Realized P&L (7d)
-$2.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.61K
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
25
490 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.80K
$192.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$393
Open exposure
$15.3K
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-31 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
39% 56% -$14,882
Other
39% 73% +$2,840
Sports
20% 75% -$5,608
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +3,445 $2,810 93¢ $3.2K +$408 06-22 20:27
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +2,269 $1,664 94¢ $2.1K +$479 08-24 22:03
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1,967 $1,705 92¢ $1.8K +$114 06-13 04:48
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,200 $1,009 90¢ $1.1K +$65 10-18 10:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +1,079 $1,037 99¢ $1.1K +$31 10-31 00:01
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +1,562 $701 56¢ $871 +$170 09-13 04:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,584 $648 54¢ $855 +$207 09-13 04:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,137 $841 66¢ $756 -$85 10-29 01:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +718 $577 75¢ $536 -$40 10-17 01:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +917 $540 53¢ $486 -$54 09-11 23:25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +1,032 $375 44¢ $459 +$84 09-11 23:25
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +433 $325 95¢ $412 +$87 07-01 06:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +895 $293 46¢ $407 +$114 10-06 09:42
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +815 $80 48¢ $387 +$307 10-05 17:40
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +270 $170 86¢ $234 +$64 07-12 10:38
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +1,317 $550 14¢ $183 -$367 10-31 14:50
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +139 $117 95¢ $132 +$15 07-02 14:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +105 $100 96¢ $101 +$1 07-13 15:02
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +108 $100 92¢ $98 -$2 07-13 15:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +108 $83 90¢ $98 +$15 06-21 00:22