¢	$308	0xa7cf5c…
08-11 23:08:27	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa64a6b…
08-11 22:59:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x78ab28…
08-11 22:56:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x39593b…
08-11 22:42:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xd05e85…
08-11 22:33:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd4615b…
08-11 22:31:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x736e3f…
08-11 22:29:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	205	97¢	$199	0xe9f871…
08-11 22:26:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xc1aab6…
08-11 19:13:30	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0xc3526f…
08-11 19:12:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0xe4028d…
08-11 18:09:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	187	92¢	$172	0xb57741…
08-11 18:08:49	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0xa7f942…
08-11 17:52:46	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	670	96¢	$643	0xfecc76…
08-11 17:49:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd90764…
08-11 13:54:24	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5dc465…
08-11 13:47:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	164	96¢	$157	0xf983db…
08-11 13:45:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xa46b78…
08-11 13:44:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	1,284	99¢	$1,275	0x8b94f7…
08-11 11:35:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb9e669…
08-10 19:54:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x6a0637…
08-10 19:53:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xffc4ea…
08-10 19:53:12	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x253c84…
08-10 19:52:16	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0xd9e438…
08-10 19:00:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x8e0b36…
08-10 17:34:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4e8e0c…
08-10 16:59:25	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	177	99¢	$175	0x4cfc84…
08-09 15:03:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	263	92¢	$242	0x642324…
08-09 14:59:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0x849c0a…
08-09 14:56:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x337ba1…
08-09 14:55:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x830f56…
08-09 14:30:03	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	80¢	$162	0x9947b5…
08-09 14:23:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x776644…
08-09 14:22:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xcea0a3…
08-09 14:21:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xcbc3d0…
08-09 14:21:12	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	80¢	$100	0x88f032…
08-09 14:21:03	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x91fc61…
08-09 14:21:00	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x542292…
08-09 14:20:55	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x39fa22…
08-09 14:20:51	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x80761e…
08-09 14:20:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0ca47e…
08-09 14:20:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xeaf425…
08-09 14:11:34	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	80¢	$114	0xdafe99…
08-09 14:10:27	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xfb7047…
08-09 14:07:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xbd5f2e…
08-09 14:02:43	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x1a63fd…
08-09 14:00:45	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe9b1a4…
08-09 13:58:00	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x54a05e…
08-09 07:19:18	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x717e49…
08-09 06:25:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x513ff7…
08-09 06:23:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xce0c97…
08-09 06:18:52	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x54428a…
08-09 06:18:18	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x573f33…
08-09 01:38:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x08904a…
08-09 01:26:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	69	92¢	$63	0x4708f7…
08-09 01:21:43	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	152	91¢	$139	0x5983d2…
08-08 19:44:01	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	289	90¢	$260	0x2311fa…
08-08 14:37:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	250	96¢	$239	0xdcab79…
08-08 08:44:37	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	88¢	$235	0xe0b9dd…
08-04 02:31:23	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	333	92¢	$306	0x380788…
08-04 02:28:57	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	60¢	$74	0xee8c8c…
08-04 02:28:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	61¢	$34	0x89770c…
08-04 02:27:54	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	61¢	$35	0x3d007e…
08-04 02:27:20	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xd3fd64…
08-04 02:26:47	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0x9b6b2e…
08-04 02:24:18	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	61¢	$14	0xea1b5c…
08-03 21:30:54	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x02497e…