Clever-Storm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

811

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$46

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-02 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 0% $-115

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-200	$-24	12¢	$-25	$-1	06-02 22:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-300	$-19	7¢	$-21	$-3	06-02 22:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772409300	2	$899	664	654	+10	open	—	03-01 23:59
btc updown 5m 1773259200	4	$543	342	338	+4	open	—	03-11 20:04
btc updown 5m 1773258000	15	$436	400	394	+6	open	—	03-11 19:45
btc updown 5m 1772408400	2	$390	564	0	+564	open	—	03-01 23:44
btc updown 5m 1772407800	6	$329	339	191	+148	open	—	03-01 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$300	671	0	+671	open	—	05-28 22:16
btc updown 5m 1773845700	1	$300	486	0	+486	open	—	03-18 14:55
btc updown 5m 1773242700	4	$298	251	248	+4	open	—	03-11 15:28
btc updown 5m 1773257400	5	$296	267	244	+24	open	—	03-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$290	257	257	+0	open	—	05-28 21:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$270	280	0	+280	open	—	03-02 00:14
btc updown 5m 1773825600	2	$256	297	0	+297	open	—	03-18 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773477300	2	$238	143	141	+2	open	—	03-14 08:38
btc updown 5m 1773842700	1	$233	373	0	+373	open	—	03-18 14:05
btc updown 5m 1773477600	21	$220	132	131	+1	open	—	03-14 08:44
btc updown 5m 1772272200	2	$202	264	0	+264	open	—	02-28 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773828000	2	$202	591	0	+591	open	—	03-18 10:04
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$190	278	0	+278	open	—	02-25 13:19
btc updown 5m 1772022600	2	$180	188	0	+188	open	—	02-25 12:34
btc updown 5m 1772271300	4	$176	199	0	+199	open	—	02-28 09:37
btc updown 5m 1772403600	3	$168	167	70	+97	open	—	03-01 22:24
btc updown 5m 1772270700	4	$168	192	0	+192	open	—	02-28 09:29
btc updown 5m 1772023800	2	$160	165	0	+165	open	—	02-25 12:53
btc updown 5m 1773476100	2	$158	100	99	+1	open	—	03-14 08:19
btc updown 5m 1772403300	3	$155	148	118	+30	open	—	03-01 22:16
btc updown 5m 1772400900	3	$154	187	172	+16	open	—	03-01 21:39
btc updown 5m 1773826500	8	$153	109	107	+2	open	—	03-18 09:39
btc updown 5m 1772271600	1	$150	153	0	+153	open	—	02-28 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$150	102	102	+0	open	—	05-21 09:53
btc updown 5m 1773479700	4	$149	144	142	+2	open	—	03-14 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 22:33:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$19	0x095586…
06-02 22:33:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x98f2e0…
05-28 22:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xda4456…
05-28 22:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xdde822…
05-28 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x77c222…
05-28 22:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xa1e809…
05-28 22:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xc0eedd…
05-28 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1f4cb3…
05-28 22:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x77d9cb…
05-28 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x307f40…
05-28 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x07bf97…
05-28 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	257	74¢	$190	0x99b645…
05-28 21:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xef9d8d…
05-28 21:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb510cb…
05-28 21:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x4685b8…
05-28 21:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x701327…
05-28 21:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x869500…
05-21 12:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xae8448…
05-21 09:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xa9ec2f…
05-21 09:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x575dc3…
05-21 09:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0a52d8…
05-20 16:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf04bfd…
05-20 16:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x56a11a…
05-20 16:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x2d6d46…
05-20 16:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3c9eb2…
05-20 14:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	35¢	$18	0x732519…
05-20 14:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x1e6282…
05-20 14:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x50ddcb…
05-20 14:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xf24aa0…
05-20 14:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd96c7b…
05-17 05:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa7e673…
05-17 05:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0x87b525…
05-17 05:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x5e55d4…
05-11 18:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x57190c…
05-11 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x68c331…
05-11 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x306fe3…
05-11 18:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	328	31¢	$100	0x651f28…
04-29 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x06c66b…
04-29 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x17c03b…
04-08 20:04:53	btc updown 5m 1775678700	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x6269bf…
03-27 12:56:13	btc updown 5m 1774616100	Down	BUY	154	53¢	$82	0x92906f…
