Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$54

Hit rate

81.1%

Resolved

2,344

Trades

10,408

lifetime

Volume

$498.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$243

8 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-27 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

96% 73% -$1,366

Politics

1% 80% -$23

Sports

1% 73% +$104

Crypto

1% 69% -$224

Pop-Culture

0% 67% -$60

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+100	$45	96¢	$96	+$51	10-27 12:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+88	$82	96¢	$84	+$2	10-27 18:31
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	+21	$14	87¢	$18	+$4	07-19 10:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+18	$15	82¢	$15	-$1	09-05 20:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+13	$12	90¢	$12	+$0	08-25 08:05
China coup attempt before 2027?	No	+8	$8	97¢	$8	+$0	08-25 08:25
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$8	+$0	08-25 08:24
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	No	+21	$5	13¢	$3	-$3	07-19 09:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dnf fox1 2026 07 30 game2	20	$3.7K	2,088	2,088	+0	BNK FEARX	+$98	07-30 09:32
lol vfb khk 2026 07 30	13	$3.5K	1,822	1,822	+0	Kaufland Hangry Knights	+$32	07-30 20:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	11	$3.5K	1,808	1,808	+0	No	+$124	08-21 03:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	46	$3.3K	2,642	2,537	+105	Yes	-$183	07-21 15:53
cs2 ldp bst 2026 07 31	22	$3.0K	1,697	1,697	+0	BESTIA	+$117	07-31 23:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	12	$2.9K	1,642	1,642	+0	No	+$56	08-06 21:17
cs2 lgc mibr 2026 09 12	15	$2.9K	2,015	2,015	+0	Legacy	+$325	09-12 09:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	15	$2.9K	1,499	1,499	+0	No	-$9	08-22 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	17	$2.9K	2,206	2,206	+0	Yes	-$431	09-11 02:01
lol edg we 2026 07 30 game2	21	$2.8K	1,602	1,602	+0	Team WE	+$68	07-30 10:53
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	26	$2.5K	1,575	1,575	+0	Yes	+$205	08-27 02:54
cs2 g2 lgc 2026 09 13	19	$2.5K	2,016	2,016	+0	Legacy	+$425	09-13 12:24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	14	$2.3K	1,323	1,323	+0	No	-$53	07-25 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	8	$2.2K	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$30	07-25 04:34
cs2 bb3 g2 2026 09 12	13	$2.2K	1,957	1,775	+183	G2	+$107	09-12 14:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$2.2K	1,150	1,150	+0	No	+$145	09-16 18:02
cs2 pain ast10 2026 07 30	31	$2.1K	2,026	1,848	+177	Astralis	+$59	07-31 20:12
lol nip wb 2026 07 30	4	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$10	07-30 08:39
val c9 loud 2026 07 31	47	$2.0K	1,663	1,663	+0	LOUD	+$119	07-31 23:57
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	25	$2.0K	1,358	1,358	+0	Yes	+$106	09-04 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	26	$2.0K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$129	07-09 16:19
mlb sea lad 2026 07 29	3	$2.0K	996	996	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$12	07-30 04:45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	+$50	09-08 15:21
val g21 sen 2026 08 02	25	$1.8K	1,072	1,072	+0	G2 Esports	+$214	08-03 02:36
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	44	$1.8K	1,563	1,110	+453	Yes	+$390	07-28 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$11	09-09 10:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	14	$1.7K	1,147	1,147	+0	Yes	+$39	07-27 09:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	21	$1.7K	933	933	+0	No	+$59	08-20 18:09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	13	$1.7K	892	892	+0	No	-$27	09-04 02:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	9	$1.6K	932	932	+0	No	+$9	09-01 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:31:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	93¢	$82	0x82ca15…
10-27 15:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x2c0ddd…
10-27 15:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xecfda9…
10-27 15:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x3d9af1…
10-27 12:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd73483…
10-27 12:32:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0d42dd…
10-26 19:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x07b207…
10-26 13:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x02039f…
10-26 02:19:48	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x27812e…
10-26 01:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xf9783e…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5ba189…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x42167e…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	138	33¢	$46	0x1d0fd3…
10-26 01:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x2a44bc…
10-26 01:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfc01ca…
10-26 01:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$19	0x928eed…
10-24 07:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xa56aa1…
10-24 07:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x54c918…
10-24 03:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	140	65¢	$91	0x5d9fe2…
10-23 17:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	195	45¢	$88	0xc1e678…
10-23 06:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	179	97¢	$174	0xde5962…
10-23 01:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x309121…
10-23 01:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa25670…
10-23 01:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x74a592…
10-23 01:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0xd05fc7…
10-23 01:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	179	9¢	$15	0x157891…
10-23 01:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0x53106f…
10-21 13:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd2037a…
10-21 07:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x88dbf4…
10-21 03:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0xd775af…
10-21 03:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$39	0x47020f…
10-21 02:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xb8eb2a…
10-16 15:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x7a4133…
10-16 12:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0x435f33…
10-16 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$4	0x3e0e5d…
10-16 07:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0xed7b6b…
10-16 04:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x4c2b03…
10-16 04:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xa00057…
10-16 04:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xc1b0a8…
10-16 03:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc0fd8d…
10-16 03:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf53648…
10-16 03:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x94e56b…
10-16 03:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x98b3fa…
10-16 03:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xc868e7…
10-16 03:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xdd6c11…
10-16 03:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x279101…
10-16 03:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x5dcf35…
10-16 03:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0xd9a8ab…
10-16 03:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	75	50¢	$38	0x1de595…
10-16 03:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x92ff36…
10-16 03:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xcfef5d…
10-16 02:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0xebddaa…
10-16 02:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	186	64¢	$119	0x178b89…
10-16 01:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0xb46b29…
10-16 01:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x114fed…
10-16 01:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	No	BUY	56	79¢	$44	0xe808bd…
10-15 17:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc94266…
10-15 16:59:14	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3f60da…
10-15 16:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 16?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xd65acf…
10-15 14:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xd79419…
10-15 13:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3107a0…
10-15 12:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?	No	SELL	80	13¢	$10	0x7f2097…
10-15 11:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x990625…
10-15 11:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x76de5b…
10-15 11:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x84fbab…
10-15 09:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x0f6a41…
10-15 09:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x324058…
10-15 09:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xce5747…
10-15 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x91ae45…
10-15 09:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xc44f2a…
10-15 09:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 15?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xca7832…
10-15 09:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 15?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x41cab2…
10-15 09:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0xfb0d12…
10-15 09:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0xb29302…
10-15 09:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	271	0¢	$0	0x0051dc…
10-15 08:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x94fd9c…
10-15 08:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x3adf7f…
10-15 06:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe79be3…
10-15 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0x338039…
10-15 06:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x8569e5…
10-15 06:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xb7e728…
10-15 06:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0xda2226…
10-15 06:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$19	0x2587f3…
10-15 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0xb814b8…
10-15 06:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x933f9b…
10-15 06:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x3ecf33…
10-15 06:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xeff872…
10-15 06:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x271b55…
10-15 06:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd20cde…
10-15 06:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xb8b601…
10-15 06:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x97e116…
10-15 06:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x2fbb10…
10-15 06:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	131	96¢	$126	0x228f19…
10-15 04:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x794448…
10-15 04:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x9c1d5d…
10-15 04:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x9dc583…
10-15 04:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x4bb223…
10-15 04:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x365026…
10-15 04:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x8a145d…
10-15 04:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	81	40¢	$32	0x119038…