Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

14,873

lifetime

Volume

$829.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 04-28 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

53% 75% +$247

Other

44% 100% +$26

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% 33% $-22

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 380 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	537	$66.5K	44,014	26,916	+17,098	open	—	03-04 19:26
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	251	$43.5K	25,078	20,820	+4,258	open	—	01-28 20:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	705	$40.5K	43,952	17,984	+25,968	open	—	02-03 23:52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	366	$34.5K	29,297	15,474	+13,824	open	—	04-09 00:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	211	$30.8K	20,801	14,864	+5,937	open	—	04-01 12:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	467	$29.4K	25,435	11,749	+13,686	open	—	03-04 00:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	230	$20.3K	20,756	10,612	+10,145	open	—	03-13 00:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	292	$17.8K	21,429	7,827	+13,602	open	—	03-04 19:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	443	$17.7K	20,869	10,955	+9,914	open	—	02-28 06:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	246	$17.2K	19,648	5,944	+13,704	open	—	04-10 18:05
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	101	$14.3K	9,377	5,106	+4,271	open	—	01-31 18:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	244	$14.2K	15,975	5,444	+10,532	open	—	01-31 20:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	151	$14.1K	10,286	6,555	+3,731	open	—	04-28 06:36
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	89	$13.4K	11,536	2,031	+9,505	open	—	01-08 03:18
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	129	$13.2K	11,359	3,185	+8,174	open	—	03-18 17:59
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	36	$9.3K	5,264	4,065	+1,199	open	—	01-20 23:17
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	52	$9.0K	6,198	3,008	+3,189	open	—	04-16 03:06
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	98	$8.6K	6,343	2,287	+4,056	open	—	02-04 00:27
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	99	$8.5K	5,953	3,047	+2,906	open	—	02-06 22:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	201	$8.4K	4,724	4,934	-210	open	—	04-28 06:36
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	254	$7.7K	6,207	4,897	+1,310	open	—	02-01 01:04
will iran strike israel on march 10	31	$7.1K	3,522	3,597	-75	open	—	03-17 01:47
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	189	$7.1K	5,353	4,092	+1,260	open	—	04-07 02:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	203	$6.7K	5,054	3,623	+1,431	open	—	04-01 15:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	89	$6.7K	8,992	7,149	+1,843	open	—	02-14 11:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	200	$6.3K	9,259	2,805	+6,454	open	—	02-28 22:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	177	$5.8K	7,206	4,402	+2,804	open	—	04-08 01:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	127	$5.7K	5,816	1,281	+4,535	open	—	03-30 15:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	78	$5.2K	6,356	1,878	+4,478	open	—	01-28 19:16
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	25	$5.2K	4,421	837	+3,583	open	—	03-25 13:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 08:40:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xd5d075…
04-28 08:38:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0aa7d9…
04-28 08:38:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x9477c3…
04-28 07:22:22	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf93aee…
04-28 07:22:16	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x3dff4d…
04-28 07:22:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x028bdf…
04-28 07:21:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x6d4ee3…
04-28 07:21:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xc3e9b6…
04-28 07:21:12	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xa1c0e4…
04-28 07:21:08	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x004742…
04-28 07:21:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x858a61…
04-28 07:20:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x59bfcf…
04-28 07:20:22	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0xe814e3…
04-28 07:20:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0xbb6b07…
04-28 07:19:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	1¢	$1	0x8e9e17…
04-28 07:19:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x62925a…
04-28 07:18:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xa75f25…
04-28 07:18:30	Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0x3e9e75…
04-28 07:18:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0xcbd867…
04-28 07:17:52	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7aee34…
04-28 07:17:38	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf64205…
04-28 07:17:04	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf1f52a…
04-28 07:16:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xec31ff…
04-28 07:16:40	new stranger things episode released by april 30	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5f4a9a…
04-28 07:16:32	Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0fa233…
04-28 07:15:36	Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x85b01a…
04-28 07:15:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x510888…
04-28 07:14:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x679e45…
04-28 07:13:42	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x10f67f…
