Frequent-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-14 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

39% 25% $-2

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		+144	$9	6¢	$8	$-1	07-14 10:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$20	69	69	+0	open	—	05-07 12:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$9	144	0	+144	open	—	07-14 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$4	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 11:25
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$4	53	53	+0	open	—	05-07 20:40
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 12:34
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2	37	0	+37	open	—	05-07 12:35
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	2	$2	10	0	+10	No	$-2	05-11 17:53
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	1	$1	66	0	+66	Yes	$-1	05-08 16:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 17:35
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	$-1	05-08 14:48
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 15?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	05-11 17:00
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 14?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	05-11 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 10:41:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$9	0xce809f…
05-15 17:35:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x31a6f5…
05-12 11:25:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x811c14…
05-11 18:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4ea5a7…
05-11 17:53:01	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x577f45…
05-11 17:00:08	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe1c4c6…
05-11 16:59:12	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf52220…
05-11 16:58:30	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x69294d…
05-08 16:12:11	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 9?	No	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x3ac08b…
05-08 14:48:34	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x92419b…
05-07 20:40:00	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x862796…
05-07 12:36:56	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0f327d…
05-07 12:36:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x542a51…
05-07 12:35:13	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x60e858…
05-07 12:34:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff1371…
05-07 12:29:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x98daa0…
05-07 12:28:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x564a03…
05-07 12:28:15	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa75f40…
05-07 12:27:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf04c96…
05-06 09:47:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x541aad…
05-06 09:27:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x62bade…
05-06 09:07:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xcea463…
05-05 16:44:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	17¢	$12	0xb647c6…