Untrue-Littleneck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$286

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-16 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 0% $-4

Other

15% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	07-16 02:39
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	$-0	07-04 08:52
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	$-0	07-04 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	23	$50	41	41	+0	open	—	02-15 07:39
bitcoin up or down february 6 7pm et	14	$41	50	60	-10	open	—	02-07 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 01:21
bitcoin up or down january 23 8pm et	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-24 01:53
bitcoin up or down january 10 12am et	7	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-10 05:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$11	7	4	+3	open	—	05-26 07:52
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	10	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-21 13:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 02:49
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-09 22:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-07 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$7	113	113	+0	Down	$-3	05-11 02:39
bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-14 14:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 01:42
bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	6	$5	25	25	+0	open	—	07-16 02:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	07-16 02:39
bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	02-28 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:58
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 08:50
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 08:49
bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-15 11:19
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 02:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-09 22:50
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-13 03:17
bitcoin up or down january 11 2am et	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-11 07:55
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 01:16
bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 08:52
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$1	2	0	+2	Cavaliers	$-1	05-11 02:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 02:47:26	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xc99515…
07-16 02:43:46	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x61fe77…
07-16 02:42:08	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xb4ab24…
07-16 02:41:22	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x22d7bb…
07-16 02:40:56	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xfb232f…
07-16 02:40:11	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb3ff73…
07-16 02:39:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x09c8d1…
07-16 02:38:10	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a16ca…
07-04 08:54:02	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x51f270…
07-04 08:53:25	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x17ec72…
07-04 08:52:59	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2c67e5…
07-04 08:52:19	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6af1b4…
07-04 08:51:47	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85e13a…
07-04 08:50:02	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x86c0cc…
07-04 08:49:53	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc0f327…
07-04 08:49:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x492692…
06-13 03:19:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b25e2…
06-13 03:17:58	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d3f50…
06-13 03:17:45	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2040d…
06-09 22:52:10	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2f918…
06-09 22:51:43	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce53c1…
06-09 22:50:58	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xfed541…
06-09 22:50:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9c58c…
06-06 02:14:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x634fe5…
06-01 08:54:36	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xce206d…
06-01 08:54:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb129f5…
06-01 08:54:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc26b30…
06-01 08:53:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd754b6…
05-26 07:52:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9b8e2…
05-24 07:41:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x576348…
05-23 07:45:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6466b9…
05-23 07:44:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xced2b0…
05-20 07:59:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98ed92…
05-20 07:58:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0c4332…
05-16 01:26:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b8f76…
05-16 01:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x1a6ce5…
05-16 01:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x626127…
05-16 01:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5713f5…
05-16 01:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a306b…
05-16 01:16:07	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb4d8c…
05-16 01:15:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdafb12…
05-14 07:44:47	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb15185…
05-14 07:44:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a5339…
05-14 07:42:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x120178…
05-11 02:39:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf360e1…
05-11 02:39:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa3c1a5…
05-11 02:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0x7282d2…
05-11 02:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0xec3f60…
05-11 02:35:59	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac9eae…
05-07 12:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf7a53b…
05-07 12:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd979dd…
05-07 12:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x0b4fc5…
05-07 12:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf4c145…
05-07 12:34:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x25c76f…
05-04 08:53:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x78f4a7…
05-04 08:53:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x5ac3be…
05-02 01:42:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x57149f…
05-02 01:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x9da05e…
05-02 01:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2d0652…
05-02 01:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xe194ae…
05-02 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x28d011…
05-02 01:32:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xec4925…
04-30 02:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xad6f33…
04-30 02:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbaede9…
04-30 02:43:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd820c4…
04-24 12:10:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x10343f…
03-21 13:31:09	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe854f8…
03-21 13:30:25	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x013462…
03-21 13:29:21	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x20dfa7…
03-21 13:28:43	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x75e4f1…
03-21 13:26:17	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x034862…
03-21 13:25:19	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x84d725…
03-21 13:24:15	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x5a4564…
03-21 13:22:29	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbaa330…
03-21 13:21:13	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xda8d6f…
03-21 13:21:03	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x886a84…
03-14 14:09:09	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3334db…
03-14 14:08:45	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb01ca8…
03-14 14:04:11	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd594ff…
03-14 14:03:17	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9664f0…
03-14 14:02:37	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x737573…
03-14 14:02:17	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6e924f…
02-28 00:49:19	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8df8c4…
02-28 00:49:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf6040e…
02-28 00:48:33	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe866d3…
02-28 00:47:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x403cad…
02-28 00:47:09	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5238c4…
02-28 00:46:53	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9207b2…
02-15 11:19:13	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4d88dc…
02-15 11:18:27	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xece06a…
02-15 11:17:11	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd02fa4…
02-15 11:15:49	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x57f1e4…
02-15 07:39:27	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd631db…
02-15 07:37:19	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdbbab2…
02-15 07:36:55	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x665dfc…
02-15 07:34:09	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x845541…
02-15 07:33:23	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x741143…
02-15 07:31:49	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3f0777…
02-15 07:28:41	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa17653…
02-15 07:25:31	bitcoin up or down february 15 2am et	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x96ed2b…