03-24 20:56:29	btc updown 5m 1774385700	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcf19d1…
03-23 18:44:09	btc updown 5m 1774291200	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe86ad7…
03-23 17:48:51	btc updown 5m 1774287900	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd5a10e…
03-23 17:22:51	btc updown 5m 1774286400	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xd5c5d2…
03-23 17:22:51	btc updown 5m 1774286400	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x07816f…
03-23 16:54:03	btc updown 5m 1774284600	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x229db2…
03-22 18:52:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xca27c5…
03-18 14:55:35	btc updown 5m 1773845700	Up	BUY	486	62¢	$300	0xf322db…
03-18 14:53:37	btc updown 5m 1773845400	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x605e32…
03-18 14:50:37	btc updown 5m 1773845400	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x746552…
03-18 14:49:03	btc updown 5m 1773845100	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x375c07…
03-18 14:47:27	btc updown 5m 1773845100	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb1e1d8…
03-18 14:37:47	btc updown 5m 1773844500	Down	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xd046c9…
03-18 14:35:43	btc updown 5m 1773844500	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x766eb9…
03-18 14:30:19	btc updown 5m 1773844200	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xd7b7c2…
03-18 14:28:49	btc updown 5m 1773843900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x000084…
03-18 14:26:45	btc updown 5m 1773843900	Down	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0x0baa2d…
03-18 14:05:51	btc updown 5m 1773842700	Up	BUY	373	62¢	$233	0xc905f6…
03-18 14:00:19	btc updown 5m 1773842400	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x8783b0…
03-18 13:58:05	btc updown 5m 1773842100	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x06f0aa…
03-18 13:52:19	btc updown 5m 1773841800	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x4f59dc…
03-18 13:49:07	btc updown 5m 1773841500	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x015cf0…
03-18 13:45:23	btc updown 5m 1773841500	Up	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x7b8988…
03-18 13:42:29	btc updown 5m 1773841200	Down	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x00e8b2…
03-18 13:11:01	btc updown 5m 1773839400	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xb923cc…
03-18 10:15:07	btc updown 5m 1773828900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcdeb8e…
03-18 10:15:07	btc updown 5m 1773828900	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x78c987…
03-18 10:15:05	btc updown 5m 1773828900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb07bc8…
03-18 10:15:05	btc updown 5m 1773828900	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x78c090…
03-18 10:05:25	btc updown 5m 1773828300	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xca8840…
03-18 10:04:53	btc updown 5m 1773828000	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa61942…
03-18 10:01:25	btc updown 5m 1773828000	Down	BUY	391	51¢	$200	0x9f232a…
03-18 09:55:01	btc updown 5m 1773827700	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7bc508…
03-18 09:51:33	btc updown 5m 1773827400	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x3743a7…
03-18 09:50:23	btc updown 5m 1773827400	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x874cee…
03-18 09:46:47	btc updown 5m 1773827100	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x87d8e9…
03-18 09:44:25	btc updown 5m 1773826800	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x259295…
03-18 09:43:59	btc updown 5m 1773826800	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x234e95…
03-18 09:39:23	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc5d433…
03-18 09:39:23	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x9b52fd…
03-18 09:39:23	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x921cb1…
03-18 09:39:23	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x208bdc…
03-18 09:39:21	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xa1e45e…
03-18 09:39:21	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x9edaef…
03-18 09:39:21	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1b1ba4…
03-18 09:35:13	btc updown 5m 1773826500	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x9ff54c…
03-18 09:33:57	btc updown 5m 1773826200	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x805fd0…
03-18 09:24:59	btc updown 5m 1773825600	Down	BUY	216	96¢	$206	0x92db0d…
03-18 09:23:41	btc updown 5m 1773825600	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xebbd24…
03-18 07:55:53	btc updown 5m 1773820500	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x072527…
03-17 18:33:19	btc updown 5m 1773772200	Down	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x697903…
03-17 18:29:55	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa9d11a…
03-17 18:29:23	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0xec90fa…
03-17 18:26:45	btc updown 5m 1773771900	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xf31676…
03-17 08:51:55	btc updown 5m 1773737400	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xede475…
03-17 08:47:15	btc updown 5m 1773737100	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x6bbea4…
03-17 03:52:31	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfe7e75…
03-16 17:59:41	btc updown 5m 1773683700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd6d13e…
03-15 16:49:33	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xbc6871…