Realized P&L
-$264
Unrealized P&L
+$173
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
125
Trades
1,618
lifetime
Volume
$8.41K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$364
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-15 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
62% 19% -$230
Tech
20% 36% -$4
Politics
10% 25% -$41
Crypto
7% 40% +$11
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $2 27¢ $54 +$52 11-14 07:32
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $2 17¢ $34 +$32 11-14 07:31
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.75 million? Yes +970 $1 3¢ $29 +$28 11-15 00:28
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? Yes +714 $10 3¢ $22 +$12 11-10 00:58
Will GBP/USD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026? Yes +333 $10 6¢ $19 +$9 11-13 18:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +143 $10 12¢ $16 +$6 11-14 18:57
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 16? Down +20 $10 78¢ $16 +$6 11-14 23:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +1,786 $2 1¢ $13 +$12 11-12 07:54
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No +200 $10 6¢ $13 +$3 11-10 14:50
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $10 26¢ $13 +$3 11-12 11:46
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? No +50 $10 24¢ $12 +$2 11-15 02:17
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 11-14 14:19
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South? Yes +66 $10 17¢ $11 +$1 11-08 17:09
Will Fuse launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +17 $10 55¢ $9 -$1 11-13 06:23
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? Yes +91 $10 10¢ $9 -$1 11-13 21:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? No +250 $10 4¢ $9 -$1 11-11 11:02
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 101.50 in November? Yes +45 $10 18¢ $8 -$2 11-11 14:21
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? Yes +70 $10 9¢ $6 -$4 11-10 01:12
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No +14 $7 44¢ $6 $0 11-13 02:23
Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO? No +14 $6 43¢ $6 +$0 11-15 04:26
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 17, 2026? Yes +200 $2 3¢ $6 +$4 11-14 08:40
Gemini Krypton released by January 31, 2027? No +67 $12 8¢ $6 -$6 11-14 07:56
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026? Yes +64 $10 8¢ $5 -$5 11-12 09:53
Will the next Gemini model family be named Gemini Neon? Yes +115 $7 5¢ $5 -$2 11-15 03:55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 -$14 0¢ $5 +$19 11-14 23:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +2,000 $2 0¢ $5 +$3 11-12 07:56
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30? Yes +26 $4 18¢ $5 +$0 11-15 04:50
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 19, 2026? Yes +132 $1 3¢ $4 +$3 11-14 09:38
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30? Yes +59 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 11-12 07:27
Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? No +45 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 11-13 22:48