Realized P&L
+$563
Unrealized P&L
-$211
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
526
lifetime
Volume
$44.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$510
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 07-02 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
66% 75% +$475
Other
25% 100% +$88
Crypto
9%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +140 $101 84¢ $118 +$18 06-01 15:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +130 $101 84¢ $109 +$7 06-23 10:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +120 $100 86¢ $104 +$4 06-01 13:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +110 $102 94¢ $103 +$1 06-01 12:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +280 $126 26¢ $74 $-51 06-14 12:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +740 $145 $2 $-143 06-11 20:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +80 $47 $1 $-47 06-28 09:51