Frequent-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

18 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$66 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$43

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

97% 11% $-15

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	+276	$30	11¢	$30	+$0	05-12 08:47
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	-15	$-1	57¢	$-9	$-8	05-08 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	+6	$2	45¢	$3	+$1	05-13 06:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	-93	$-3	1¢	$-1	+$1	05-06 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	+53	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-07 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	+42	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-07 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd453e3…
05-12 11:32:49	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0x7d402e…
05-12 08:47:23	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	11¢	$30	0xab23fa…
05-11 16:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x7d5a52…
05-08 16:07:28	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x5bdb7f…
05-07 12:36:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x542a51…
05-07 12:35:13	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x60e858…
05-07 12:26:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x44c0aa…
05-07 12:20:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x91e8b6…
05-07 12:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa2fad1…
05-06 15:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0d5b78…
05-06 15:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x4de26a…
05-06 15:06:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x667b71…
05-06 09:54:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	233	1¢	$1	0x1b5249…
05-06 09:49:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0xc28ec2…
05-06 09:29:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x72d2f5…
05-06 09:24:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf67113…
05-06 08:41:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	3¢	$3	0x789117…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	7	$4.99K	72	05-14 18:12
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$16.4K	270	05-12 15:28
Delicious-Peacoat 0xd897…9b49	6	$1.89K	7	05-11 17:59
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	6	$708	26	05-12 05:24
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$671	25	05-14 13:39
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	5	$2.45K	74	05-14 18:19
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	5	$1.59K	16	05-11 21:31
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	5	$1.20K	15	05-14 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	1	$30	276	0	+276	open	—	05-12 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$16	0	25	-25	Yes	$-9	05-11 16:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$3	0	93	-93	open	—	05-06 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 06:39
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 7?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	$-1	05-06 09:29
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 6?	1	$1	233	0	+233	Yes	$-1	05-06 09:54
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	1	$1	183	0	+183	No	$-1	05-12 11:32
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 7?	1	$1	113	0	+113	No	$-1	05-06 09:49
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 7?	1	$1	110	0	+110	No	$-1	05-06 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	53	0	+53	open	—	05-07 12:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	05-06 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	42	0	+42	open	—	05-07 12:20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	05-07 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	48	0	+48	No	$-1	05-06 15:07
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 8?	1	$1	43	0	+43	No	$-1	05-07 12:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	0	7	-7	No	+$1	05-06 15:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	0	9	-9	open	—	05-07 12:36
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	1	$1	0	15	-15	open	—	05-08 16:07