(anonymous) 0x75065e…48d2bd
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
115
lifetime
Volume
$790
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$176
29 positions
First seen
2026-10-22
last 10-29 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
71% 33% +$0
Other
25% 50% -$5
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +14 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 10-26 06:03
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 10-27 06:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-25 21:40
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $9 70¢ $10 +$1 10-26 14:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 10-26 14:30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $10 69¢ $10 $0 10-27 06:05
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15 $9 68¢ $10 +$1 10-26 04:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +12 $10 78¢ $10 $0 10-25 16:33
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +77 $10 12¢ $10 $0 10-26 10:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25 $10 38¢ $10 $0 10-26 06:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 60¢ $9 $0 10-28 04:34
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +21 $9 42¢ $9 +$1 10-28 10:15
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $9 8¢ $8 -$1 10-27 12:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $7 70¢ $7 +$0 10-26 14:08
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +26 $6 28¢ $7 +$1 10-28 10:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +20 $6 27¢ $5 $0 10-25 22:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +80 $6 6¢ $5 -$1 10-25 16:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $5 18¢ $4 $0 10-26 15:23
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +30 $5 13¢ $4 -$1 10-27 04:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +56 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 10-26 14:24
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $3 28¢ $3 $0 10-25 15:11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 10-27 18:29
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +6 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 10-28 10:56
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 28¢ $2 $0 10-27 13:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-26 16:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +54 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-26 04:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +29 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 10-25 11:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +32 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 10-27 18:07
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +26 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 10-25 13:48