Realized P&L
+$563
Unrealized P&L
-$263
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
451
lifetime
Volume
$39.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$1.64K
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-10 19:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
65% 75% +$475
Other
25% 100% +$88
Crypto
10%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -440 $-428 98¢ $-432 $-4 05-28 07:04
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +210 $201 98¢ $205 +$5 06-05 21:20
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +220 $210 93¢ $204 $-6 06-02 15:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,015 $292 17¢ $173 $-119 06-10 11:16
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +160 $103 87¢ $139 +$36 06-01 12:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +110 $102 95¢ $105 +$2 05-29 19:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +110 $102 91¢ $100 $-3 06-01 12:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +140 $101 70¢ $99 $-2 06-01 15:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +120 $100 78¢ $94 $-5 06-01 13:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +130 $51 26¢ $34 $-16 06-02 16:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +210 $50 16¢ $33 $-18 06-05 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +270 $49 $20 $-28 06-03 10:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +133 $104 $0 $-104 06-07 14:38