Realized P&L
-$2.93K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
832
Trades
14,873
lifetime
Volume
$829.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 04-28 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Politics
53%
74%
-$10,833
Other
44%
78%
+$4,656
Sports
2%
58%
+$2,169
Crypto
1%
76%
+$1,141
Tech
0%
75%
-$12
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$47
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 537 | $66.5K | 44,014 | 26,916 | +17,098 | No | +$17 | 03-04 19:26 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 251 | $43.5K | 25,078 | 20,820 | +4,258 | Yes | +$55 | 01-28 20:35 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 705 | $40.5K | 43,952 | 17,984 | +25,968 | Yes | +$627 | 02-03 23:52 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 366 | $34.5K | 29,297 | 15,474 | +13,824 | Yes | -$393 | 04-09 00:25 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 211 | $30.8K | 20,801 | 14,864 | +5,937 | No | +$568 | 04-01 12:12 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 467 | $29.4K | 25,435 | 11,749 | +13,686 | Yes | -$552 | 03-04 00:16 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 230 | $20.3K | 20,756 | 10,612 | +10,145 | Yes | +$565 | 03-13 00:36 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 292 | $17.8K | 21,429 | 7,827 | +13,602 | Yes | +$151 | 03-04 19:01 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 443 | $17.7K | 20,869 | 10,955 | +9,914 | Yes | -$6,579 | 02-28 06:52 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 246 | $17.2K | 19,648 | 5,944 | +13,704 | Yes | -$4,716 | 04-10 18:05 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 101 | $14.3K | 9,377 | 5,106 | +4,271 | No | +$91 | 01-31 18:21 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 244 | $14.2K | 15,975 | 5,444 | +10,532 | No | +$957 | 01-31 20:08 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 151 | $14.1K | 10,286 | 6,555 | +3,731 | No | +$453 | 04-28 06:36 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 89 | $13.4K | 11,536 | 2,031 | +9,505 | No | +$121 | 01-08 03:18 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 129 | $13.2K | 11,359 | 3,185 | +8,174 | Yes | +$253 | 03-18 17:59 |
| will melania say career during ai talk on friday | 36 | $9.3K | 5,264 | 4,065 | +1,199 | No | +$5 | 01-20 23:17 |
| will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final | 52 | $9.0K | 6,198 | 3,008 | +3,189 | No | +$170 | 04-16 03:06 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 98 | $8.6K | 6,343 | 2,287 | +4,056 | Yes | +$52 | 02-04 00:27 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 99 | $8.5K | 5,953 | 3,047 | +2,906 | No | +$181 | 02-06 22:42 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 201 | $8.4K | 4,724 | 4,934 | -210 | No | +$708 | 04-28 06:36 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 254 | $7.7K | 6,207 | 4,897 | +1,310 | No | +$348 | 02-01 01:04 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 31 | $7.1K | 3,522 | 3,597 | -75 | Yes | +$24 | 03-17 01:47 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 189 | $7.1K | 5,353 | 4,092 | +1,260 | Yes | +$105 | 04-07 02:22 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 203 | $6.7K | 5,054 | 3,623 | +1,431 | No | +$206 | 04-01 15:27 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 89 | $6.7K | 8,992 | 7,149 | +1,843 | No | -$524 | 02-14 11:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 200 | $6.3K | 9,259 | 2,805 | +6,454 | Yes | -$179 | 02-28 22:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 177 | $5.8K | 7,206 | 4,402 | +2,804 | Yes | -$1,218 | 04-08 01:21 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 127 | $5.7K | 5,816 | 1,281 | +4,535 | No | +$748 | 03-30 15:10 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 78 | $5.2K | 6,356 | 1,878 | +4,478 | No | +$77 | 01-28 19:16 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 25 | $5.2K | 4,421 | 837 | +3,583 | Yes | +$26 | 03-25 13:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||