Antique-Chitchat 0x7326ea…a6d3ae
hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$502
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
280
Trades
1,075
lifetime
Volume
$85.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$3.62K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-25 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
64% 81% +$3,962
Other
28% 81% +$539
Crypto
6% 85% +$452
Sports
2% 75% +$43
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,007 -$978 86¢ $-866 +$111 08-30 11:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -500 -$484 94¢ $-468 +$16 10-05 18:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$493 82¢ $-407 +$85 10-05 21:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -400 -$521 86¢ $-343 +$178 10-05 13:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -150 -$271 97¢ $-145 +$126 10-05 13:40
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -130 -$125 96¢ $-124 +$1 10-05 17:37
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $102 94¢ $122 +$20 09-23 23:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -120 -$119 96¢ $-116 +$3 10-02 03:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +120 $104 92¢ $111 +$7 09-13 09:41
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +120 $103 92¢ $110 +$7 09-16 01:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +120 $103 92¢ $110 +$7 09-13 03:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +140 $99 72¢ $101 +$2 09-23 11:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +150 $96 66¢ $100 +$4 10-23 09:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 -$109 82¢ $-82 +$27 10-01 17:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -80 -$69 92¢ $-73 -$4 10-02 03:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -80 -$81 74¢ $-60 +$21 10-01 14:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +63 $50 92¢ $58 +$9 10-19 15:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +60 $50 92¢ $56 +$5 10-18 22:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +70 $49 70¢ $49 $0 10-27 08:26
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +70 $49 70¢ $49 $0 10-27 08:15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +69 $44 66¢ $46 +$2 10-13 15:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +60 $51 37¢ $22 -$29 08-09 11:39
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +160 $94 0¢ $0 -$94 09-15 10:54