Breakable-Pentagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$233

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

455

Trades

793

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$282

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-29 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

59% 73% +$262

Politics

27% 77% -$60

Crypto

9% 89% -$4

Sports

4% 70% +$32

Tech

0% 100% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 67% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-120	-$46	80¢	$-95	-$49	05-29 18:35
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-70	-$63	96¢	$-68	-$4	05-18 21:25
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	-39	-$35	95¢	$-37	-$2	05-13 02:08
US recession by end of 2026?	No	-35	-$26	94¢	$-33	-$7	04-30 11:57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	-19	-$15	96¢	$-18	-$3	05-16 17:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-18	-$15	97¢	$-17	-$2	05-13 02:08
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	-17	-$13	60¢	$-10	+$3	05-29 18:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-7	-$4	54¢	$-4	+$0	05-29 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	10	$1.4K	1,908	0	+1,908	No	+$478	02-26 16:35
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	2	$1.1K	1,208	0	+1,208	Yes	+$108	02-09 00:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$1.1K	551	551	+0	No	+$2	03-18 13:55
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	3	$1.1K	1,529	0	+1,529	No	+$467	01-20 02:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$953	563	557	+6	No	-$43	01-25 11:55
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	4	$870	1,036	0	+1,036	Yes	+$166	02-15 02:03
cbb murst indst 2026 02 12	6	$813	449	443	+5	Murray State Racers	+$8	02-13 01:51
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	4	$640	922	0	+922	No	-$640	02-22 01:08
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$599	308	308	+0	No	-$1	02-18 13:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$509	262	262	+0	No	+$9	05-29 18:35
cbb illst evans 2026 02 09	5	$502	623	0	+623	Evansville Aces	+$121	02-10 02:10
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$495	278	278	+0	No	-$5	02-19 14:39
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$476	548	514	+34	Yes	-$54	05-18 01:55
cbb vand aubrn 2026 02 10	3	$380	462	0	+462	Vanderbilt Commodores	+$82	02-11 01:26
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	4	$377	193	193	+0	No	+$7	02-20 01:11
will israel strike gaza on january 16 2026	2	$315	326	0	+326	No	+$11	01-17 11:21
will israel strike lebanon on january 1 2026	3	$310	315	0	+315	No	+$5	01-02 00:39
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$300	569	0	+569	No	-$300	03-23 01:15
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$300	309	0	+309	No	+$9	02-10 01:54
cbb fl ga 2026 02 11	2	$250	264	0	+264	Florida Gators	+$14	02-12 01:12
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	2	$250	261	0	+261	Hornets	+$11	02-12 02:18
Megaquake by June 30?	1	$239	0	274	-274	No	-$36	05-17 01:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$236	157	157	+0	Yes	-$14	01-20 02:32
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	3	$235	246	0	+246	No	+$11	02-14 19:10
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$231	138	138	+0	No	+$1	02-19 14:39
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$230	120	120	+0	No	+$10	02-23 15:45
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	5	$226	203	132	+72	Yes	+$18	03-02 00:35
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$215	109	109	+0	No	+$3	02-10 06:49
megaquake by march 31	2	$204	119	119	+0	No	+$4	02-22 00:51
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$202	114	130	-16	No	-$14	02-26 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 18:38:18	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6a5b8c…
05-29 18:38:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0x877f4b…
05-29 18:37:50	Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0x19cc13…
05-29 18:37:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x29fd80…
05-29 18:37:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe04c4e…
05-29 18:36:49	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x866a01…
05-29 18:36:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0xdbcbb3…
05-29 18:36:05	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0x8d933d…
05-29 18:35:40	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	120	38¢	$46	0xb36479…
05-29 18:35:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	262	99¢	$259	0x48c84e…
05-24 13:38:38	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9274c1…
05-23 01:57:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x161923…
05-23 01:54:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	262	96¢	$250	0x01f64c…
05-23 01:50:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x3685c0…
05-23 01:49:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x00d66f…
05-23 01:49:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xe7c6c2…
05-22 10:43:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x037b7d…
05-22 10:41:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xf3bc69…
05-22 10:41:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xd79144…
05-22 10:40:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x77fb39…
05-21 18:18:59	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x73c3d7…
05-21 01:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x1a5fe6…
05-20 23:15:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xe0d049…
05-19 00:57:18	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xd97ba0…
05-19 00:56:38	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x899298…
05-18 21:27:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x536637…
05-18 21:25:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x31c6bb…
