Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$247

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$187

Open exposure

$177

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-27 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

54% 45% +$6,533

Other

46% 20% -$2,626

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+120	$100	40¢	$47	-$53	10-25 15:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+175	$70	27¢	$47	-$23	10-25 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+250	$50	18¢	$46	-$4	10-25 15:27
iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	+287	$54	8¢	$23	-$31	07-23 15:24
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	+333	$50	4¢	$13	-$37	07-23 15:18
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+355	$100	0¢	$0	-$100	10-25 15:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$4.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$4,430	04-07 22:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$1,335	04-07 23:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	6	$1.4K	29,947	0	+29,947	No	-$1,441	05-01 04:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$1.2K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	+$409	04-21 23:24
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$768	471	471	+0	Yes	+$168	07-09 21:55
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	4	$719	782	782	+0	Yes	+$219	06-12 20:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$575	500	500	+0	Yes	+$395	04-07 23:01
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$482	508	508	+0	Spain	-$118	07-14 19:50
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	2	$410	952	952	+0	No	+$10	06-13 22:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$300	20,697	0	+20,697	No	-$300	04-19 04:18
Austria to score first vs. Jordan?	2	$234	135	135	+0	Yes	+$34	06-17 04:25
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$200	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$800	07-05 18:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$200	1,538	0	+1,538	No	-$200	04-08 06:10
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts first half	1	$200	952	0	+952	No	-$200	07-14 14:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$200	1,818	0	+1,818	No	-$200	04-17 19:17
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	1	$200	2,244	0	+2,244	No	-$200	04-22 05:02
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$195	426	426	+0	No	-$5	07-11 22:21
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$162	102	102	+0	Yes	+$42	06-15 18:10
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	1	$150	600	0	+600	No	-$150	04-20 04:52
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	1	$150	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$150	04-09 09:57
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$150	1,476	0	+1,476	No	-$150	04-11 14:34
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$150	253	0	+253	Spain	+$103	07-19 13:43
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$149	456	0	+456	No	-$149	06-17 18:51
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	2	$123	769	769	+0	Yes	-$77	06-13 20:55
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$110	1,502	0	+1,502	No	-$110	04-08 18:31
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	1	$110	407	0	+407	No	-$110	07-07 19:14
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	2	$107	350	350	+0	Yes	-$93	06-13 20:55
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	2	$103	635	635	+0	No	-$97	07-10 20:49
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$100	355	0	+355	open	—	10-25 15:22
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	1	$100	1,627	0	+1,627	No	-$100	04-11 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:06:20	Will Amcha Yisrael win 5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x9bcc10…
10-25 15:28:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0xd556ac…
10-25 15:27:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xf6ea14…
10-25 15:24:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x6f5b49…
10-25 15:22:02	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	355	28¢	$100	0x4f5e62…
10-25 15:16:47	Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	360	11¢	$40	0x1f6803…
10-25 15:12:23	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	469	21¢	$100	0x6ddb24…
07-30 17:57:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	655	4¢	$29	0xd58cce…
07-23 15:34:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0xdfb2c7…
07-23 15:32:52	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	1,020	4¢	$43	0x9648ed…
07-23 15:29:03	will us crude oil reserves fall to 300m by may 1 20260714141931931	Yes	BUY	656	8¢	$50	0x842703…
07-23 15:24:25	iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	BUY	287	19¢	$54	0xaf6b56…
07-23 15:18:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x16da5a…
07-19 13:43:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	253	59¢	$150	0x45c67f…
07-16 12:48:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	649	8¢	$50	0xa67270…
07-16 12:47:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,083	2¢	$50	0x21230a…
07-15 20:37:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	269	19¢	$50	0xb83031…
07-14 19:50:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	508	36¢	$182	0x0c105d…
07-14 14:14:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x65c181…
07-14 14:13:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xcf5508…
07-14 14:12:25	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x5ed2e0…
07-14 14:10:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0x0a70fe…
07-14 14:10:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts first half	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x455af8…
