Realized P&L
-$346
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
155
Trades
623
lifetime
Volume
$35.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$3.08K
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 11-06 01:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
51% 80% +$382
Other
43% 77% -$550
Sports
5% 58% -$203
Tech
2% 80% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $810 88¢ $885 +$75 07-13 22:18
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $820 81¢ $810 -$10 10-07 21:14
Poland snap election called by December 31? No +524 $482 95¢ $500 +$18 11-06 01:32
Nawrocki out by December 31? No +378 $363 98¢ $369 +$5 11-05 01:16
Tusk out by December 31? No +200 $190 96¢ $191 +$1 11-05 01:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +184 $145 97¢ $179 +$34 06-07 09:14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +129 $111 60¢ $77 -$34 10-07 21:10
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by March 31, 2027? No +100 $61 61¢ $61 +$0 11-05 01:25
Święczkowski charged by December 31? No +20 $9 46¢ $9 +$0 11-05 16:03