04-28 07:13:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	1,129	1¢	$7	0x2b1f4f…
04-28 07:12:28	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x553dcf…
04-28 07:12:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x71a2af…
04-28 07:11:56	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xad64ce…
04-28 07:11:34	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x1e9d16…
04-28 07:11:10	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdd51ec…
04-28 07:11:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x4a68bd…
04-28 07:10:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x588039…
04-28 07:10:06	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0xc52352…
04-28 07:09:34	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x94499b…
04-28 07:08:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xdf3014…
04-28 07:05:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0x39bdc9…
04-28 07:03:16	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x59da99…
04-28 07:03:08	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xa9abe8…
04-28 07:02:58	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf48c4f…
04-28 07:01:06	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5dd1ab…
04-28 07:00:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x71ef43…
04-28 07:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xa9b575…
04-28 07:00:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0x35943d…
04-28 07:00:10	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xa165fc…
04-28 06:58:20	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x2d279c…
04-28 06:57:50	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	36¢	$34	0x4e0db1…
04-28 06:57:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x8fe5c0…
04-28 06:57:22	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xb32e9d…
04-28 06:56:26	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	SELL	176	18¢	$31	0xfc5301…
04-28 06:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4f7e69…
04-28 06:54:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x8c1c12…
04-28 06:53:12	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xe8fd63…
04-28 06:52:42	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xcd49d4…
04-28 06:51:42	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x304ecb…
04-28 06:48:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	220	36¢	$79	0xd56ed7…
04-28 06:47:30	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xc29f6a…
04-28 06:46:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	114	85¢	$97	0xb42318…
04-28 06:46:34	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x077386…
04-28 06:45:16	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xdd8101…
04-28 06:44:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x223456…
04-28 06:44:46	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x0edabb…
04-28 06:44:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0xf1ebc8…
04-28 06:43:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	162	92¢	$149	0xc297dd…
04-28 06:43:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xf9c946…
04-28 06:42:58	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0x079355…
04-28 06:42:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	219	99¢	$216	0xa4d4f8…
04-28 06:42:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	237	99¢	$234	0xb177e9…
04-28 06:42:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$259	0x0a76e6…
04-28 06:42:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	287	98¢	$280	0xf6ab8b…
04-28 06:41:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	309	99¢	$306	0x429cb9…
04-28 06:40:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0x38273f…
04-28 06:40:14	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	962	39¢	$375	0xc661d2…
04-28 06:39:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	502	88¢	$442	0x30d70d…
04-28 06:39:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	498	100¢	$498	0xf92bb5…
04-28 06:39:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	507	99¢	$503	0x99062e…
04-28 06:39:20	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	522	97¢	$507	0x21704e…
04-28 06:39:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	512	100¢	$511	0x410fbb…
04-28 06:38:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	553	100¢	$551	0x7a7df6…
04-28 06:38:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	584	100¢	$582	0x92d8cb…
04-28 06:38:04	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	729	100¢	$726	0x5f2fbb…
04-28 06:37:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	966	100¢	$963	0xf0110c…
04-28 06:37:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,089	92¢	$1,002	0x5837cc…
04-28 06:36:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,551	100¢	$1,548	0x7873eb…
04-28 06:36:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	2,876	100¢	$2,864	0xf0e311…
04-28 06:36:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	3,258	100¢	$3,249	0x1c797b…
04-27 07:12:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xca4259…
04-27 03:34:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8cdf40…
04-27 03:33:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbeba40…
04-27 02:24:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x7daefa…
04-27 01:45:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x999a57…
04-27 01:10:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xbb2946…
04-27 01:03:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xe80fbf…
04-27 01:03:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x758d74…
04-27 01:02:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x8125ba…
04-27 00:56:58	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xd0c3d0…