07-11 22:21:13	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	426	22¢	$95	0xc0d676…
07-10 20:49:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	635	0¢	$3	0x8792ab…
07-10 19:05:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals kevin de bruyne gte1	Yes	BUY	233	15¢	$35	0x9ff176…
07-10 17:49:29	Belgium to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xaa5445…
07-10 17:48:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x08f95f…
07-10 17:48:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	635	16¢	$100	0x04abc0…
07-10 17:48:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	426	23¢	$100	0x4cdbb6…
07-09 21:55:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	471	100¢	$468	0x8e48b2…
07-09 20:36:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	206	48¢	$100	0x378d96…
07-09 20:31:10	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	471	64¢	$300	0x24b213…
07-07 19:14:26	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	407	27¢	$110	0x5010df…
07-05 18:40:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals vinicius junior gte2	Yes	BUY	148	10¢	$15	0x7ceaa8…
07-05 18:22:32	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xcfad21…
06-17 18:51:35	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	233	21¢	$49	0xe1f39b…
06-17 18:39:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x62df69…
06-17 18:06:11	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xa58668…
06-17 04:26:34	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xc9866c…
06-17 04:25:01	Austria to score first vs. Jordan?	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x3127a3…
06-17 04:19:53	Austria to score first vs. Jordan?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd0743e…
06-15 18:10:43	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xb4e9b6…
06-15 17:47:12	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xb9391f…
06-15 17:46:43	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	534	4¢	$20	0xb271c1…
06-15 16:05:12	Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x6dbffe…
06-15 00:57:15	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	778	9¢	$70	0x236f06…
06-14 20:05:21	Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x21b6e6…
06-14 20:04:28	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x75b556…
06-13 22:36:45	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	952	22¢	$210	0x6246a7…
06-13 22:07:27	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x937e4f…
06-13 21:04:09	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1,333	3¢	$40	0xd5b79c…
06-13 20:55:22	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	769	3¢	$23	0xfb89a7…
06-13 20:55:13	Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0xdaa67e…
06-13 19:32:10	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	350	29¢	$100	0x0b064b…
06-13 19:08:43	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xf9e945…
06-12 20:44:16	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x739ccb…
06-12 20:42:49	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	782	60¢	$469	0x83052b…
06-12 20:31:30	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x7762ee…
06-12 20:19:57	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x1bad5d…
06-12 19:11:09	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x688043…
06-04 00:33:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$30	0x1f9334…
06-04 00:28:43	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	7¢	$29	0x41d588…
05-10 21:58:49	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x3eeb8c…
05-01 04:10:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,691	4¢	$300	0xb4f97f…
04-24 02:20:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,029	3¢	$141	0x7ffce2…
04-22 08:38:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8,160	5¢	$400	0xd4d7f5…
04-22 05:02:38	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,244	9¢	$200	0xe7cc1f…
04-21 23:24:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	1,057	77¢	$809	0x48108c…
04-20 04:58:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	1,057	38¢	$400	0x302f57…
04-20 04:52:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0xe9c70a…
04-19 04:18:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17,755	1¢	$200	0x95bd89…
04-19 04:13:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,212	4¢	$200	0x1e3a04…
04-17 19:17:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0xdb0b9d…
04-11 14:34:51	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,476	10¢	$150	0xd65998…
04-11 14:25:41	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,627	6¢	$100	0xe3e7ab…
04-10 20:00:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,942	3¢	$100	0x0642ae…
04-10 19:52:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,998	7¢	$200	0x1fb29d…
04-09 09:57:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	10¢	$150	0x1be21c…
04-08 18:31:03	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,502	7¢	$110	0x88c431…
04-08 06:10:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x117127…
04-07 23:16:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	1,500	95¢	$1,425	0x900c18…
04-07 23:14:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0x59c5dc…
04-07 23:01:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x0e2216…
04-07 22:53:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x7135ed…
04-04 21:51:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	778	4¢	$35	0x8562f3…
04-04 21:50:37	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?	Yes	BUY	342	6¢	$20	0x1b3e79…
04-04 21:44:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0xa97590…
04-04 21:43:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x847775…
04-04 21:43:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$70	0x6ae0f5…