Coarse-Dress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,712

lifetime

Volume

$21.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$53

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

57% 73% +$10

Other

32% 33% $-69

Crypto

8% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$35

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+350	$47	12¢	$40	$-7	07-16 18:35
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	Yes	-50	$-10	24¢	$-12	$-1	06-27 05:43
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	6¢	$1	$-1	07-09 17:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	17	$844	983	983	+0	open	—	05-23 12:55
dota2 vpp z10 2026 04 07	6	$644	750	570	+180	open	—	04-07 11:24
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	8	$543	286	286	+0	open	—	01-10 06:01
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	12	$521	715	540	+175	open	—	03-05 14:41
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$520	706	677	+29	open	—	05-18 03:42
cs2 esc1 sta6 2026 04 07	13	$513	783	783	+0	open	—	04-07 10:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$462	250	250	+0	open	—	04-08 00:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	03-20 14:12
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	10	$390	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 02:35
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$335	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 04:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	14	$306	280	280	+0	open	—	05-24 03:44
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	5	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	01-10 04:16
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$297	150	150	+0	open	—	01-10 06:01
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	5	$264	210	110	+100	open	—	03-06 13:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$261	1,420	470	+950	open	—	04-23 09:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	10	$255	420	420	+0	open	—	03-27 09:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 10:22
Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	8	$235	244	0	+244	open	—	04-26 02:39
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	2	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	05-13 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$201	0	402	-402	open	—	04-18 07:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$195	150	150	+0	open	—	06-02 09:17
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 04:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	8	$180	153	206	-53	open	—	05-23 23:57
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$172	380	420	-40	open	—	05-18 03:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	39	$152	220	220	+0	Yes	$-7	04-19 09:58
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 04:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	17	$140	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 07:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$139	205	205	+0	open	—	05-08 07:46
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$131	350	125	+225	open	—	05-18 03:40
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?	11	$124	241	241	-0	open	—	01-10 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 18:35:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x6f8699…
07-13 18:11:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x63949c…
07-13 12:55:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x55c958…
07-09 17:35:55	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd71590…
07-07 12:32:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbd2e03…
07-03 07:20:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xc76e47…
06-27 12:40:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	43	36¢	$16	0xddf92a…
06-27 12:37:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xe44d7a…
06-27 11:46:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xa67a6e…
06-27 11:07:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xcb5a87…
06-27 09:44:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x670502…
06-27 09:05:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x885cef…
06-27 05:43:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xf8450d…
06-27 05:43:02	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x3b4edd…
06-23 17:37:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xcdc45b…
06-18 17:44:32	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xba44ca…
06-02 09:17:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xf37dca…
06-01 13:41:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xa5fd5e…
06-01 13:28:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x8dbfc3…
06-01 13:26:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfd092e…
06-01 13:26:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	29¢	$12	0xcb3dda…
05-30 00:24:37	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x9cf862…
05-24 03:44:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5f6fa9…
05-23 23:57:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x382a49…
05-23 23:57:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	103	27¢	$28	0x023a7d…
05-23 23:57:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	29	72¢	$21	0x6487d7…
05-23 23:56:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x64e61d…
05-23 23:56:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x64e61d…
05-23 23:54:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x610a99…
05-23 23:52:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xb58b2a…
05-23 23:51:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0xd22569…
05-23 23:51:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x188723…
05-23 23:51:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x151d4c…
05-23 23:48:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x29a6e1…
05-23 23:48:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x19fda6…
05-23 23:43:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4fc76c…
05-23 23:39:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	80	75¢	$60	0x806777…
05-23 23:38:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x5c9a4b…
05-23 23:38:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x11472b…
05-23 23:38:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xcf114e…
05-23 23:38:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x4af8ad…
05-23 23:37:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0364fc…
05-23 23:33:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x6b09b1…
05-23 23:32:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x694088…
05-23 23:31:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x757594…
05-23 23:30:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xa7843e…
05-23 23:30:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xde7086…
05-23 23:28:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0x7b43e8…
05-23 23:27:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0xb8022a…
05-23 12:55:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	251	34¢	$85	0xa38fbb…
05-23 12:48:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	103	33¢	$34	0x5dffa5…
05-23 12:47:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	90	33¢	$30	0x6218e0…
05-23 12:47:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xfabceb…
05-23 12:47:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x8697c9…
05-23 12:42:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x717ff4…
05-23 12:33:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x788ef7…
05-23 12:18:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	103	33¢	$34	0xc4ed5b…
05-23 11:53:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0xec6e68…
05-23 11:41:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	81	67¢	$54	0xd5d677…
05-23 11:33:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0x5a738b…
05-23 11:28:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	84	67¢	$56	0xdfcdd8…
05-23 11:27:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x24f803…
05-23 11:08:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8eea8e…
05-23 11:05:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0x331026…
05-23 11:05:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x331026…
05-23 11:01:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x794945…
05-23 10:32:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x23efb6…
05-23 10:30:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	66	67¢	$44	0x7561d9…
05-23 10:29:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0x7395bc…
05-21 14:29:02	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xca792c…
05-21 14:13:56	Will Trump say "Budget" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x089098…
05-21 10:49:18	Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x871dec…
05-20 01:49:09	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8d9e45…
05-19 11:12:52	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbebbbf…
05-19 10:52:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4d474d…
05-19 10:50:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xb740cf…
05-19 10:40:41	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x49043b…
05-19 09:59:58	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x90b725…
05-19 09:59:06	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34de76…
05-19 09:04:44	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x12ae1c…
05-19 08:56:06	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe72348…
05-19 08:55:45	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1f2133…
05-19 08:50:35	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc8ac5e…
05-19 08:45:13	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2c8c67…
05-19 08:41:05	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x98f095…
05-19 08:40:14	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1db0a6…
05-19 08:38:50	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x51329c…
05-19 08:38:18	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x14e768…
05-19 08:38:10	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x762605…
05-19 08:34:19	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x390e83…
05-19 07:49:36	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe9f3a5…
05-19 06:48:19	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x0f0cea…
05-19 06:47:51	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x70b1a0…
05-19 06:28:05	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x10c4cb…
05-19 05:58:27	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8e6c80…
05-19 04:48:27	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x3643bc…
05-19 03:56:26	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xad1e2d…
05-18 03:50:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x3c3a69…
05-18 03:48:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x8e432d…
05-18 03:42:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	352	1¢	$3	0x509f6a…