Realized P&L (30d)
-$496
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved (30d)
19
Trades (30d)
55
486 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$15.6K
$189.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$390
Open exposure
$14.4K
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-29 01:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
40% 73% +$2,840
Politics
39% 56% -$14,882
Sports
20% 75% -$5,608
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +3,445 $2,810 93¢ $3.2K +$396 06-22 20:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,967 $1,705 92¢ $1.8K +$95 06-13 04:48
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +2,269 $1,664 66¢ $1.5K -$178 08-24 22:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,200 $1,009 91¢ $1.1K +$79 10-18 10:11
kanye west performs in russia by october 31 No +1,038 $706 100¢ $1.0K +$331 09-11 11:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,137 $841 80¢ $904 +$63 10-29 01:21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,562 $701 52¢ $814 +$113 09-13 04:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,584 $648 51¢ $808 +$160 09-13 04:51
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +718 $577 78¢ $560 -$17 10-17 01:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +917 $540 54¢ $495 -$45 09-11 23:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +1,032 $375 46¢ $475 +$100 09-11 23:25
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +433 $325 95¢ $412 +$87 07-01 06:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +895 $293 40¢ $358 +$65 10-06 09:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +815 $80 41¢ $334 +$254 10-05 17:40
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +270 $170 88¢ $237 +$67 07-12 10:38
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +139 $117 96¢ $132 +$15 07-02 14:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +108 $83 94¢ $102 +$19 06-21 00:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +105 $100 96¢ $101 +$1 07-13 15:02
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +108 $100 93¢ $100 +$0 07-13 15:03