Realized P&L
-$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$385
Hit rate
36.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
147
lifetime
Volume
$5.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$828
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 10-24 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Crypto
36% 40% +$64
Other
35% 25% -$641
Tech
26% 33% -$1,076
Politics
3% 0% -$43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +1,025 $486 50¢ $512 +$27 10-21 11:08
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +279 $154 66¢ $183 +$29 10-06 16:50
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +959 $115 7¢ $67 -$48 09-23 13:34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +965 $121 3¢ $29 -$92 10-24 12:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +520 $147 4¢ $22 -$124 10-01 14:05
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 94¢ $6 +$4 09-28 01:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,448 $184 0¢ $4 -$181 09-23 05:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5 $1 27¢ $1 +$0 09-20 09:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-20 15:14
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-20 02:56
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 10-21 09:30