Guilty-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$78.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-28 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-166

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 3pm et	5	$2.7K	2,289	2,185	+104	open	—	04-12 19:53
btc updown 15m 1772803800	2	$2.4K	2,373	2,347	+25	open	—	03-06 13:40
btc updown 5m 1776439800	3	$2.1K	1,446	1,394	+52	open	—	04-17 15:35
btc updown 5m 1772401800	2	$1.6K	1,129	1,112	+17	open	—	03-01 21:55
btc updown 5m 1771931700	2	$1.6K	1,414	1,394	+20	open	—	02-24 11:18
btc updown 5m 1775488500	2	$1.4K	1,049	1,005	+43	open	—	04-06 15:19
btc updown 5m 1773605100	2	$1.4K	1,126	1,114	+12	open	—	03-15 20:09
btc updown 5m 1773069600	2	$1.3K	894	880	+14	open	—	03-09 15:24
btc updown 15m 1776441600	2	$1.1K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	04-17 16:01
btc updown 15m 1776016800	2	$1.0K	1,224	1,160	+64	open	—	04-12 18:13
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	2	$1.0K	1,348	1,094	+254	open	—	04-06 16:56
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8pm et	1	$884	2,801	0	+2,801	open	—	04-13 00:25
btc updown 5m 1773842400	2	$863	563	555	+9	open	—	03-18 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	10	$863	571	571	+0	open	—	05-28 17:23
btc updown 5m 1773160200	2	$854	565	556	+9	open	—	03-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	4	$804	770	573	+197	Down	+$232	05-13 13:41
btc updown 5m 1773070200	2	$765	545	536	+8	open	—	03-09 15:33
btc updown 5m 1772908500	2	$764	694	683	+11	open	—	03-07 18:38
btc updown 5m 1772812800	2	$749	876	866	+10	open	—	03-06 16:02
btc updown 5m 1776437700	2	$683	1,581	0	+1,581	open	—	04-17 14:56
btc updown 5m 1772810100	3	$678	1,208	635	+573	open	—	03-06 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772907300	2	$677	660	650	+10	open	—	03-07 18:19
btc updown 15m 1776427200	2	$671	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	04-17 12:05
btc updown 5m 1771934700	2	$621	364	361	+2	open	—	02-24 12:08
btc updown 5m 1773072900	2	$604	433	426	+7	open	—	03-09 16:19
btc updown 15m 1772845200	2	$579	459	453	+5	open	—	03-07 01:13
btc updown 5m 1772391000	5	$579	400	394	+5	open	—	03-01 18:55
btc updown 5m 1772846400	2	$576	549	541	+8	open	—	03-07 01:22
btc updown 5m 1773156600	2	$558	357	352	+5	open	—	03-10 15:33
btc updown 5m 1772992800	2	$554	362	357	+6	open	—	03-08 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	160	48¢	$77	0x07afd7…
05-28 17:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x656aa5…
05-28 17:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xd97e69…
05-28 17:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xcd83ea…
05-28 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	117	50¢	$59	0x04a9b5…
05-28 17:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0x728986…
05-28 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	836	7¢	$60	0x5059d9…
05-28 17:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	571	94¢	$537	0xad894b…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	327	57¢	$186	0xc35179…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	57¢	$26	0xbb013d…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xb7178f…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0xb4754f…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x990a6c…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x921dfd…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x4ad064…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x33f71f…
05-28 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0x07e5b1…
05-28 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	565	28¢	$161	0x7bd5da…
05-28 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	579	18¢	$105	0xd93e67…
05-28 16:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	193	55¢	$106	0x023939…
05-28 16:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x7b56af…
05-14 14:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c07b4…
05-14 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0xcf39a0…
05-14 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8656ac…
05-14 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x7bcb86…
05-14 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x44a1d6…
05-14 14:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3ef8b8…
05-14 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	997	0¢	$1	0x30c163…
05-14 14:46:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	2,024	1¢	$12	0x130466…
05-13 20:26:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2,024	2¢	$31	0x8877a4…
05-13 20:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	55¢	$40	0x18d1e2…
05-13 20:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x5e142d…
05-13 20:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xc4871f…
05-13 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x03181c…
05-13 19:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	2,569	1¢	$26	0xb48e2b…
05-13 14:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	2,569	1¢	$28	0x6a7f4e…
