Lively-Cormorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

11,703

Trades

53,624

lifetime

Volume

$133.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-31 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$5,250

Politics

0% 11% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 780 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-18	-$16	94¢	$-17	-$1	05-23 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 29?	55	$477	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$128	06-29 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	51	$313	548	548	+0	Yes	+$55	06-26 18:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?	95	$276	757	757	+0	No	+$19	06-27 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?	30	$275	454	454	+0	No	-$14	06-28 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?	27	$251	451	451	+0	No	+$45	06-28 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	47	$250	527	527	+0	Yes	+$18	06-26 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	43	$233	568	568	+0	No	-$91	06-29 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 29?	52	$231	1,034	872	+161	No	-$65	06-29 05:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	47	$224	373	373	+0	No	+$37	06-25 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?	39	$220	516	516	+0	No	-$20	07-01 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	30	$196	497	397	+100	No	-$30	06-29 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 29?	31	$195	373	361	+13	No	+$28	06-29 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?	38	$195	302	302	+0	No	+$30	06-29 03:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?	67	$188	423	423	+0	No	+$27	06-25 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?	32	$180	439	434	+4	No	+$34	07-01 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on June 27?	61	$175	855	855	+0	No	+$0	06-27 11:01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 29?	74	$175	644	634	+10	No	-$26	06-29 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?	21	$170	411	311	+100	No	+$15	06-30 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 24?	34	$167	375	375	+0	No	+$33	06-24 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 4?	34	$166	357	357	+0	No	+$8	07-04 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 28?	22	$163	261	261	+0	No	+$2	06-28 03:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?	28	$161	433	433	+0	No	-$14	06-26 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?	23	$158	330	330	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?	17	$157	290	290	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	52	$157	528	528	+0	No	-$43	06-27 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?	30	$157	371	371	+0	No	-$23	06-25 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 28?	35	$156	508	88	+420	No	-$117	06-28 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	25	$155	214	214	+0	Yes	+$21	06-25 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?	24	$155	438	298	+140	No	-$18	06-28 00:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 28?	10	$155	464	464	+0	No	+$15	06-28 05:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf2ca1f…
10-31 20:09:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x148d72…
10-31 19:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x53d779…
10-31 19:25:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x6656f8…
10-31 19:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x916ce1…
10-31 18:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x443505…
10-31 18:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x721409…
10-31 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xd9c112…
10-31 18:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3839f7…
10-31 17:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x476683…
10-31 17:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x629ffe…
10-31 17:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x30f99c…
10-31 17:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xd49ce5…
10-31 17:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xd454f7…
10-31 17:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5d5d10…
10-31 17:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x3c580f…
10-31 17:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xba8d5e…
10-31 17:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x60296f…
10-31 16:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf21e13…
10-31 16:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x1b4db9…
10-31 16:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x2b0203…
10-31 16:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4a1d06…
10-31 16:26:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x3c4ef0…
10-31 16:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x9fabee…
10-31 16:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x684940…
10-31 16:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x4d43b5…
10-31 16:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd95755…
10-31 16:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x85e445…
10-31 15:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x733462…
10-31 15:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xca06e4…
10-31 15:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xd3153a…
10-31 15:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x84462e…
10-31 15:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x428014…
10-31 15:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xc46225…
10-31 15:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x0f1c6d…
10-31 15:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x7f306c…
10-31 15:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8f1c1b…
10-31 15:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x7c42d5…
10-31 15:14:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x115af5…
10-31 15:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x480e0a…
10-31 15:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x49f38b…
10-31 15:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x978160…
10-31 14:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x253c99…
10-31 14:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x529342…
10-31 14:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x50bde4…
10-31 14:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xffd660…
10-31 14:00:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xdbdd4a…
10-31 13:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc871d3…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x8d6d34…
10-31 13:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x22c1e7…
10-31 13:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xab9775…
10-31 13:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x131174…
10-31 13:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xade576…
10-31 13:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xf2c32a…
10-31 13:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6689d8…
10-31 12:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xebd1c4…
10-31 12:53:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x23c3b4…
10-31 12:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xa9c304…
10-31 12:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xee6f00…
10-31 12:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x94f84f…
10-31 12:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6854a4…
10-31 12:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x120066…
10-31 12:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x8642eb…
10-31 12:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x436b03…
10-31 11:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x6784bb…
10-31 11:53:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x116a34…
10-31 11:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0x67071f…
10-31 11:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xffacfb…
10-31 11:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x5aa566…
10-31 11:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x659830…
10-31 10:52:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb8dde9…
10-31 10:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xfeb4ea…
10-31 10:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe9ad1a…
10-31 10:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x9d26e1…
10-31 10:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x9d0f83…
10-31 10:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f1a8e…
10-31 10:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x7d54ce…
10-31 10:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0103d1…
10-31 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf508bf…
10-31 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x4da4b6…
10-31 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x35a910…
10-31 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0f59ac…
10-31 10:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x5d0ce9…
10-31 10:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x3a7077…
10-31 10:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0cab83…
10-31 10:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x1e9cd7…
10-31 10:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x409efc…
10-31 10:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9b68dd…
10-31 10:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4bd6de…
10-31 10:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x43c676…
10-31 10:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x1654e6…
10-31 10:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf1f1ab…
10-31 10:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x394c14…
10-31 09:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xc28ade…
10-31 09:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb6716d…
10-31 09:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x2d29ee…
10-31 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe9d611…
10-31 08:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2b0e8e…
10-31 08:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x85a7d7…
10-31 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x453983…