05-18 01:55:26	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x6b75a4…
05-18 01:51:18	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x4c7371…
05-17 19:05:48	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x80203f…
05-17 19:05:34	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x4401b5…
05-17 19:05:09	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2f9f26…
05-17 19:04:38	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	480	40¢	$192	0xf7fa0e…
05-17 18:40:18	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xae0172…
05-17 18:01:01	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x366b38…
05-17 18:00:47	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x879afb…
05-17 18:00:29	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x6a13ad…
05-17 18:00:05	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x76b996…
05-17 01:49:56	Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x6d05d3…
05-17 01:46:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xf5f3c9…
05-17 01:45:36	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x05d268…
05-17 01:43:51	Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7d0417…
05-17 01:42:30	Megaquake by June 30?	No	SELL	274	87¢	$239	0xeede54…
05-16 17:57:46	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x539910…
05-16 17:54:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x954362…
05-16 17:51:59	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x19c3ab…
05-16 17:51:43	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xba3970…
05-16 17:51:15	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0xcd2886…
05-16 08:51:37	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x540beb…
05-16 08:51:12	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x1640a7…
05-16 08:49:45	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x8529e3…
05-16 01:24:57	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3e6db…
05-15 15:00:49	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe12e93…
05-15 14:59:32	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xfc5ee8…
05-15 14:58:59	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x560df3…
05-15 14:58:26	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd200aa…
05-15 14:57:49	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x3b3976…
05-15 14:57:33	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x396025…
05-15 14:55:17	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x9e204a…
05-14 09:51:43	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x780dae…
05-14 09:50:49	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x059ab0…
05-13 23:23:46	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x445403…
05-13 23:22:57	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	49	32¢	$16	0xdeef42…
05-13 02:15:52	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1532f8…
05-13 02:12:01	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8ca9da…
05-13 02:09:32	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x629b67…
05-13 02:09:07	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x752ba5…
05-13 02:08:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x5970dc…
05-13 02:08:17	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x85c9b4…
05-13 02:03:21	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xedd635…
05-04 00:45:32	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x4b5493…
05-04 00:44:48	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7e6083…
05-04 00:44:36	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xce5bda…
05-04 00:44:26	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x288635…
05-04 00:44:14	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x1a83c4…
05-02 10:29:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa3e35a…
04-30 11:57:38	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	35	74¢	$26	0x105b68…
04-30 11:55:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x9d69d7…
04-14 00:42:27	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 19	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xd23a41…
04-06 18:10:35	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x6d08bb…
04-06 18:10:23	nba mil bkn 2026 04 07	Bucks	SELL	78	62¢	$49	0x39742f…
04-06 18:09:45	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	SELL	110	76¢	$83	0xa5a88c…
04-06 18:05:51	nba min ind 2026 04 07	Timberwolves	SELL	113	87¢	$98	0xf6a793…
04-06 18:05:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x6867d2…
04-06 18:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xd2b1b4…
04-06 17:51:37	nba mil bkn 2026 04 07	Bucks	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x917738…
04-06 17:51:09	nba min ind 2026 04 07	Timberwolves	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xe2e94f…
04-06 17:50:39	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x41ac01…
04-06 17:50:11	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0xca8a5e…
04-06 17:48:59	nba det orl 2026 04 06	Pistons	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xde43d9…
04-06 17:45:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x10671b…
04-06 17:45:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x93367d…
04-06 00:01:41	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0x20c754…
04-02 10:50:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x342482…
04-02 10:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5d010e…
04-02 10:49:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xb3ff5c…
04-02 10:44:15	nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	Cavaliers	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xf11493…
04-02 10:43:55	nba lal okc 2026 04 02	Thunder	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbbf81e…
04-02 10:43:33	nba min det 2026 04 02	Pistons	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x79367c…
03-30 10:51:16	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9cf538…