Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
14.5%
Resolved
14
Trades
1,712
lifetime
Volume
$103.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$947
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 06-13 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
66% 10% $-48
Other
20% 25% $-5
Crypto
10%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 386 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -200 $-196 90¢ $-181 +$15 06-13 22:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-168 84¢ $-169 $-1 06-13 23:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-144 80¢ $-161 $-17 06-03 21:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -160 $-155 96¢ $-154 +$1 06-13 05:00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -93 $-86 92¢ $-86 $-0 06-13 11:46
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -56 $-55 99¢ $-56 $-0 06-13 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -63 $-51 80¢ $-50 +$1 06-13 12:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -34 $-28 84¢ $-29 $-1 06-13 08:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -53 $-21 50¢ $-27 $-6 05-31 05:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -28 $-17 57¢ $-16 +$1 06-13 06:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -14 $-13 92¢ $-13 $-0 06-13 07:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 +$0 06-13 03:03