05-13 13:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xb7dbfb…
05-13 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	47	9¢	$4	0xbb8ec0…
05-13 13:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	573	90¢	$518	0x558cb7…
05-13 13:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	573	47¢	$269	0x60eccb…
05-13 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0xc29f62…
05-13 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe0a895…
05-13 12:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	541	4¢	$21	0x7754f4…
05-12 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	108	53¢	$57	0x1392b7…
05-12 22:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	267	3¢	$8	0xc495e0…
05-12 21:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	282	11¢	$31	0x4e0759…
05-12 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	252	98¢	$247	0x7d2cdb…
05-12 17:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	252	42¢	$105	0xcb5ee9…
05-12 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	508	2¢	$10	0xe8994c…
05-12 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x39e96f…
05-12 17:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	121	65¢	$79	0x0bd445…
05-12 13:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3,770	0¢	$4	0x1ce251…
05-12 13:37:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	833	1¢	$4	0x8f85a1…
05-12 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x43aed3…
05-12 13:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe49d4c…
05-12 13:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe8cc34…
05-12 12:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	433	6¢	$26	0xd682bc…
05-12 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	139	48¢	$67	0xa8cff5…
05-12 12:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x9868b1…
05-12 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	205	40¢	$82	0xc49db2…
05-12 12:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	205	42¢	$87	0xbaaa63…
05-12 12:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	135	68¢	$92	0x70398e…
05-12 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	135	54¢	$72	0xe0e84b…
05-12 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xf7a294…
05-12 12:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0xd941c0…
05-12 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x928858…
05-12 12:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xce3c34…
05-12 12:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xaddfc2…
05-12 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x916e37…
05-11 15:10:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	833	2¢	$16	0x5c8588…
05-11 14:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	390	9¢	$33	0xb3c948…
05-11 10:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	92	26¢	$24	0x1d5539…
05-04 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	352	46¢	$162	0xa50618…
05-04 21:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	84	52¢	$43	0x5d21c7…
05-04 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x6f349d…
05-04 21:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x933634…
05-04 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$81	0x8f0af2…
05-04 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	41¢	$33	0x6993a9…
05-04 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x54fb8e…
05-04 21:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x73f475…
05-04 21:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa527fb…
04-17 16:01:36	btc updown 15m 1776441600	Down	BUY	322	55¢	$177	0xfa58ad…
04-17 16:01:36	btc updown 15m 1776441600	Down	BUY	1,688	53¢	$903	0xc9f50e…
04-17 15:40:44	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1,551	19¢	$300	0x83adf9…
04-17 15:35:10	btc updown 5m 1776439800	Up	SELL	1,394	99¢	$1,381	0x28c927…
04-17 15:30:30	btc updown 5m 1776439800	Up	BUY	207	51¢	$105	0xe8cd4f…
04-17 15:30:30	btc updown 5m 1776439800	Up	BUY	1,240	50¢	$620	0x188e43…
04-17 15:08:12	btc updown 15m 1776438000	Up	BUY	1,354	22¢	$300	0xd4d6f5…
04-17 14:56:30	btc updown 5m 1776437700	Down	BUY	427	45¢	$191	0xf34358…
04-17 14:56:30	btc updown 5m 1776437700	Down	BUY	1,154	43¢	$492	0x6bb3f0…
04-17 12:05:38	btc updown 15m 1776427200	Down	BUY	170	51¢	$86	0xc00222…
04-17 12:05:38	btc updown 15m 1776427200	Down	BUY	1,231	47¢	$585	0xaa55a8…
04-17 11:57:06	btc updown 15m 1776426300	Down	BUY	1,198	1¢	$11	0xa922fe…
04-17 11:12:38	bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	850	41¢	$346	0x4bad56…
04-17 11:07:20	btc updown 5m 1776423900	Down	BUY	380	43¢	$164	0xb19737…
04-17 11:02:02	btc updown 5m 1776423600	Down	BUY	201	45¢	$91	0x4a2aed…
04-17 10:49:56	btc updown 15m 1776422700	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x8597ef…
04-17 10:47:58	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	No	SELL	1,522	0¢	$6	0xccbf7f…
04-17 10:47:40	bitcoin above 68k on april 18	No	SELL	1,934	0¢	$6	0x31b67c…
04-17 10:47:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 18	No	SELL	1,725	1¢	$10	0x89d40e…