Realized P&L (7d)
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
97.3%
Resolved (7d)
48
Trades (7d)
394
394 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8.64K
$8.64K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$2.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 14:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
82% 94% +$12
Politics
14% 100% +$0
Sports
3%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +287 $287 100¢ $287 $-0 05-06 14:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +224 $218 100¢ $224 +$6 05-06 06:35
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +163 $162 100¢ $162 +$0 05-05 19:53
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +131 $131 99¢ $130 $-1 05-06 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No +129 $129 100¢ $129 +$0 05-06 08:51
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils? No +101 $100 99¢ $100 +$0 05-06 07:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $-0 05-06 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6? No +80 $79 100¢ $80 +$1 05-06 06:09
Will Bruce Banman win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? No +80 $80 100¢ $80 +$0 05-05 08:45
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No +80 $80 100¢ $80 +$0 05-05 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 6? No +60 $59 100¢ $60 +$1 05-06 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 05-06 05:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 05-05 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 6? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 05-06 04:04
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 $-0 05-06 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 6? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 05-06 13:45
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 $-0 05-06 00:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 $-0 05-06 00:10
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 $-0 05-06 08:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 $-0 05-06 00:10
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 05-06 00:10
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No +60 $57 95¢ $57 +$0 05-05 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 7? No +52 $52 100¢ $52 +$0 05-06 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on May 6? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 05-06 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 35°C or higher on May 6? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 $-0 05-06 07:41
Will MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 +$0 05-06 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 7? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 +$0 05-06 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 6? No +40 $39 100¢ $40 +$1 05-06 06:10
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +40 $40 99¢ $39 $-1 05-05 20:34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No +37 $36 98¢ $36 +$1 05-05 13:47